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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

26 March 2017

Hainan’s Maritime Militia: China Builds a Standing Vanguard, Pt. 1

Conor M. Kennedy and Andrew S. Erickson, “Hainan’s Maritime Militia: China Builds a Standing Vanguard, Pt. 1,” Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), 26 March 2017.
Reprinted as “Hainan’s Maritime Militia: A Standing Vanguard,” with Conor M. Kennedy, The Maritime Executive, 29 March 2017.
Through the U.S. Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute, the authors have […]

24 March 2017

CMSI China Maritime Report #1: “China’s Third Sea Force, The People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia: Tethered to the PLA”

Conor M. Kennedy and Andrew S. Erickson, China’s Third Sea Force, The People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia: Tethered to the PLA, China Maritime Report 1 (Newport, RI: Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute, March 2017).
  

China’s Third Sea Force,
The People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia:
Tethered to the PLA
 
Conor M. Kennedy and Andrew S. Erickson[1]
 
China Maritime Report […]

24 March 2017

China Open Source Example: Shipyard Details Sansha Maritime Militia Vessel with “Weapons and Equipment Room” (武备库) and “Ammunition Store” (弹药库)

Andrew S. Erickson, “China Open Source Example: Shipyard Details Sansha Maritime Militia Vessel with ‘Weapons and Equipment Room’ (武备库) and ‘Ammunition Store’ (弹药库),” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 24 March 2017.
SUMMARY OF DOCUMENT:
“2015年12月西江船厂58.5米灯光罩网渔船交船” [Xijiang Shipyard’s 58.5 Meter Light Trap Falling-net Fishing Vessel Delivered in December 2015], Taicheng Shipyard, 12 December 2015. Original URL: http://www.tcship.com/news-show.php?lm=1&id=20.
Guangzhou […]

21 March 2017

Peter Hore Reviews “Chinese Naval Shipbuilding” in Warships: International Fleet Review

Peter Hore, “China Reaches for Maritime Manifest Destiny,” includes review of Andrew S. Erickson, ed., Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2016); Warships: International Fleet Review (April 2017): 47-48.
“It highlights the rapid growth in China’s shipbuilding industry and points out, however, that Beijing has made uneven progress and suffers from […]

15 March 2017

China’s Navy Gets a New Helmsman (Part 2): Remaining Uncertainties

Andrew S. Erickson and Kenneth Allen, “China’s Navy Gets a New Helmsman (Part 2): Remaining Uncertainties,” Jamestown China Brief 17.4 (14 March 2017).
Part 1 of this series discussed Vice Admiral Shen Jinlong’s background, meteoric rise, and recent promotion to PLAN Commander. However, his appointment raises a number of questions about his role in the PLA Navy’s modernization, […]

14 March 2017

Rockets and People: Hot Days of the Cold War, Vol. 3

Andrew S. Erickson; review of Boris Chertok, Rockets and People: Hot Days of the Cold War, Vol. 3 (Washington, DC: NASA, 2009); Naval War College Review 70.2 (Spring 2017): 151-53.
Click here for information on this volume and the others in the series. 
Download a full-text PDF here. 
Volume 3 in four-volume series written by Boris Chertok and […]

10 March 2017

From Management Crisis to Crisis Management? Japan’s Post-2012 Institutional Reforms and Sino-Japanese Crisis (In)Stability

My latest peer-reviewed article has just appeared with Prof. Adam P. Liff of Indiana University in the Journal of Strategic Studies. We address the important but under-studied subjects of Japan’s National Security Council (NSC), its post-2012 institutional reforms, and Sino-Japanese crisis (in)stability. In doing so, we analyze the likely implications of recent organizational restructuring and […]

09 March 2017

With Park’s Impeachment, Both South Korea & The Philippines Face “Ambivalent Alignment”: The Complex Politics of American Security Ties in Post-Authoritarian East Asia

Today’s impeachment of South Korean President Park Geun-hye raises the specter of U.S.-ROK relations once again being buffeted by “ambivalent alignment.” National University of Singapore Professor Ja Ian Chong and I coined this term to describe an important and challenging dynamic. In various East Asian societies that have transitioned from authoritarianism towards or into liberal […]

04 March 2017

Beijing to Expand Defense Budget by About 7% This Year; Says it’s Enough to Protect ‘Rights and Interests’

My personal take: As defense spending remains hotly debated in capitals across the West, China continues the concerted multi-decade investment that has already given it what is undisputedly the world’s second-largest defense budget. China’s rate of growth in military spending remains among the highest of any country. This spending comes atop the second highest defense budget […]

02 March 2017

Harvard Asia Center Fellows Seminar: “The People’s Liberation Army: Perspectives from the United States and Japan”

The People’s Liberation Army: Perspectives from the United States and Japan
Date:
Friday, March 3, 2017, 12:15pm to 2:00pm
See also: Asia Center, China, Japan, Fairbank Center
Location:
S153, 1st Floor, CGIS South, 1730 Cambridge St., Cambridge
Asia Center Fellows Seminar Series
Co-sponsored by the Harvard University Asia Center and the Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Harvard University

Lt. Gen. Yoshikazu Watanabe (Ret.), Japan Ground Self-Defense Force (JGSDF), is a senior […]

02 March 2017

China’s Navy Gets a New Helmsman (Part 1): Spotlight on Vice Admiral Shen Jinlong

Andrew S. Erickson and Kenneth Allen, “China’s Navy Gets a New Helmsman (Part 1): Spotlight on Vice Admiral Shen Jinlong,” Jamestown China Brief 17.3 (2 March 2017).
A new leader has just taken the helm of the world’s second largest navy. Vice Admiral Shen Jinlong (沈金龙) reportedly replaced Admiral Wu Shengli (吴胜利) as PLAN Commander on January […]

27 February 2017

Naval War College Professor Updates Congress on China’s Military Capabilities

Daniel L. Kuester, “Naval War College Professor Updates Congress on China’s Military Capabilities,” U.S. Naval War College Public Affairs, 27 February 2017.

NEWPORT, R.I. – An expert on the faculty of U.S. Naval War College (NWC) in Newport, Rhode Island updated Congress on China’s current military capabilities, possible intentions, and what he sees as the […]

26 February 2017

My Testimony before the U.S.-China Commission—“Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Development and Counter-intervention Efforts”—Hearing on China’s Advanced Weapons

Andrew S. Erickson, “Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Development and Counter-intervention Efforts,” testified at Hearing on China’s Advanced Weapons held by U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Washington, DC, 23 February 2017.

Click here to watch a video of the hearing:
00:16:00 – 01:49:00 — Overall timeframe for Panel I: “China’s Hypersonic and Maneuverable […]

25 February 2017

U.S. Wary of Its New Neighbor in Djibouti: A Chinese Naval Base

Andrew Jacobs and Jane Perlez, “U.S. Wary of Its New Neighbor in Djibouti: A Chinese Naval Base,” New York Times, 25 February 2017.
… With no shared border, China and the United States mostly circle each other from afar, relying on satellites and cybersnooping to peek inside the workings of each other’s war machines.
But the two strategic rivals are about […]

25 February 2017

Latest China Security Report from Japan’s National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS) Focuses on Cross-Strait Issues. Access Complete Set of English/Japanese/Chinese Reports (Dating to 2010) Here.

The international community keeps a close watch on China’s security policy and its military trends. The Japanese public has been increasingly aware of the large impact of China’s rising military (and economic) power that may have a huge impact on Japanese security. China, now the second largest economy in the world, has become an essentially […]

17 February 2017

U.S.-China Economic & Security Review Commission Holds Hearing on China’s Advanced Weapons, Thurs. 23 February 2017, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Rm. 419

HEARING ON CHINA’S ADVANCED WEAPONS
Thursday, February 23, 2017
Dirksen Senate Office Building, Room 419
Washington, DC
Here is the link to the video of the hearing if it does not autoload above:
http://www.senate.gov/isvp/?type=live&comm=uscc&filename=uscc022317
Hearing Co-Chairs: Chairman Carolyn Bartholomew and Senator James Talent
9:35 AM – 11:05 AM:         Panel I: China’s Hypersonic and Maneuverable Re-Entry Vehicle Programs

James Acton, Ph.D., Co-Director of […]

09 February 2017

Australian Navy League’s The Navy Magazine Reviews “Chinese Naval Shipbuilding”

Review of Andrew S. Erickson, ed., Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2016); The Navy Magazine, Australian Navy League, 79.1 (January-March 2017).
This is an important, timely and indeed ambitious book at a pivotal moment in World history. In understanding China’s Shipbuilding and Designs one also gains a glimpse into the cultural […]

08 February 2017

China’s Naval Shipbuilding Sets Sail

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Naval Shipbuilding Sets Sail,” The National Interest, 8 February 2017.
Republished on RealClearDefense, 9 February 2017.
The United States needs to reengineer a naval shipbuilding “sweet spot.”
China has parlayed the world’s second-largest economy and second-largest defense budget into the world’s largest ongoing comprehensive naval buildup, which has already yielded the world’s second-largest navy. All […]

08 February 2017

China Open Source Example: Proposal to Hainan Government Reveals Maritime Militia Activities

Andrew S. Erickson, “China Open Source Example: Proposal to Hainan Government Reveals Maritime Militia Activities,” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 7 February 2017.
SUMMARY OF THE PROPOSAL DOCUMENT:
“关于建设南海渔业后勤补给基地, 发展南海渔业生产的建议” [Proposal on Establishing Fisheries Logistics Supply Bases and Developing Fisheries Production in the South China Sea], submitted to the Hainan Provincial Government, 2 February 2015.
In February 2015, […]