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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

20 July 2017

Naval War College Seeks Two Assistant/Associate/Full Professors: Security Studies & Naval Warfare Analysis

Here’s a great opportunity for two scholars to join a world-class research community in a prime location. Do you (or someone you know) have years of experience in warfare analysis, excellent critical thinking skills, and a desire to work closely with the best in the field? Getting tired of a Beltway commute or working from […]

18 July 2017

Featured in Latest Issue of Survival: “Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course”

Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course
Andrew S. Erickson, ed. Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2016. $39.95. 357 pp.
“According to the editor, China’s naval shipbuilding industry is an overlooked element in the country’s overall growth strategy and policy goals. The contributors – comprising sailors, scholars and industry professionals – seek to assess China’s prospects […]

11 July 2017

From Management Crisis to Crisis Management? Japan’s Post-2012 Institutional Reforms and Sino-Japanese Crisis (In)Stability

My latest peer-reviewed article has just been published in the newest print issue of Journal of Strategic Studies. I coauthored it with Professor Adam P. Liff of Indiana University. We address the important but under-studied subjects of Japan’s National Security Council (NSC), its post-2012 institutional reforms, and Sino-Japanese crisis (in)stability. In doing so, we analyze the […]

03 July 2017

In Loving Memory: The Wall Street Journal’s China Real Time Report

Through June 2017, the China Real Time Report (中国实时报) website offered pithy insights from Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones reporters as well as from a team of specialized “expert contributor” commentators knowledgeable about the latest developments in such fields as Chinese law, policy, economics, and culture. It was my great honor to be a member […]

03 July 2017

Full Text of National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC) 2017 “Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat” Report

National Air and Space Intelligence Center, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat (Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, OH, 2017).
Click here to read the full text of the report. 
Issued four years after the previous iteration, this detailed report is to be welcomed. Perhaps due to the vagaries of bureaucratic processes, it may not mesh perfectly with other official statements, but […]

15 June 2017

“Chinese Naval Shipbuilding” Reviewed in Ausmarine Magazine

Review of Andrew S. Erickson, ed., Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2016), Ausmarine (May/June 2017): 60.
For nearly two centuries until recently, China went mostly backwards in terms of maritime activity. However, since around 2000, it has powered ahead to the point that it has become the world’s biggest […]

07 June 2017

New Pentagon China Report Highlights the Rise of Beijing’s Maritime Militia

Andrew S. Erickson, “New Pentagon China Report Highlights the Rise of Beijing’s Maritime Militia,” The National Interest, 7 June 2017.
Pentagon experts have finally keyed in on one of the most important aspects of China’s strategy to dominate the waterways of the Asia-Pacific.
Issued yesterday, the Pentagon’s annual report to Congress on China’s military and security developments contains a […]

07 June 2017

China Attacks Pentagon Report, Laments U.S. “Cold War Mentality”

Josh Chin, “China Attacks Pentagon Report, Laments U.S. ‘Cold War Mentality’,” Wall Street Journal, 7 June 2017.
Beijing dismisses Defense Department warning about Chinese military’s ambitions outside Asia
… The Pentagon report… for the first time examined China’s “maritime militia,” a growing civilian fleet staffed by military-trained fishermen that Beijing uses for “low-intensity coercion” in defending its […]

06 June 2017

Pentagon Releases 2017 China Military Report—First Official U.S. Government Public Assessment to Cover China’s Maritime Militia

In a long-overdue and welcome breakthrough, the Pentagon’s latest report on China’s Military and Security Developments contains substantial content on China’s Maritime Militia.
Previously, China’s Maritime Militia was mentioned by Ronald O’Rourke in his Congressional Research Service report and by the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, which recommended that the Department of Defense address this […]

06 June 2017

U.S. Department of Defense Annual Reports to Congress on China’s Military Power—2002-17—Download Complete Set Here

Since I couldn’t find a single-source location on the Internet, I decided to make my own. Now you can download PDFs of the Department of Defense’s China reports directly by year:
Additionally, here are some highlights from, and analysis of, several of the most recent reports:
Andrew S. Erickson, “How Good Are They? The Latest Insights Into […]

06 June 2017

U.S. Department of Defense Annual Report to Congress—“Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2017”—Click here to read the full text report

Click here to read the full text of the 2017 report.
Office of the Secretary of Defense, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2017 (Arlington, VA: Department of Defense, 6 June 2017).

05 June 2017

Coming Later in 2017: Harvard University Press to Publish Fairbank Center Volume on “The China Questions”

This volume commemorates the Fairbank Center’s 60th anniversary.
Jennifer Rudolph and Michael Szonyi, eds., The China Questions: Critical Insights into a Rising Power (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, forthcoming December 2017).
From the Publisher:
About the Editors
Jennifer Rudolph is Associate Professor of modern Chinese political history at Worcester Polytechnic Institute.
Michael Szonyi is Professor of Chinese History at Harvard University.
About the Book
Many books […]

04 June 2017

China’s Resource Drive into the South China Sea

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, “China’s Resource Drive into the South China Sea,” in Timothy C. Lehmann, ed., The Geopolitics of Global Energy: The New Cost of Plenty (New York: Lynne Rienner, 2017), 131-52.
China’s consistently high economic growth in the postreform era has been accompanied by burgeoning energy demands that make Beijing […]

03 June 2017

Senate Statement by Daniel Coats, Director of National Intelligence: “Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community”

Daniel R. Coats, Director of National Intelligence, Statement for the Record, “Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community,” Senate Armed Services Committee, 23 May 2017.
 (Information available as of April 24, 2017 was used in the preparation of this assessment.)
Please scroll down for an outline of the contents, as well as key excerpts that I […]

03 June 2017

South Korea Just Released its “2016 Defense White Paper”—Worth Reading in Full

Republic of Korea, 2016 Defense White Paper (Seoul: Ministry of National Defense, May 2017).
This report represents a solid effort by Seoul, and well worth your time to read. The report addresses major issues head on, with accompanying infographics. It also offers some fascinating details with which you may not be familiar. As part of “reducing […]

31 May 2017

IISS Launches “Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment 2017” Strategic Dossier at Shangri-La Dialogue

Launch of Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment 2017

Click here to read the press release.
IISS Shangri-La Dialogue
Dr. William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security, IISS
Dr. Matthew Cottee, Research Associate, Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Policy, IISS
Professor Ben Schreer, Head, Department of Security Studies and Criminology, Macquarie University 
Dr. Euan Graham, Director, International Security Program, Lowy Institute for International […]

30 May 2017

“China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress”—Newest Edition of Ronald O’Rourke’s Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report

Happy to see my colleagues Peter Dutton, Ryan Martinson, and Conor Kennedy cited so extensively in this report!
Ronald O’Rourke, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 12 May 2017), RL33153.
China is building a modern and regionally powerful navy with a limited but growing capability for conducting operations beyond […]

30 May 2017

China’s Maritime Territorial & Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes—Latest Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report by Ronald O’Rourke

Ronald O’Rourke, Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 19 May 2017), R42784.
Key Excerpts:
p. 14
1972 Convention on Preventing Collisions at Sea (COLREGs)
China and the United States, as well as more than 150 other […]

05 May 2017

Admiral Shen Jinlong, PLA Navy Commander, Ranks Among Foreign Policy’s U.S.-China Top 50 (中美关系50强)

Tea Leaf Nation Staff, “Shen Jinlong: Commander, Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy,” in “THE U.S.-CHINA 50: Meet the People Powering the World’s Most Complex and Consequential Relationship,” Foreign Policy, 3 May 2017.
作者: Tea Leaf Nation团队 | 插图: Hylton Warburton
Commander, Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy
The next face of China’s increasingly muscular strategic vision.