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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

14 April 2013 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #70–Playing with Fire, Round 2: North Korea’s Potential Missile Threat to Asian Oil Refining Infrastructure

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “Playing with Fire, Round 2: North Korea’s Potential Missile Threat to Asian Oil Refining Infrastructure,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 70 (14 April 2013).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
We first addressed the issue of potential North Korean threats to oil refining infrastructure in Northeast Asia in the fall of 2010. Unfortunately, the risk [...]

12 April 2013 ~ 0 Comments

March: China’s Month of Mistakes

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “March: China’s Month of Mistakes,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 12 April 2013.
March was a tough month for China’s foreign policymakers, with four high-profile foreign policy fumbles, two of which significantly helped to raise the risk of tension and crisis in East Asia. While all but one of these [...]

08 April 2013 ~ 0 Comments

Inaugural Presentation in CSIS “China Reality Check” Speaker Series: “China’s Defense Budget: A Richer Nation Builds a Stronger Army”

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Defense Budget: A Richer Nation Builds a Stronger Army,” Inaugural Presentation in “China Reality Check” Speaker Series, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington, DC, 8 April 2012.
Click here to watch a webcast of the event.
Also available on YouTube.
Sponsored and Moderated by Christopher K. Johnson, Senior Adviser and Freeman Chair [...]

02 April 2013 ~ 0 Comments

Aviation Week & Space Technology Award-Winner Marc Szepan Reviews “Chinese Aerospace Power” in Royal Aeronautical Society Journal

Marc Szepan, review of Andrew S. Erickson and Lyle J. Goldstein, eds., Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2011); The Aerospace Professional (April 2013): 24.
An aerospace executive currently studying for a DPhil in Management Studies at Oxford’s Saïd Business School, Szepan has been named one of Aviation Week & Space Technology’s “40 Under Forty: Rising [...]

01 April 2013 ~ 0 Comments

Learning the Ropes in Blue Water: The Chinese Navy’s Gulf of Aden Deployments Have Borne Worthwhile Lessons in Far-Seas Operations—Lessons that Go Beyond the Antipiracy Mission

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, “Learning the Ropes in Blue Water: The Chinese Navy’s Gulf of Aden Deployments Have Borne Worthwhile Lessons in Far-Seas Operations—Lessons that Go Beyond the Antipiracy Mission,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 139.4 (April 2013): 34-38.
December 2012 marked the fourth anniversary of China’s ongoing antipiracy mission in the Gulf of Aden. Over four-plus years, [...]

25 March 2013 ~ 0 Comments

“Demystifying China’s Defence Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate”–FirstView Version of Article Now Available on The China Quarterly Website

Adam P. Liff and Andrew S. Erickson, “Demystifying China’s Defence Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate,” The China Quarterly, available on CJO 2013, doi:10.1017/S0305741013000295; published online by Cambridge University Press 25 March 2013. 
A FirstView version of the forthcoming article online may be accessed at http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0305741013000295.
This FirstView version of the article, also know as a final Version of Record (VoR), hereby replaces the Accepted Manuscript (AM) [a preliminary version of the article], the contents of which differ slightly and [...]

25 March 2013 ~ 0 Comments

Latest Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report—Ronald O’Rourke, “China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress”

Ronald O’Rourke, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 21 March 2013), RL33153, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RL33153.pdf.
Summary
The question of how the United States should respond to China’s military modernization effort, including its naval modernization effort, has emerged as a key issue in U.S. defense planning. The question is of particular importance to [...]

11 March 2013 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Military Development, Beyond the Numbers

Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff, “China’s Military Development, Beyond the Numbers,” The Diplomat, 12 March 2013.
While reports warn of China’s rising military budget and lack of transparency, numbers and hyped headlines often cloud the bigger picture.
Given China’s rapid rise in all aspects of national power, as well as its reluctance to release specific [...]

11 March 2013 ~ 1 Comment

New Fleet on the Block: China’s Coast Guard Comes Together

Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins, “New Fleet on the Block: China’s Coast Guard Comes Together,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 11 March 2013.
In a move with significant implications for territorial disputes in the East and South China Seas, the Chinese government announced on Sunday that it plans to centralize bureaucratic control over its [...]

07 March 2013 ~ 0 Comments

A Player, but No Superpower

Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff, “A Player, but No Superpower,” Foreign Policy, 7 March 2013.
On March 5, at the opening of the National People’s Congress, Beijing announced its official 2013 defense budget: roughly $114.3 billion, a 10.7 percent increase over the previous year and, in nominal terms, nearly four times the official budget a decade [...]