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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

11 May 2016

PLA Recruiting Ad: The Rap Video—Annotated Translations by Dr. Kevin Jensen & Prof. Mark Metcalf

PLA Recruiting Ad: The Rap Video
中国军网发布2016征兵宣传片:战斗宣言
Click here to watch on YouTube
酷炫的征兵宣传片一部满足不了你?我们给你一打!征兵宣传片混剪,最精彩的画面、最具血性的镜头都在这里,看完它,你就是下一位军营男神!
Background and summary from South China Morning Post:
‘Just waiting for the order to kill, kill, kill’: China’s military tries to woo young recruits with slick video featuring rock and rap soundtrack

Excerpts from video translated by Kevin A. Jensen, Ph.D., former Assistant Professor of Chinese, United […]

11 May 2016

Tomorrow: “Sixth Annual China Defense and Security Conference,” Jamestown Foundation, Thurs. 12 May 2016

“Sixth Annual China Defense and Security Conference,” sponsored by Jamestown Foundation, to be held at The University Club of Washington, DC, 12 May 2016.
The Jamestown Foundation, publisher of the noted China Brief, is proud to announce that the Sixth Annual China Defense and Security Conference will be held on May 12th. The conference will feature […]

10 May 2016

China’s Expanding Ability to Conduct Conventional Missile Strikes on Guam

Jordan Wilson, China’s Expanding Ability to Conduct Conventional Missile Strikes on Guam (Washington, DC: U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, 10 May 2016).
Executive Summary
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) perceives that its legitimacy in the eyes of China’s citizens is based, in part, on its ability to demonstrate that it is capable of strengthening the […]

09 May 2016

Managing the U.S.-Philippine Alliance under President-elect Rodrigo Duterte Will Require Understanding “Ambivalent Alignment”: The Complex Politics of American Security Ties in Post-Authoritarian East Asia

In the Philippines, America’s colonial legacy casts a long shadow. The military-basing agreement between the United States and the Philippines following its independence, due to expire in 1991, drew increasing Filipino elite opposition in the 1980s. In June 1991, Mt. Pinatubo’s eruption destroyed Clark Air Base. U.S. and Filipino negotiators could not agree on a […]

08 May 2016

New Edition of Ron O’Rourke’s Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report—“Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress”

Ronald O’Rourke, Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 27 April 2016), R42784.
Summary
China’s actions for asserting and defending its maritime territorial and exclusive economic zone (EEZ) claims in the East China (ECS) and South China Sea (SCS), particularly since late 2013, have heightened concerns among observers […]

06 May 2016

Water Resource Competition in the Brahmaputra River Basin: China, India, and Bangladesh

Nilanthi Samaranayake, Satu Limaye, and Joel Wuthnow, Water Resource Competition in the Brahmaputra River Basin: China, India, and Bangladesh (Arlington, VA: CNA, May 2016).
Abstract
The Brahmaputra River originates in China and runs through India and Bangladesh. China and India have fought a war over contested territory through which the river flows, and Bangladesh faces human […]

03 May 2016

Want Cutting-Edge China Maritime Insights? Then Take a Read through The Complete Ryan Martinson Bookshelf!

For analysis of Chinese maritime policy and China Coast Guard development, it simply doesn’t get any better than this! Enjoy this one-stop library of my colleague Ryan Martinson’s work:
 
Ryan D. Martinson, “The 13th Five-Year Plan: A New Chapter in China’s Maritime Transformation,” Jamestown China Brief, 12 January 2016. 
Ryan D. Martinson, “Deciphering China’s Armed Intrusion Near […]

29 April 2016

Shifting Waters: China’s New Passive Assertiveness in Asian Maritime Security

Ashley Townshend and Prof Rory Medcalf, Shifting Waters: China’s New Passive Assertiveness in Asian Maritime Security (Sydney: Lowy Institute, 29 April 2016).
In this Report, Ashley Townshend and Lowy Institute Nonresident Fellow Professor Rory Medcalf examine China’s evolving maritime security conduct. They argue that China’s less confrontational but more strategically assertive behaviour has paradoxical implications for regional security, lowering […]

28 April 2016

Does China Have an Aging Problem? Yes, a China-sized One! Staggering Specifics from Dr. Huang Yanzhong & CSIS’s ChinaPower Project

China’s rapid aging and increasingly-imbalanced demographics will increasingly represent a headwind and downside risk on major aspects of its development and accretion of national power.
Read this seminal multimedia report to learn more about these pivotal population trends:
“Does China Have an Aging Problem?” ChinaPower, Center for Strategic & International Studies, 21 April 2016.
Does China have an […]

25 April 2016

Register Now for “Sixth Annual China Defense and Security Conference,” Jamestown Foundation, Thurs. 12 May 2016

“Sixth Annual China Defense and Security Conference,” sponsored by Jamestown Foundation, to be held at The University Club of Washington, DC, 12 May 2016.
The Jamestown Foundation, publisher of the noted China Brief, is proud to announce that the Sixth Annual China Defense and Security Conference will be held on May 12th. The conference will feature […]

21 April 2016

How Does China’s First Aircraft Carrier Stack Up?

I’m honored to have been interviewed on China’s deck aviation development and future prospects for CSIS’s new China Power Project, just launched under the leadership of Bonnie Glaser. Check out other China Power interviews here.
Andrew S. Erickson, “How Does China’s First Aircraft Carrier Stack Up?” interview for China Power Project, Center for Strategic and International […]

21 April 2016

“Security Challenges Facing a New Administration”—Center for International Security Studies Annual Conference 2016

Andrew S. Erickson, “Managing U.S.-China Relations in a 21st Century World,” presented on “Asia and the Pacific” panel, “Security Challenges Facing a New Administration,” Center for International Security Studies Annual Conference, Princeton University, 22 April 2016.

I’m honored to have had the opportunity to present on 22 April 2016 at the Center for International Security Studies (CISS) […]

21 April 2016

Model Maritime Militia: Tanmen’s Leading Role in the April 2012 Scarborough Shoal Incident

Conor M. Kennedy and Andrew S. Erickson, “Model Maritime Militia: Tanmen’s Leading Role in the April 2012 Scarborough Shoal Incident,” Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), 21 April 2016.
This series on the leading maritime militias of Hainan Province began by examining the “rights protection” efforts of Sanya City’s maritime militia, whose exploits have given them a prominent […]