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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

14 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China Insights from DIA Director LtGen Flynn’s SASC Testimony

Michael T. Flynn, Lieutenant General, U.S. Army, Director, Defense Intelligence Agency, “Annual Threat Assessment,” Statement Before the Senate Armed Services Committee, United States Senate, Washington, DC, 11 February 2014.
Here are the China-relevant excerpts from Lt. Gen. Flynn’s recent testimony. I’ve bolded and underlined the ones I believe to be most interesting and important. These include:

details on China’s growing foreign military sales
confirmation that negotiations remain ongoing for Su-35 sale (I think China is especially interested in the Saturn 117S/AL-41F1A [...]

13 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Military Spending: At the Double

“China’s Military Spending: At the Double,” The Economist, 15 March 2014.
China’s fast-growing defence budget worries its neighbours, but not every trend is in its favour …
In one of the biggest military reforms for years, announced in January, China is now attempting to create a Western-style structure of joint command. But that may prove a long [...]

13 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Washington Post Editorial: “Beijing’s Breakneck Defense Spending Poses a Challenge to the U.S.”

“Beijing’s Breakneck Defense Spending Poses a Challenge to the U.S.,” Editorial, Washington Post, 12 March 2014.
CHINA PRESENTS the rest of the world with a puzzle when it announces, each year, another big leap in defense spending. On March 5, it revealed a 12.2 percent increase over last year, to almost $132 billion, the second-largest military budget in the world after [...]

12 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Eight Bells Book Lecture: “No Substitute for Experience: Chinese Anti-Piracy Operations in the Gulf of Aden”

Andrew S. Erickson, “No Substitute for Experience: Chinese Anti-Piracy Operations in the Gulf of Aden,” Eight Bells Book Lecture, Naval War College Museum, Newport, RI, 27 February 2014.
Click here to watch the video on YouTube.
Volume covered in lecture:
Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, No Substitute for Experience: Chinese Anti-Piracy Operations in the Gulf of Aden, [...]

12 March 2014 ~ 1 Comment

Latest Edition of “China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress” by Ronald O’Rourke, Congressional Research Service (CRS)

Ronald O’Rourke, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 28 February 2014), RL33153.
Summary
China is building a modern and regionally powerful Navy with a modest but growing capability for conducting operations beyond China’s near-seas region. The question of how the United States should respond to China’s military modernization effort, including its [...]

08 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Defense Budget: A Mixed Bag

Zachary Keck, “China’s Defense Budget: A Mixed Bag,” The Diplomat, 8 March 2014.
For the U.S. and its allies, China’s new defense budget contains both bad news and good news. …
Let’s begin with the bad. First, as is well known, China’s military spending in 2014 is almost certain to far exceed $132 billion, as Beijing is [...]

05 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China Announces 12.2% Increase in Military Budget

Edward Wong, “China Announces 12.2% Increase in Military Budget,” New York Times, 5 March 2014.
… Andrew S. Erickson, an associate professor at the U.S. Naval War College, said that China’s military spending growth was impressive but could slow, given that it is dependent on the nation’s overall economic health.
“China’s military budget growth continues to steam [...]

05 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Full Steam Ahead: China’s Ever-Increasing Military Budget

Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff, “Full Steam Ahead: China’s Ever-Increasing Military Budget,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 5 March 2014.
China’s official defense budget is projected to increase 12.2% in 2014 to roughly 808 billion yuan ($132 Billion), while the country’s economic growth is expected to hold steady at 7.5%, according [...]

04 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

It’s Official: China’s Official Defense Budget to Increase 12.2% in 2014 to ~$132 Billion (808.2 Billion Yuan)

“China Defense Budget to Increase 12.2% in 2014,” Xinhua, 5 March 2014.
Updated: 2014-03-05 09:18
BEIJING - China plans to raise its defense budget by 12.2 percent to 808.2 billion yuan (about $132 billion) in 2014, according to a budget report to be reviewed by the national legislature on Wednesday.
In 2013, the country spent 720.197 billion yuan on [...]

04 March 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Chinese Air- and Space-Based ISR: Integrating Aerospace Combat Capabilities over the Near Seas

Andrew S. Erickson, “Chinese Air- and Space-Based ISR: Integrating Aerospace Combat Capabilities over the Near Seas,” in Peter Dutton, Andrew S. Erickson, and Ryan Martinson, eds., China’s Near Seas Combat Capabilities, Naval War College China Maritime Study 11 (February 2014), 87-117.
China’s progressively more potent naval platforms, aircraft, and missiles are increasingly capable of holding U.S. Navy platforms [...]