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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

04 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Dr. Shi Yinhong: Territorial Dispute-Related “Tension Between China and the US and U.S. Allies Will Deteriorate Rather Than Improve”

It’s always important to understand the context of strong quotations like the ones below. Sometimes essential factors are not captured initially, and things become clearer with time. But John Garnaut is an highly-experienced, extremely-reputable journalist and Dr. Shi Yinhong (时殷弘)’s views always merit close consideration. While he no doubt had to use his academic title [...]

03 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Strategic Rocket Force: Sharpening the Sword (Part 1 of 2)

Andrew S. Erickson and Michael S. Chase, “China’s Strategic Rocket Force: Sharpening the Sword (Part 1 of 2),” Jamestown China Brief 14.13 (3 July 2014).

The Second Artillery has made significant progress, particularly in modernizing its hardware, but also operations and training.
Its main mission remains deterrence, especially toward U.S. intervention in a regional conflict.
This deterrence mission increasingly [...]

02 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s RIMPAC Debut: What’s in It for America?

Invitations aren’t everything: China’s navy (legally) monitored RIMPAC 2012 in the U.S. EEZ despite lacking invitation to do so, or to participate in the exercise itself.
DoD’s 2013 report on China’s military explains: “the PLA Navy has begun to conduct military activities within the Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) of other nations, without the permission of those coastal [...]

02 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

After China: The Proliferation of Cruise Missiles

Robert Farley, “After China: The Proliferation of Cruise Missiles,” The Diplomat, 3 July 2014.
China may be demonstrating to its neighbors just how valuable cruise missiles can be.
The recent monograph by Dennis Gormley and Andrew Erickson on the development and relevance of China’s cruise missile force has received just acclaim from all quarters. Over the past two decades, [...]

02 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors,” Acta Astronautica (26 June 2014).
Copyright © 2014 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Highlights
• China’s first space achievements were in military/civilian rockets and satellites.
• Nuclear power status and deterrence required missiles to credibly deliver warheads.
• Satellites were also prioritized for strategic reasons and [...]

02 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

What Explains China’s Comprehensive but Uneven Aerospace Development?

Andrew S. Erickson, “What Explains China’s Comprehensive but Uneven Aerospace Development?” in Christophe Rothmund, ed., Proceedings of the Forty-Third History Symposium of the International Academy of Astronautics, American Astronautical Society (AAS) History Series, Vol. 40 (San Diego, CA: Univelt, 2013), 55-63.
With respect to aerospace development capabilities, China is changing from a developing country whose leaders [...]

01 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Beyond RIMPAC: 3 Ways to Engage China on Security

Natalie Sambhi and Nicole Yeo, “Beyond RIMPAC: 3 Ways to Engage China on Security,” The Diplomat, 2 July 2014.
… 1. Using “Non-Aligned” Countries As Conduits
Given recent tensions in the South China Sea, it is imperative that ASEAN members explore creative options to engage China as well, including through military exercises. …as an Asian Pacific power, the [...]

01 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel Welcomes Japan’s New Collective Self-defense Policy

Hagel Welcomes Japan’s New Collective Self-defense Policy
DoD News, Defense Media Activity
WASHINGTON, July 1, 2014 – Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel today welcomed the Japanese government’s new policy regarding collective self-defense, saying it will enable the Japan Self-Defense Forces to engage in a wider range of operations and make the U.S.-Japan alliance even more effective.
In a reinterpretation [...]

01 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Japan’s Article 9 Challenge

Adam Liff, “Japan’s Article 9 Challenge,” The National Interest, 27 June 2014.
Throughout the postwar period, the Government of Japan’s (GOJ) definition and interpretation of collective self-defense and Article 9 of Japan’s constitution have played a crucial role in how its leaders develop and employ military power. This issue also has had significant implications for its [...]

27 June 2014 ~ 1 Comment

National Committee on U.S.-China Relations Public Intellectuals Program Now Accepting 4th Round Applications

The Public Intellectuals Program (PIP), a flagship program of the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations (NCUSCR), just received a generous two-year grant from Carnegie Corporation of New York that will fund a fourth round of the program. Additional information about PIP, and a call for applications, is available on NCUSCR’s website.
Application deadline: 1 August 2014
PIP, founded [...]

26 June 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Congressman J. Randy Forbes Praises CMSI’s Open Source Research & Publication

Congressman J. Randy Forbes, “China. There, I said it. (Part II),” CSIS PacNet 47 (25 June 2014).
… If Congress is going to be asked to marshal the resources to sustain its enduring interests in the Asia-Pacific region — including a balance of military power that favors the US and its allies — I contended that [...]

24 June 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Could Iraq Be Another Libya for China?

Andrea Ghiselli, “Could Iraq Be Another Libya for China?” The Diplomat, 24 June 2014.
The crisis in Iraq again reveals the costs of China’s low military profile in the region.
On June 13, Beijing’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying declared that China is closely watching the events unfolding in Iraq and paying special attention to the protection of Chinese [...]