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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

27 May 2011

Chinese Suspicion and U.S. Intentions

Michael S. Chase, “Chinese Suspicion and US Intentions,” Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, 53.3 (June–July 2011): 133–50.
Chinese President Hu Jintao’s formal state visit to the United States in January 2011 was widely seen as the successful culmination of efforts on both sides to get the US–China relationship back on track after a rocky year. Hu […]

19 May 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #35: The ‘Flying Shark’ Prepares to Roam the Seas: Strategic pros and cons of China’s aircraft carrier program

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “The ‘Flying Shark’ Prepares to Roam the Seas: Strategic Pros and Cons of China’s Aircraft Carrier Program,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 35 (18 May 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
China’s budding aircraft carrier program is provoking energetic debate among Chinese and foreign observers. The former Ukrainian carrier Varyag (called “Shi Lang” […]

18 May 2011

The Implications of China’s Military and Civil Space Programs – Testimony of Barry Watts before the U.S. – China Economic and Security Review Commission

Barry D. Watts, “The Implications of China’s Military and Civil Space Programs – Testimony of Barry Watts before the U.S. – China Economic and Security Review Commission,” Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 11 May 2011.
Testimony presented before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on May 11, 2011.

Mr. Chairman and Members of the […]

17 May 2011

CMSI Hosts Conference on China’s Future Plans

Tyler Will, Naval War College Public Affairs Office, “CMSI Hosts Conference on China’s Future Plans,” 13 May 2011.
NEWPORT, R.I. – The China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) at the U.S. Naval War College (NWC) hosted a conference to discuss “China’s Strategy for the Near Seas” May 10-11.
Featuring a half dozen panels with speakers from government, academia […]

17 May 2011

Dutton Becomes Director of NWC’s China Maritime Studies Institute

Cmdr. Carla McCarthy, Naval War College Public Affairs Office, “Dutton Becomes Director of NWC’s China Maritime Studies Institute,” 12 May 2011.
NEWPORT, R.I. – Professor Peter Dutton officially stepped into the position of director for the China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) at the Naval War College (NWC) on May 11.
The outgoing director, Professor Lyle Goldstein, led the […]

07 May 2011

Workshop on “Economic and Fiscal Factors in the Making of China’s Foreign and Security Policy,” Harvard University Fairbank Center, 13 May

“Fuguo Qiangbing (富国強兵) Revisited: An Interdisciplinary Analysis of Economic and Fiscal Factors in the Making of China’s Foreign and Security Policy since the Late Qing”
Click here for a copy of the conference flyer.
Workshop Date: Friday, May 13, 2011, 1:00 pm
Location: Harvard University, CGIS South, Room S050, 1730 Cambridge Street, Cambridge, MA
Organizers: Felix Boecking, University of […]

05 May 2011

Ronald O’Rourke, Congressional Research Service: “China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress”

Ronald O’Rourke, “China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress,” Congressional Research Service, 22 April 2011.
The question of how the United States should respond to China’s military modernization effort, including its naval modernization effort, has emerged as a key issue in U.S. defense planning. Admiral Michael Mullen, the Chairman of the Joints […]

03 May 2011

China Expert Richard Desjardins on “Acquiring Expertise on the Chinese Military”

Richard Desjardins, “Acquiring Expertise on the Chinese Military,” Canadian Military Journal 11.2 (Spring 2011): 63-66.
A snapshot of Chinese military research in the West today reveals that virtually all of the research on the Chinese military is conducted in the United States. … I am therefore offering a few tips and routes to explore so that […]

03 May 2011

China, the United States and 21st-Century Sea Power Selected for Proceedings’ “Notable Naval Books of 2010”

Lt. Cdr. Thomas J. Cutler, USN (Ret.), “Notable Naval Books of 2010,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 137:5 (May 2011): 64-69.
As in previous years, the list of notable naval books for 2010 was compiled, refined, and ultimately decided by a number of people, all of whom are widely recognized for their knowledge of matters pertaining to […]

03 May 2011

From the Sea: PLA Doctrine and the Employment of Sea-Based Airpower

Daniel J. Kostecka, “From the Sea: PLA Doctrine and the Employment of Sea-Based Airpower,” Naval War College Review 64.3 (Summer 2011): 10-30.
Despite an impressive naval modernization over the past two decades, the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) currently possesses little in the way of force-projection capabilities. The development of force projection through the acquisition of […]

02 May 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #34: A Foreign Corrupt Practices Act with Chinese Characteristics: Step 1”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “A Foreign Corrupt Practices Act with Chinese Characteristics: Step 1,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 34 (1 May 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©

In late February 2011, the National People’s Congress ratified an amendment to China’s Criminal Law that makes it illegal for PRC nationals and companies to bribe foreign government […]

26 April 2011

Chinese State Media Publish Photos of J-15 Flying Shark Carrier Fighter Aircraft

By MICHAEL WINES
Published: April 25, 2011
BEIJING — The J-15 Flying Shark is China’s newest attack jet, a sinuous fighter with the folding wings, shortened tail cone and bulked-up landing gear it needs to serve on China’s first aircraft carrier, which is expected to start sea trials soon. It is indisputable evidence of China’s growing mastery of military […]

19 April 2011

Signaling and Military Provocation in Chinese National Security Strategy: A Closer Look at the Impeccable Incident

Oriana Skylar Mastro, “Signaling and Military Provocation in Chinese National Security Strategy: A Closer Look at the Impeccable Incident,” Journal of Strategic Studies, 34.2 (April 2011): 219-44.
On 8 March 2009, five Chinese vessels shadowed and aggressively maneuvered in close proximity to the US Naval Ship (USNS) Impeccable. This paper seeks to explain the incident and […]

19 April 2011

Mark Stokes on Possible Qingyuan ASBM Brigade, DF-16: “Expansion of China’s Ballistic Missile Infrastructure Opposite Taiwan”

Mark Stokes, “Expansion of China’s Ballistic Missile Infrastructure Opposite Taiwan,” AsiaEye Blog, 18 April 2011.

The Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Second Artillery Force appears to be in the midst of a significant expansion of its ballistic missile infrastructure opposite Taiwan. Public statements made by senior authorities in the U.S. and Taiwan indicate that the […]

17 April 2011

Wendell Minnick, Defense News: “Sea Trials Expected for China’s 1st Carrier”

Wendell Minnick, “Sea Trials Expected for China’s 1st Carrier,” Defense News, 18 April 2011.
TAIPEI — China is expected to begin harbor trials of its first aircraft carrier this summer, with near-sea and open-sea trials starting next year, a Taiwan defense official said.

But aircraft for the Soviet-built Varyag are not expected to be ready […]

14 April 2011

Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) Conference 10-11 May: “China’s Strategy for the Near Seas”

China’s Strategy for the Near Seas

U.S. Naval War College
McCarty Little Hall Auditorium
Newport, Rhode Island

May 10-11, 2011
This Event is Open to U.S. Citizens Only
By Invitation
The annual conference of the China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) is a key function of the institute and has the aim of […]

13 April 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #33–Southeast Trade Winds: East Coast and South experienced fastest value-adjusted growth of all U.S. regions in exports to China over past decade

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Southeast Trade Winds: East Coast and South Experienced Fastest Value-Adjusted Growth of All U.S. Regions in Exports to China over Past Decade,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 33 (14 April 2011).
China SignPost analyzed the data for U.S. exports to China by state from the 2010 U.S. Exports to China by State […]

07 April 2011

Paul Giarra’s Recommended Naval War College Review Reading List

Cdr. Paul Giarra, USN (Ret.), “The Naval War College Review: Why Tom’s Harsh Assessment is Off Target,” The Best Defense: Tom Ricks’s Daily Take on National Security, 7 April 2011.
The short answer as to why you are wrong about the Naval War College Review is that, just as one example, even if the Review did […]

06 April 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #32–China Defense White Paper 2010: Better Transparency, But What Key Developments Were Left Out of the Discussion?

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “China Defense White Paper 2010: Better Transparency, But What Key Developments Were Left Out of the Discussion?” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 32 (5 April 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©

Reprinted as: Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Grading China’s Military Plans,” The Diplomat, 9 April 2011.

China’s National Defense in 2010 […]