Andrew S. Erickson

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “A Chinese ‘Heart’ for Large Civilian and Military Aircraft: Strategic and Commercial implications of China’s Campaign to Develop High-bypass Turbofan Jet Engines,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 47 (19 September 2011).
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Deep Dive—Special In-Depth Report #3
This in-depth report analyzes China’s prospects for building large turbofan jet engines for civilian aircraft, […]

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Walter Russell Mead, “China’s Growth To Slow By 50 Percent?” Via Media Blog, The American Interest, 29 August 2011.
 
Key conclusions from a paper by Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson at China Sign Post… Read the whole thing.  … Of course nobody, including the Chinese, know what comes next in China, but these authors make […]

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Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “A Smoking Cursor? New Window Opens on China’s Potential Cyberwarfare Development: CCTV 7 Program Raises New Questions About Beijing’s Support for Hacking,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 46 (24 August 2011).
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The positions expressed here are the authors’ personal views. They do not represent the U.S. Naval War College, […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Tango for Trade, Samba for Sales: Strategic Implications of China’s Growing Investment and Commercial Ties in Latin America,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 45 (19 August 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Executive Summary

China’s annual trade with Latin American countries is now worth at least US$118 billion per year, nearly 12 times larger than what […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s S-Curve Trajectory: Structural Factors Will Likely Slow the Growth of China’s Economy and Comprehensive National Power,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 44 (15 August 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©

Key Points:

 China is likely to follow an S-Curve-shaped path of slowing growth as key internal and external challenges—including pollution, corruption, chronic diseases, water shortages, […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s ‘Starter Carrier’ Goes to Sea,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 43 (9 August 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
What’s happening
The long-awaited official announcement has finally been made.
The first confirmations came in Chinese: “China’s aircraft carrier platform is undergoing sea trials today (中国航母平台今日进行出海航行试验). Xinhua News: China’s aircraft carrier platform is undergoing sea trials on […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “What if the China Housing Bulls Are Right? Assessing Potential Commodity Demand from Urbanization in China’s Top 10 Residential Markets, 2011–2019,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 42 (2 August 2011).
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Summary:

Chinese farmers are likely to continue abandoning tough and unprofitable farm work to seek their fortunes in cities across […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “How Do the Economic Outputs of China’s 8 Most Productive Cities Compare to Those of U.S. Cities?” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 41 (29 July 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Economic discussions involving the U.S. and China often focus on national-level matters such as currency valuation, duties, and trade policy. Yet decisions and […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “12 in ’12: Strategic Challenges Facing the U.S. and China as the 2012 Political Season Approaches,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 40 (11 July 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Executive Summary:
Challenges Washington faces that will affect relations with China
1) Adapting to a sometimes contradictory “frenemies” type relationship with China.
2) Accepting […]

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Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “Jet Engine Development in China: Indigenous high-performance turbofans are a final step toward fully independent fighter production,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 39 (26 June 2011)
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Deep Dive—Special In-Depth Report #2
Executive Summary:
–Engines commonly used in Chinese and other modern aircraft may be divided into several major categories: […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s J-15 No Game Changer,” The Diplomat, 23 June 2011.
Following is a guest entry from Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, co-founders of China Sign Post.
Gen. Chen Bingde, Chief of Staff of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), has reportedly said that, for the first time, a Chinese ‘aircraft carrier is […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “‘Flying Shark’ Gaining Altitude: How Might New J-15 Strike Fighter Improve China’s Maritime Air Warfare Ability?” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 38 (7 June 2011).

For further background on Chinese aircraft carrier development, see also Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “The ‘Flying Shark’ Prepares to Roam the Seas: Strategic Pros […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “The 10 Biggest Cities in China That You’ve Probably Never Heard of,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 37 (1 June 2011).
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China already has more than 150 cities with populations of more than one million people and could have as many as 221 cities with one million […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Internal Challenge: China’s Diabetes Epidemic Highlights How Rising Healthcare Costs Could Constrain Economic Growth and Military Spending,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 36 (31 May 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
As analytical attention (including a substantial portion of ours) focuses on China’s growing military power and economic influence, both in East […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “The ‘Flying Shark’ Prepares to Roam the Seas: Strategic Pros and Cons of China’s Aircraft Carrier Program,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 35 (18 May 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
China’s budding aircraft carrier program is provoking energetic debate among Chinese and foreign observers. The former Ukrainian carrier Varyag (called “Shi Lang” […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “A Foreign Corrupt Practices Act with Chinese Characteristics: Step 1,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 34 (1 May 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©

In late February 2011, the National People’s Congress ratified an amendment to China’s Criminal Law that makes it illegal for PRC nationals and companies to bribe foreign government […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Southeast Trade Winds: East Coast and South Experienced Fastest Value-Adjusted Growth of All U.S. Regions in Exports to China over Past Decade,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 33 (14 April 2011).
China SignPost analyzed the data for U.S. exports to China by state from the 2010 U.S. Exports to China by State […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “China Defense White Paper 2010: Better Transparency, But What Key Developments Were Left Out of the Discussion?” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 32 (5 April 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©

Reprinted as: Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Grading China’s Military Plans,” The Diplomat, 9 April 2011.

China’s National Defense in 2010 […]

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Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “China Aims to More Than Triple Its Oil & Gas Production in the South China Sea over the Next 10 Years,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 31 (3 April 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
New deepwater oil & gas exploration and production will likely complicate the South China Sea maritime security […]

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