A new way to understand China...

Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

24 August 2011 ~ View Comments

Key Quotes from 2011 DoD Report on China’s Military

Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011
p. 2
Ballistic and Cruise Missiles.
… By December 2010, the PLA had deployed between 1,000 and 1,200 short-range ballistic missiles (SRBM) to units opposite Taiwan. To improve the lethality of this force, the PLA is introducing variants of missiles with improved ranges, accuracies, and payloads. …
p. [...]

24 August 2011 ~ View Comments

Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011 Full Text Just Released

Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011

24 August 2011 ~ View Comments

Report on Military and Security Developments in China Released

Report on Military and Security Developments in China Released
Wed, 24 Aug 2011 09:17:00 -0500
________________________________
 No. 072-11          August 24, 2011               
Report on Military and Security Developments in China Released
Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense (East Asia) Michael Schiffer will hold a press briefing today on the 2011 DoD Report to Congress on the “Military and Security Developments [...]

24 August 2011 ~ View Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #46: “A Smoking Cursor? New Window Opens on China’s Potential Cyberwarfare Development–CCTV 7 program raises new questions about Beijing’s support for hacking”

Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins, “A Smoking Cursor? New Window Opens on China’s Potential Cyberwarfare Development: CCTV 7 program raises new questions about Beijing’s support for hacking,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 46 (24 August 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
The positions expressed here are the authors’ personal views. They do not represent the U.S. Naval War College, Navy, [...]

22 August 2011 ~ View Comments

William Choong, Straits Times: “Reasons to Fear China’s Aircraft Carrier”

William Choong, “Reasons to Fear China’s Aircraft Carrier,” Straits Times, 19 August 2011.
Last week, China said it had deployed its first aircraft carrier for an inaugural sea trial. Speaking at a Chinese Defence Ministry briefing last month, Colonel Geng Yansheng stressed that the carrier would be used for “research, experiment and training” and would not [...]

22 August 2011 ~ View Comments

David Axe, The Diplomat: “China, the US and Transparency”

David Axe, “China, the US and Transparency,” The Diplomat, 22 August 2011.
Lately, every major Chinese military development has provoked the same response from the US government. The American reaction to the appearance of new aircraft, ships and missiles is to ask, essentially, ‘What’s it for?’ …
But this lack of transparency can cut both ways, according [...]

19 August 2011 ~ View Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #45–“Tango for Trade, Samba for Sales: Strategic Implications of China’s Growing Investment and Commercial Ties in Latin America”

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “Tango for Trade, Samba for Sales: Strategic Implications of China’s Growing Investment and Commercial Ties in Latin America,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 45 (19 August 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Executive Summary
–China’s annual trade with Latin American countries is now worth at least US$118 billion per year, nearly 12 times larger than what it [...]

17 August 2011 ~ View Comments

Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles Praised by Feng on Information Dissemination

Feng, “Review of Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles,” Information Dissemination, 16 August 2011.
I recently had a chance to read “Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles.” This book is the fifth installment in the series “Studies in Chinese Maritime Development” and can be found here on Amazon.
In the past, I have found works by Andrew [...]

15 August 2011 ~ View Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #44: “China’s S-Curve Trajectory: Structural factors will likely slow the growth of China’s economy and comprehensive national power”

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “China’s S-Curve Trajectory: Structural factors will likely slow the growth of China’s economy and comprehensive national power,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 44 (15 August 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Key Points:
 –China is likely to follow an S-Curve-shaped path of slowing growth as key internal and external challenges—including pollution, corruption, chronic diseases, water shortages, growing [...]

15 August 2011 ~ View Comments

China Goes to Sea Commended by Dave Mugridge in Canadian Naval Review

Dave Mugridge, review of Andrew S. Erickson, Lyle J. Goldstein, and Carnes Lord, eds., China Goes to Sea: Maritime Transformation in Comparative Historical Perspective (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, July 2009) in Canadian Naval Review, 7.2 (Summer 2011): 42-43.
This book is a wonderful academic review not just of China’s maritime power but of the history [...]