Many observers say the 21st century belongs to China. But with political, macroeconomic and social stability concerns looming in the next few years, many questions abound. Where is China headed and what are the implications for the world?

For the second year, China Summit will offer fresh and thought-provoking perspectives on pressing issues. This year pivots on the challenging paradox of a rapidly emerging China in transition—full of promising opportunity, but fraught with risk. Can foreign firms afford to say no to China’s market?

China Summit will gather leading thinkers to analyse critical issues through keynote interviews, debates and issue-focused panels and briefings from the Economist Group.

Is China increasing its assertiveness on the world’s stage? Will the hegemony of democratic capitalism be challenged by a fully convertible renminbi? Will it succeed in shifting to a consumption-led economy—and win the purses of its fast-growing consumer class? Is China breaking out of its low-cost manufacturer mould with Internet and innovation breakthroughs? How will China prepare for the oncoming demographic crunch?

With the future of China at the heart of so many corporate strategies and foreign-policy debates, the China Summit will provide senior executives, government leaders, academics and observers with fresh perspectives, and possibly new ways of dealing with China’s old and emerging issues. 

Click here to watch complete footage of the “China’s Place in the World–Increasingly Assertive?” panel discussion.

Dr Andrew S Erickson

Associate Professor

US Naval War College

Dr Andrew S Erickson is an associate professor in the Strategic Research Department at the US Naval War College and a founding member of the department’s China Maritime Studies Institute. He is also an associate in research at Harvard University’s John King Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies. During academic year 2010-11, he was a Fellow in the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program. 

Dr Erickson’s research, which focuses on Asia-Pacific defense, foreign policy and technology issues, has been published widely in such journals as Asian Security, Journal of Strategic Studies, Orbis, The American Interest and Joint Force Quarterly. He is also a coeditor or contributor to numerous books. He previously worked for Science Applications International Corporation and has also worked at the US Embassy in Beijing, the US Consulate in Hong Kong, the US Senate and the White House.

Dr Erickson received his PhD and MA in international relations and comparative politics from Princeton University and graduated magna cum laude from Amherst College with a BA in history and political science.

Andrew S Erickson博士 

美国海军战争学院副教授

Andrew S Erickson博士现为美国海军战争学院战略研究系副教授，并且是该系中国海军研究所的创始成员。他还是哈佛大学费正清中国研究中心副研究员。在2010-2011学年，他担任“普林斯顿-哈佛中国和全球项目”研究员。

Erickson博士的研究聚焦亚太防务、外交政策和科技问题，研究成果广泛刊载于众多期刊杂志，如《亚洲安全》(Asian Security)、《战略研究期刊》(Journal of Strategic Studies)、Orbis以及《美国利益和联合武装季刊》(The American Interest and Joint Force Quarterly)等。他还参与或主编了多部著作。他曾供职于科学应用国际公司(Science Applications International Corporation)，并先后在美国驻华大使馆、美国驻香港领事馆、美国参议院和白宫就职。

Erickson博士拥有普林斯顿大学国际关系和比较政治硕士、博士学位，此前以优异成绩从阿默斯特学院获得历史与政治科学学士学位。

I was reminded of the value of this rigorous, stimulating, and supportive program last week when I attended the annual Fellows Conference at Harvard’s John King Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies (where I was in residence as a Fellow last year, and where I am now an Associate in Research). I was able to present my latest findings and receive a wide range of incisive comments and suggestions from the program directors (Profs. Thomas Christensen and Alastair Iain Johnston) and program alumni—both during the daytime sessions and at meals and related social gatherings. Other participants included promising graduate students and distinguished faculty members such as Prof. Ezra Vogel. I was able to attend Prof. Vogel’s lecture on his definitive biography of one of the most important leaders of the 20^th century, Deng Xiaoping and the Transformation of China. Now I can’t wait to finish reading the book, and to attending next year’s conference.

CWP is currently accepting applications for 2011-12. I’m appending the relevant information and links below, and strongly encourage all those interested to apply.

Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program--2011 Fellows Workshop--Group Photo

About CWP

Founded in 2005, the Princeton-Harvard China and the World program (CWP) is committed to integrating the advanced study of China’s foreign relations into the field of international relations, by bringing exceptional young scholars whose work bridges China studies and international relations together with recognized scholars in these fields.

Fellowship Applications

The fellowship application period for the 2011-2012 fellowships is now open until Jan. 14, 2011.

Princeton University and Harvard University jointly founded the fellowship program for the advanced study of China’s international relations, the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program (CWP), in 2005. The program’s co-directors are Thomas J. Christensen of Princeton’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs and Alastair Iain Johnston of Harvard’s Government Department. The China and the World Program supports research that integrates theoretical innovations in the field of international relations with the rigorous study of China’s interactions with countries, regions, institutions, and non-state actors.

In 2012-2013, the program will award several one-year “postdoctoral research associate” positions. Preference will be given to scholars who have defended their dissertations in the past few years and are currently working on revising their Ph.D. thesis for publication as a book or who are just beginning a second major project. Depending on their areas of interest, fellows will reside at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School or Harvard University’s Center for Government and International Studies and are expected to participate actively in the intellectual life of these institutions.

Qualifications:

Applicants must have received a PhD before starting the fellowship. Only applicants working on some aspect of China’s relations with the outside world that supports CWP’s mission need apply.

Application Process:

To apply, you will be required to submit an online application at “Jobs at Princeton” https://jobs.princeton.edu/. Search for “Post Doctoral Research Associate-Princeton Harvard China and the World Program,” requisition number 0110601, and follow the instructions on creating an application.

You are required to submit

• 1-2 page cover letter that briefly states your interest in the program, your background, and a summary of your research project
• CV
• project description
• 2 scholarly writing samples
• Contact information for two references

Please note that you will only submit contact information and the email of your referees. Your referee will then receive an automated email with instructions on how to submit a confidential recommendation on your behalf. All recommendations must be received by the deadline. 

Applicants will be notified of the outcome of their applications in March 2012.

For more information about the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program, please visit its website at www.princeton.edu/cwp or email cwp@princeton.edu.

Princeton University is an equal opportunity employer and complies with applicable EEO and affirmative action regulations.

This talk by Dr. Andrew S. Erickson, China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI), introduced Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles, the 5^th volume in the Naval Institute Press Series “Studies in Chinese Maritime Development.” This is the first book to address both the Chinese aerospace challenge and its implications for U.S. naval strategy.

Click here to view a webcast of Erickson’s lecture.

Dr. Andrew S. Erickson, Chinese Aerospace Power Book Lecture, Naval War College Museum, 8 September 2011 from Andrew Erickson on Vimeo.

Click here for more information on the book being presented: Andrew S. Erickson and Lyle J. Goldstein, eds., Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2011).

This is the first event in a new season of the 8 Bells Book Lecture Series sponsored by the Naval War College Museum. The event will consist of a presentation by Dr. Erickson followed by questions and discussion. A limited number of copies of Chinese Aerospace Power will be available for purchase on-site through the Naval War College Foundation Store. Dr. Erickson will be happy to answer any questions about the book and to sign any copies.

Public access to the Museum with a personal vehicle is through Gate 1 of U.S. Naval Station, Newport. Reservations and photo identification are necessary for entry onto the Naval Station. For reservations and base access, please be sure to call Kelly Folger at the Naval War College Museum at 401.841.2101 by noon on Wednesday 7 September (at least 24 hours prior to the lecture).

To contact the Naval War College Foundation Store, please call 866.490.3334 (M-F 10:00 a.m.- 4:30 p.m.).

For directions to the Naval War College Campus, click here.

For further information, please contact:

Click here for more information on the book being presented: Andrew S. Erickson and Lyle J. Goldstein, eds., Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2011).

China’s aircraft carrier program is already making major waves well before the first ship has even been completed. Undoubtedly, this development heralds a new era in Chinese national security policy. While Chinese Aerospace Power presents substantial new insight on that particular question, its main focus is decidedly broader in scope. This book offers a comprehensive survey of Chinese aerospace developments, with a concentration on areas of potential strategic significance previously unexplored in Western scholarship. It also links these developments to the vast maritime battlespace of the Asia-Pacific region and highlights the consequent implications for the U.S. military, particularly the U.S. Navy.

The possibility of a future Chinese expeditionary force operating off Africa under the protective umbrella of carrier aircraft is not without consequence for the global strategic balance. However, a simpler set of aerospace systems, from microsatellites to unmanned aerial vehicles to ballistic and cruise missiles are already challenging U.S. maritime dominance in East Asia. Cumulatively, progress in all major aerospace dimensions by various elements of the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) signifies a new period in which Chinese forces are now decisively altering the complexion of the military balance in the East Asian littoral.

While many articles and books have previously been written on Chinese aerospace development and many more discuss future U.S. naval strategy in the Asia-Pacific region, no other book connects the two issues, simultaneously evaluating the Chinese aerospace challenge and its implications for U.S. naval strategy.

Chinese Aerospace Power offers both broad strategic context for the lay reader and considerable insights for even the most well-informed specialists, with no fewer than five chapters devoting coverage to significant aspects of China’s development of a “carrier killer” anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM).

Dr. Andrew S. Erickson is an Associate Professor in the Strategic Research Department at the U.S. Naval War College and a founding member of the department’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI). He is an Associate in Research at Harvard University’s John King Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies (2008-). Erickson received his Ph.D. and M.A. in international relations and comparative politics from Princeton University and graduated magna cum laude from Amherst College. Erickson is coeditor of, and a contributor to, the Naval Institute Press book series, “Studies in Chinese Maritime Development,” comprising Chinese Aerospace Power (2011), China, the U.S., and 21st Century Sea Power (2010), China Goes to Sea (2009), China’s Energy Strategy (2008), and China’s Future Nuclear Submarine Force (2007); as well as the Naval War College Newport Paper China’s Nuclear Force Modernization. His research websites are www.andrewerickson.com and www.chinasignpost.com.

Click here for a copy of the conference flyer.

Workshop Date: Friday, May 13, 2011, 1:00 pm

Location: Harvard University, CGIS South, Room S050, 1730 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA

Organizers: Felix Boecking, University of Edinburgh, An Wang Postdoctoral Fellow, and Andrew Erickson, US Naval War College, Princeton-Harvard China and the World Postdoctoral Fellow

In the 18th century, the Qing Empire conducted a series of successful military campaigns on its Central Asian frontier at the same time as experiencing a period of economic prosperity. By the late 19th century, China had suffered several military defeats against Western powers and been forced to re-open its economy to the world market. As the imperial government had to find new ways to finance the expenditure needed to create a modern military, Chinese officials and intellectuals began to think about modern ways in warfare and public finance as being linked, as they were in the Western states with whom the Chinese empire found itself in conflict. From this point onward, fiscal and economic factors were instrumental in shaping the foreign and security policy of successive Chinese governments. And yet, these factors have not received a proportionate amount of attention in academic writing.

All the papers presented at this workshop engage with the balance between economic and political/military strength in Chinese foreign policy-making, with one historical paper each on the late Qing, Republican, and early Chinese Communist state, and three papers on contemporary PRC foreign policy. The research presented at this workshop will demonstrate the extent to which the ability of successive governments of China to achieve their foreign and security policy objectives depended on the strength of their fiscal and economic policy. This, in turn, suggests that economic statecraft is a key paradigm in understanding China’s foreign relations—a finding that we regard as the central contribution of our research to historically informed understandings of China’s foreign relations.

Program

Panel 1 (1:30-3:30 pm)

Chair/discussant: Robert Ross (Boston College)

Presenters:

M. Taylor Fravel (MIT), “Economic Growth, Regime Insecurity, and Military Strategy: Non-Combat Operations in China’s Rise”

Andrew Erickson (US Naval War College, PHCW postdoctoral fellow), “Chinese Defense Expenditures: Implications for Foreign and Security Policy”

William Norris (Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program), “Business-Government Relations and Contemporary Chinese Economic Statecraft”

Tea/coffee (3:30-4:00 pm)

Panel 2 (4:00-6:00 pm)

Chair/discussant: Elisabeth Köll (Harvard Business School)

Presenters:

Stephen Halsey (UMiami), “Para-statal Enterprises and Economic Development in Late Qing Foreign Policy”

Felix Boecking (University of Edinburgh/An Wang postdoctoral fellow) and Monika Kauer (research scholar, Harvard), “Sovereignty in Bonds: Chinese Nationalism and Capital Markets, 1927-1939”

Christopher Leighton (MIT), “Patriotic Capital: Private Business and Foreign Policy, 1949-56”

Closing Remarks (6:00-6:15 pm)

Reception (6:15-7:00 pm)

Click here for an adaptive version of the video on Vimeo, as well as the latest sources and analysis.

Click here for a link to videos of this and other CMSI lectures of opportunity. 

China’s anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) is the world’s first and only weapons system potentially capable of targeting a moving carrier strike group (CSG) from long-range, land-based mobile launchers. Top U.S. Navy officials state that it has reached the equivalent of Initial Operational Capability (IOC); it must now be taken seriously by foreign observers, and certain  operational possibilities now have to be taken into account as never before.

Since the 1920s, the U.S. Navy has built its carrier forces around the idea that the air group represents the first and best line of defense for the carrier. The ASBM potentially bypasses the air group and removes it from the defensive equation. Only one other major system has ever offered the possibility of doing this. That is the submarine, and while China is developing a potent fleet, it cannot today effectively conduct advanced anti-submarine warfare (ASW), while the U.S. can. Defense against missiles, by contrast, is potentially an extremely difficult problem for any military, though the U.S. is likely developing and employing a variety of potent countermeasures.

While the exact details remain uncertain, unofficial Chinese sources are increasingly assertive in their claims. One Chinese newspaper claimed in February 2011 that the missile has been deployed. A December 2010 opinion editorial in People’s Daily Online called U.S. CSGs “an easy target.”

Perhaps most important for U.S. analysts of China’s anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) capabilities development to understand now is how Chinese sources—including the Second Artillery’s authoritative handbook, the PLA Navy’s official magazine, technical studies by Second Artillery Engineering Academy researchers, and state shipbuilding industry-affiliated publications—view China’s ASBM development, its potential deterrence value, and its potential strategic and operational benefits, risks, and vulnerabilities. This lecture covers Chinese open source ASBM analysis comprehensively to give a deep sense of how Chinese strategists and analysts view a system that has the potential to fundamentally influence the ways of warfare in the Western Pacific.

Dr. Andrew S. Erickson is an Associate Professor in the Strategic Research Department at the U.S. Naval War College and a founding member of the department’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI). He is a Fellow in the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program, an Associate in Research at Harvard University’s Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, and a Fellow in the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations’ Public Intellectuals Program. Erickson has been studying ASBM development using Chinese language open sources since summer 2008, and has published his findings in Proceedings, Naval War College Review, Jane’s Intelligence Review, and China Brief.

For the latest sources and analysis on Chinese ASBM development and testing, see China’s Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Reaches Equivalent of “Initial Operational Capability” (IOC)—Where It’s Going and What it Means.

For detailed analysis of Admiral Willard’s statement regarding China’s ASBM reaching IOC, see Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins, “China Deploys World’s First Long-Range, Land-Based ‘Carrier Killer’: DF-21D Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Reaches ‘Initial Operational Capability’ (IOC),” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 14 (26 December 2010).

For further background on Chinese ASBM development, see also “China Testing Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM); U.S. Preparing Accordingly–Updated With Latest Analysis & Sources.”

Andrew S. Erickson, “Beijing’s Maritime-Aerospace Revolution: Trajectory and Implications,” Presented at “The Rise of China’s Military: Consequences for the U.S. and Our Allies” panel discussion, Center for National Policy, Washington, DC, 9 February 2011.

Complete webcast and transcript of panel discussion available here.

Where
Center for National Policy
One Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Suite 333
Washington, DC  20001
202-682-1800

Map
Click here

When
Feb 09   12:00 pm – 1:15 pm

In a panel discussion on 9 February 2011 at the Center for National Policy in Washington, DC, Andrew Erickson, Abraham Denmark, and Roger Cliff discussed the PRC’s naval and air capabilities and how their development impacts the security interests of the United States and its regional allies. Following presentations by the speakers, CNP Vice-President Scott Bates will moderated questions from the audience.

Featured:

Andrew Erickson,
U.S. Naval War College

Abraham Denmark,
CNAS

Roger Cliff,
RAND Corporation

DVD of conference available here.

Featuring Keynote Address by

The Honorable Kurt M. Campbell

Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs

Thursday, February 10, 2011

Root Conference Room

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

1779 Massachusetts Avenue Northwest
Washington D.C., DC 20036-2109

*Registration for this conference will open on January 3, 2011*

**Members of the Friends of Jamestown Program will receive a 50% discount on conference admission.**

REGISTRATION:

8:30 A.M. - 9:00 A.M.

OPENING REMARKS:

9:00 A.M. – 9:15 A.M

“MILITARY POWER IN CHINA’S GRAND STRATEGY”

Arthur Waldron
Lauder Professor of International Relations, University of Pennsylvania

PANEL ONE:

9:15 A.M. – 10:30 A.M.

CHINA’S RISE & GLOBAL SECURITY

Moderator:

L.C. Russell Hsiao
Editor, China Brief
Presenters:

“Beijing’s Quasi-Superpower Diplomacy & Expanding Core Interests”
Willy Lam
Senior Fellow, The Jamestown Foundation

“China’s Rise in the Changing Strategic Landscape”
Michael Green
Senior Adviser and Japan Chair, CSIS
Associate Professor, Georgetown University

“Military Balance and Cross-Strait Relations”
To be announced (TBA)

COFFEE BREAK:

10:30 A.M. – 10:45 A.M.
_
PANEL TWO:

10:45 A.M. – 12:00 P.M.

FORCE STRUCTURE & MISSIONS

Moderator:
Ambassador Stapleton Roy
Director, Kissinger Institute on China and the United States, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

Presenters:
“The Chinese Armed Forces Structure and Evolving Missions”
Dennis Blasko
Former Military Intelligence Officer and Foreign Area Officer specializing in China

“The Ten Pillars of the PLAAF”
Kenneth Allen
Senior Research Analyst, DGI’s Center for Intelligence Research

“Second Artillery Corps”

Mark Stokes
Executive Director, Project 2049 Institute

LUNCHEON AND KEYNOTE ADDRESS

12:00 PM – 1:15 PM

The Honorable Kurt Campbell
Assistant Secretary of State
Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs

Q & A
PANEL THREE:

1:15 PM – 2:30 PM
NAVAL MODERNIZATION & STRATEGIC THINKING

Moderator:

RADM Michael McDevitt, USN (Ret.)

Vice President, Center for Naval Analyses

Presenters:

“Strategic Thinking in China’s Naval Modernization”

Dan Blumenthal

Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute

“China’s Anti-Access/Area Denial Capabilities”

Andrew Erickson
Associate Professor, U.S. Naval War College

“The PLAN’s Evolving Naval Doctrine & Strategy”
Nan Li
Associate Professor, U.S. Naval War College

COFFEE BREAK:

2:30 P.M. – 2:45 P.M.

PANEL FOUR:

2:45 P.M. – 4:00 P.M

THE FUTURE OF CHINA DEFENSE & SECURITY

Moderator:
Richard C. Bush III
Director of the Center for Northeast Asian Policy Studies, Brookings Institution

Presenters:
“Science & Technology in China’s Defense Modernization”
Tai Ming Cheung
Associate Research Scientist, IGCC

“Information Warfare and China’s Cyber-warfare Capabilities”
To be announced (TBA)

“Advances in China’s Space Program”
Dean Cheng
Research Fellow, Heritage Foundation

CONCLUSION:

4:00 P.M.

China is the first developing nation to have achieved comprehensive aerospace capabilities. Its long-lagging aviation industry is finally reaching internationally-capable levels. The commercial dynamism far exceeds anything that Cold War China or the Soviet Union could ever have produced. Comparing and explaining varying levels of aerospace technology attainment among developing great powers—primarily China, with comparative case studies involving India and Brazil—offers insights into what leads to different kinds of aerospace development, and why different great powers adopt different technological strategies to further their power. The metric of “full-spectrum” aerospace development offers insights into a vital subject: what type of power will China become?

Dr. Andrew S. Erickson is associate professor in the strategic research department at the U.S. Naval War College and a founding member of the department’s China Maritime Studies Institute. He is also a fellow in the Public Intellectuals Program of the National Committee on US-China Relations. Professor Erickson received his PhD and MA in international relations and comparative politics from Princeton. He is coeditor of the Naval Institute Press book series, “Studies in Chinese Maritime Development,” the latest volume of which is China, the U.S., and 21st Century Sea Power (forthcoming 2010). During the 2010-2011 academic year, Professor Erickson will be a Harvard-Princeton China and the World fellow, and will work on a book project concerning Chinese aerospace development.

Location: CGIS South, Room S153
1730 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA
Contact: lkluz@fas.harvard.edu

4:30 pm, Wednesday, 29 September 2010

Bowl 2, Robertson Hall, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ

Beijing’s air and space components are finally on the verge of giving the country’s leaders something they have dreamed of since before the founding of the People’s Republic of China (PRC): a reliable instrument of national power. China is the first developing nation to have developed comprehensive aerospace capabilities. Even its long-lagging aviation industry is finally reaching internationally-capable levels. The commercial dynamism far exceeds anything that Cold War China or the Soviet Union could ever have produced. The metric of “full-spectrum” aerospace development offers insights into a vital subject: what type of power will China become? Comparing and explaining varying levels of aerospace technology attainment among developing great powers—primarily China, with comparative case studies involving India and Brazil—offers insights into what leads to different kinds of aerospace development, and why different great powers adopt different technological strategies to further their power. This lecture will examine both areas of strength and ongoing limitations in Chinese aerospace capabilities to yield a nuanced sense of possible futures for China as an actor in the international system.

Dr. Andrew S. Erickson is an associate professor in the Strategic Research Department at the U.S. Naval War College and a founding member of the department’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI). He is also a Fellow in the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations’ Public Intellectuals Program. Erickson received his Ph.D. and M.A. in international relations and comparative politics from Princeton University. He is coeditor of, and a contributor to, the Naval Institute Press book series, “Studies in Chinese Maritime Development,” the fourth and latest volume of which is China, the U.S., and 21st Century Sea Power (forthcoming 2010). During 2010-11, Erickson is a Fellow in the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program, where he is working on a book project concerning Chinese aerospace development. He can be reached through www.andrewerickson.com.

This talk is sponsored by the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program of the Woodrow Wilson School whose mission is to encourage research on China’s foreign relations and China within the international relations context.