Hi! Welcome...

Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

08 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Defense Budget: A Mixed Bag

Zachary Keck, “China’s Defense Budget: A Mixed Bag,” The Diplomat, 8 March 2014.
For the U.S. and its allies, China’s new defense budget contains both bad news and good news. …
Let’s begin with the bad. First, as is well known, China’s military spending in 2014 is almost certain to far exceed $132 billion, as Beijing is [...]

05 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China Announces 12.2% Increase in Military Budget

Edward Wong, “China Announces 12.2% Increase in Military Budget,” New York Times, 5 March 2014.
… Andrew S. Erickson, an associate professor at the U.S. Naval War College, said that China’s military spending growth was impressive but could slow, given that it is dependent on the nation’s overall economic health.
“China’s military budget growth continues to steam [...]

05 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Full Steam Ahead: China’s Ever-Increasing Military Budget

Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff, “Full Steam Ahead: China’s Ever-Increasing Military Budget,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 5 March 2014.
China’s official defense budget is projected to increase 12.2% in 2014 to roughly 808 billion yuan ($132 Billion), while the country’s economic growth is expected to hold steady at 7.5%, according [...]

04 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

It’s Official: China’s Official Defense Budget to Increase 12.2% in 2014 to ~$132 Billion (808.2 Billion Yuan)

“China Defense Budget to Increase 12.2% in 2014,” Xinhua, 5 March 2014.
Updated: 2014-03-05 09:18
BEIJING - China plans to raise its defense budget by 12.2 percent to 808.2 billion yuan (about $132 billion) in 2014, according to a budget report to be reviewed by the national legislature on Wednesday.
In 2013, the country spent 720.197 billion yuan on [...]

04 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Chinese Air- and Space-Based ISR: Integrating Aerospace Combat Capabilities over the Near Seas

Andrew S. Erickson, “Chinese Air- and Space-Based ISR: Integrating Aerospace Combat Capabilities over the Near Seas,” in Peter Dutton, Andrew S. Erickson, and Ryan Martinson, eds., China’s Near Seas Combat Capabilities, Naval War College China Maritime Study 11 (February 2014), 87-117.
China’s progressively more potent naval platforms, aircraft, and missiles are increasingly capable of holding U.S. Navy platforms [...]

04 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Near Seas Combat Capabilities (CMSI China Maritime Study #11)

Peter Dutton, Andrew S. Erickson, and Ryan Martinson, eds., China’s Near Seas Combat Capabilities, Naval War College China Maritime Study 11 (February 2014).
Contents
CHAPTER ONE Chinese Houbei Fast Attack Craft: Beyond Sea Denial…………..1
by John Patch
CHAPTER TWO Underwater TELs and China’s Antisubmarine Warfare: Evolving Strength and a Calculated Weakness……………………17
by William S. Murray
CHAPTER THREE China’s Second Artillery Force: Capabilities [...]

25 February 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Forthcoming Naval Institute Press Volume “Rebalancing U.S. Forces: Basing and Forward Presence in the Asia-Pacific” Reviewed in Defense & Foreign Affairs

“Essential Reading: Pacific Overtures: A New US Study Calls Into Question the Viability of Major USN Fleet Elements,” Important New Strategic Literature; review of Carnes Lord and Andrew S. Erickson, eds., Rebalancing U.S. Forces: Basing and Forward Presence in the Asia-Pacific (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2014); Defense & Foreign Affairs Special Analysis 32.18 (25 February 2014): 1-2.
Carnes Lord and Andrew [...]

20 February 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #80—“King Coal Reigns: North America’s Shale Gas Boom Will Force China to Continue Relying on Coal”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “King Coal Reigns: North America’s Shale Gas Boom Will Force China to Continue Relying on Coal,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 80 (21 February 2014).
China SignPost™ (洞察中国)–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Key Points: Unless Chinese industrial consumers use low-cost coal, they will likely not be competitive in the export market with their [...]

17 February 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #79—“ China Car Sales: New Pockets of Opportunity”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson,  “China Car Sales: New Pockets of Opportunity,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 79 (29 December 2013).
China SignPost™ (洞察中国)–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©

China’s market for new passenger cars is maturing, but the overall outlook for 
car fleet expansion remains bright for at least 5-7 more years.
Even in a pessimistic scenario, Chinese are [...]

13 February 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Scholars Highlight Sino-Japanese Security Dynamics, Defense Infrastructure in Stanford China Program

“Scholars Highlight Sino-Japanese Security Dynamics, Defense Infrastructure,” Stanford China Program News, 11 February 2014. … Two important seminar series at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center this winter quarter—one examining the future of China under the new leadership of Xi Jinping, and a second looking at the Sino-Japanese rivalry—explore these issues in depth and [...]