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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

29 August 2012

China’s Strategic Forces in the 21st Century: The People’s Liberation Army’s Changing Nuclear Doctrine and Force Posture

Michael Mazza and Dan Blumenthal, “China’s Strategic Forces in the 21st Century: The People’s Liberation Army’s Changing Nuclear Doctrine and Force Posture,” in Henry D. Sokolski, ed., The Next Arms Race (Carlisle, PA: Army War College Strategic Studies Institute, 2012), 83-109.
When it comes to its development and deployment of nuclear weapons—China first tested a weapon […]

29 August 2012

The State of the U.S.-China Competition

James R. Holmes, “The State of the U.S.-China Competition,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012), 131-46.
Click here for additional information on this edited volume.
The U.S.-China strategic competition is a curious one in that it only one party, China, has competed in earnest since the contest’s […]

29 August 2012

Changing the Rules of the Game: The Commercial Aircraft Industry in China

Marc Szepan, “Changing the Rules of the Game: The Commercial Aircraft Industry in China,” Harvard Asia Quarterly, 14.1/2 (Spring/Summer 2012): 112-22.
An absolute must-read from a true expert on the subject!
Article posted with kind permission of the Harvard Asia Quarterly.
The present article explores innovation and imitation in the context of the commercial aircraft industry in China […]

28 August 2012

Asia’s New Arms Race: Missiles, Missile Defenses

Trefor Moss, “Asia’s New Arms Race: Missiles, Missile Defenses,” The Diplomat, 27 August 2012.
… There may or may not be an arms race in Asia, depending on your view of what an arms race involves. But in the realm of ballistic missiles and ballistic missile defense it is hard not to conclude that a race is being run. […]

24 August 2012

China’s Ballistic Missiles: A Force to be Reckoned With

Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “China’s Ballistic Missiles: A Force to be Reckoned With,” China Real Time Report (中国事实报), Wall Street Journal, 24 August 2012.
China dislikes U.S. ballistic missile defense (BMD) developments, existing and potential. Ballistic missiles have long represented one of China’s greatest military strengths, and it does not want them, or the nuclear […]

24 August 2012

China’s Maritime Salient: Competitive Strategies on the Oceanic Front for the 21st Century

Paul S. Giarra, “China’s Maritime Salient: Competitive Strategies on the Oceanic Front for the 21st Century,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012), 275-88.
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China’s emergence will continue to disrupt the established world order and challenge American national interests. To […]

23 August 2012

Japan’s Competitive Strategies at Sea: A Preliminary Assessment

Toshi Yoshihara, “Japan’s Competitive Strategies at Sea: A Preliminary Assessment,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012), 219-35.
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China’s growing capacity to disrupt the maritime order in Asia and the associated operational dilemmas that U.S. forces are likely to encounter in […]

22 August 2012

Asia in the Balance: Transforming U.S. Military Strategy in Asia

Thomas G. Mahnken, with Thomas Donnelly, Dan Blumenthal, Gary J. Schmitt, Michael Mazza, and Andrew Shearer, Asia in the Balance: Transforming U.S. Military Strategy in Asia (Washington, DC: American Enterprise Institute, 4 June 2012).
Since the end of World War II, the United States has developed a characteristic approach to protecting its interests in Asia. In peace and in war, the […]

22 August 2012

Developing a Strategy for Long-term Sino-American Competition

James P. Thomas and Evan Braden Montgomery, “Developing a Strategy for Long-term Sino-American Competition,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012), 257-74.
Click here for additional information on this edited volume.
A sound competitive strategy should have three characteristics. First, it should adopt a long-term perspective, looking ahead several […]

21 August 2012

Cultural Barriers to Implementing a Competitive Strategy

James R. FitzSimonds, “Cultural Barriers to Implementing a Competitive Strategy,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012), 289-300.
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China’s ongoing military build-up has generated interest within the U.S. strategic community for employing a competitive strategies approach to manage a growing […]

21 August 2012

Steady as She Goes: Aircraft Appear Aboard China’s Varyag

Greg Waldron, “Steady as She Goes: Aircraft Appear Aboard China’s Varyag,” Asian Skies: Keeping an Eye on Asia, Flight Global, 15 August 2012.
… I’m reading a fascinating book called China Aerospace Power: Emerging Maritime Roles. It is a compilation of essays about the role of Chinese airpower in China’s oceanic frontier.  One of the writers (his name […]

21 August 2012

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #63: “North-Central China Offers Massive Market Opportunity for Mongolian Coal Miners”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “North-Central China Offers Massive Market Opportunity for Mongolian Coal Miners,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 63 (21 August 2012).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Mongolia’s massive and low-cost coal reserves are well-positioned to serve seven nearby Chinese provinces with more than one billion tonnes of annual coal demand
On 7 June 2012, Mongolian […]

20 August 2012

Assessing the Undersea Balance between the United States and China

Owen R. Coté Jr., MIT Security Studies Program, “Assessing the Undersea Balance between the United States and China,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012), 184-205.
Click here for additional information on this edited volume.
This chapter will assess the undersea balance between the United States and China […]

17 August 2012

A Competitive Strategy with Chinese Characteristics? The Second Artillery’s Growing Conventional Forces and Missions

Michael S. Chase and Andrew S. Erickson, “A Competitive Strategy with Chinese Characteristics? The Second Artillery’s Growing Conventional Forces and Missions,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012), 206-18.
THE TRANSFORMATION of the Second Artillery Force (SAF)—the part of the PLA responsible for most of […]

17 August 2012

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #62: “Spaceplane Development Becomes a New Dimension of Emerging U.S.-China Space Competition”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Spaceplane Development Becomes a New Dimension of Emerging U.S.-China Space Competition,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 62 (16 August 2012).
Deep Dive–Special In-Depth Report #4
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Spaceplane development is becoming the newest frontier in the emerging space development competition between the U.S. and China. Winged spaceplanes operate as […]

13 August 2012

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #61: “Can Inland Consumption Soften Coastal Industrial Slump? China’s Weak Earthmover Sales and Poor Coal Demand Point to More Economic Turbulence, But Second and Third Tier Property Markets Show Flashes of Life”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Can Inland Consumption Soften Coastal Industrial Slump? China’s Weak Earthmover Sales and Poor Coal Demand Point to More Economic Turbulence, But Second and Third Tier Property Markets Show Flashes of Life,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 61 (14 August 2012).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
With Chinese consumers holding on to […]

13 August 2012

Leading Expert Scott Truver Endorses Conclusions of CMSI’s China Maritime Study #3 on Chinese Mine Warfare

Erik Slavin, “Taiwan Gets Two Mine-Hunting Ships from U.S.,” Stars and Stripes, 9 August 2012.
… China’s inventory exceeds 50,000 naval mines and includes significant technological advances within the past 10 years, according to the 2012 annual report to Congress on China’s military power.
An article in the Spring 2012 Naval War College Review confirmed a 2009 […]

06 August 2012

External Intervention and the Politics of State Formation – China, Indonesia, and Thailand, 1893–1952

Ja Ian Chong, External Intervention and the Politics of State Formation – China, Indonesia, and Thailand, 1893–1952 (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2012).
From the Publisher: This book explores ways foreign intervention and external rivalries can affect the institutionalization of governance in weak states. When sufficiently competitive, foreign rivalries in a weak state can actually foster […]

02 August 2012

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #60: “Downturn to ‘New Normal’? China’s Consumer Economy is Rolling Over and Sales of Chicken, Cars, and Shoes Are Taking a Hit”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Downturn to ‘New Normal’? China’s Consumer Economy is Rolling Over and Sales of Chicken, Cars, and Shoes Are Taking a Hit,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 60 (1 August 2012).
Beijing is likely to come under more significant pressure to implement stimulus measures as key parts of the consumer economy slow. […]