26 September 2012

Who Left Skidmarks on the Flight Deck of China’s New Aircraft Carrier?

John Reed, “Who Left Skidmarks on the Flight Deck of China’s New Aircraft Carrier?” Foreign Policy, 26 September 2012.
This is interesting: as far as anyone knows, the Chinese have not conducted fixed-wing flight operations from the deck of their brand new aircraft carrier, the Liaoning. …
However, pictures that emerged on Chinese Internet forums of the ship’s commissioning […]

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26 September 2012

China: First Aircraft Carrier Entering Service

Christopher Bodeen, “China: First Aircraft Carrier Entering Service,” Associated Press, 25 September 2012.
China formally entered its first aircraft carrier into service on Tuesday, underscoring its ambitions to be a leading Asian naval power, although the ship is not expected to carry a full complement of planes or be ready for combat for some time. …
President […]

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25 September 2012

Introducing the “Liaoning”: China’s New Aircraft Carrier and What it Means

Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “Introducing the ‘Liaoning’: China’s New Aircraft Carrier and What it Means,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 25 September 2012.
China’s first aircraft carrier, now referred to as the “Liaoning ” by China’s Ministry of National Defense, has been officially “delivered and commissioned” to China’s navy, according […]

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25 September 2012

China’s Ministry of National Defense: 1st Aircraft Carrier “Liaoning” Handed Over to PLA Navy

Now it’s finally official!
China’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) has announced on its official website that on the morning of 25 September China’s first aircraft carrier, “Liaoning,” was handed over to the PLA Navy (PLAN).
According to MND, Liaoning will have important significance for raising the Chinese Navy’s level of integrated combat force modernization, strengthening defensive operational […]

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24 September 2012

Global Times: PLA National Defense University Professor States China’s 1st Aircraft Carrier Not Yet Delivered to Navy; Flag-Raising Ceremony Only a Rehearsal

China’s popular Global Times newspaper has just reported that despite obvious preparations underway for the past few days China’s first aircraft carrier has not yet been delivered officially to the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), and hence still belongs to Dalian Naval Shipyard. It quotes two knowledgeable experts to this effect: Dr. Fang Bing, an […]

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23 September 2012

China’s Navy Receives 1st Aircraft Carrier

UPDATE: For the latest Chinese sources regarding the exact current status of China’s 1st Aircraft Carrier, see Andrew S. Erickson, “Global Times: PLA National Defense University Professor States China’s First Aircraft Carrier Not Yet Delivered to Navy; Flag-Raising Ceremony Only a Rehearsal,” China Analysis from Original Sources, 24 September 2012.
Today (23 September 2012) at 4 […]

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22 September 2012

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #66–“Kings of Coal to Barons of Bling? Xinjiang’s Coal Boom will Drive Sales of Bentleys, BMWs, and other ‘Bling’”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Kings of Coal to Barons of Bling? Xinjiang’s Coal Boom Will Drive Sales of Bentleys, BMWs, and Other ‘Bling’,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 66 (21 September 2012).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
So what do coal mines have to do with high-priced Bentley automobiles? In Chinese coal mining towns, a lot. The […]

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21 September 2012

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #65–Xinjiang Poised to Become China’s Largest Coal Producer: Will Move Global Coal, Natural Gas, and Crude Oil Markets

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Xinjiang Poised to Become China’s Largest Coal Producer: Will Move Global Coal, Natural Gas, and Crude Oil Markets,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 65 (20 September 2012).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
Key points:

In 2011, Xinjiang produced 120 million tonnes of coal. In our base case estimate, Xinjiang will produce ~240 million […]

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18 September 2012

Engine Woes Could Ground China’s Stealth Armada

David Axe, “Engine Woes Could Ground China’s Stealth Armada,” Danger Room, Wired, 18 September 2012.
China’s newest stealth fighter prototype is made in the People’s Republic and could pose a challenge to U.S. air power. But it’s got an Achilles’ heel: Its engines are Russian imports.
Without reliable, homemade motors, China’s planned stealth armada will continue relying on Russian-made […]

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18 September 2012

Double Vision: Making Sense of China’s Second “Stealth” Fighter Prototype

Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “Double Vision: Making Sense of China’s Second ‘Stealth’ Fighter Prototype,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 18 September 2012.
In the span of a week, Chinese government vessels have been dispatched to waters near the contested Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands, anti-Japanese riots have erupted in major Chinese cities — and […]

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15 September 2012

China’s Modernization of Its Naval and Air Power Capabilities

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Modernization of Its Naval and Air Power Capabilities,” in Ashley J. Tellis and Travis Tanner, eds., Strategic Asia 2012-13: China’s Military Challenge (Seattle, WA: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2012), 60-125.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This chapter assesses China’s modernization of its naval and air power capabilities and draws implications for U.S. interests in the Asia-Pacific.
Main Argument
At the […]

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15 September 2012

Ashley Tellis: “Uphill Challenges: China’s Military Modernization and Asian Security”

Ashley J. Tellis, “Uphill Challenges: China’s Military Modernization and Asian Security,” in Ashley J. Tellis and Travis Tanner, eds., Strategic Asia 2012-13: China’s Military Challenge (Seattle, WA: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2012), 2-24.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This chapter provides an overview of the dramatic shifts in the Asian balance of power as a result of China’s military modernization over the […]

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15 September 2012

“Strategic Asia 2012-13: China’s Military Challenge” Available for Pre-Order: e-version out 25 Sept., paperback release 3 Oct.

Ashley J. Tellis and Travis Tanner, eds., Strategic Asia 2012-13: China’s Military Challenge (Seattle, WA: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2012).
Electronic version available on September 25, 2012
Paperback Release: October 3, 2012
Paperback edition now available for pre-order
ISBN: 978-0-9818904-3-2
Paperback: $34.95
Pre-Order Now
The Strategic Asia annual edited volume incorporates assessments of economic, political, and military trends and focuses on […]

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15 September 2012

The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate

Robert D. Kaplan, The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate (New York: Random House, 2012).
From the Publisher: In this provocative, startling book, Robert D. Kaplan, the bestselling author of Monsoon and Balkan Ghosts, offers a revelatory new prism through which to view global upheavals and […]

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15 September 2012

Abraham Denmark Interviews Robert Kaplan on His New Book “The Revenge of Geography”

Abraham Denmark, “The Revenge of Geography and the Asia-Pacific: An Interview with Robert Kaplan,” Policy Q&A, National Bureau of Asian Research, 12 September 2012.
In his new book, The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate, Robert Kaplan (Stratfor Global Intelligence) contends that current global conflicts, including wars, political […]

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15 September 2012

New Ships Give China’s Navy a Stronger Punch

Michael Richardson, “New Ships Give China’s Navy a Stronger Punch,” The Japan Times, 12 September 2012.
Michael Richardson is a visiting senior research fellow at the Institute of South East Asian Studies in Singapore.
SINGAPORE — In the latest step in its naval modernization and expansion, China recently announced that it is accelerating serial production of an […]

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10 September 2012

Building an Active, Layered Defense: Chinese Naval and Air Force Advancement—An Interview with Andrew S. Erickson

Greg Chaffin, “Building an Active, Layered Defense: Chinese Naval and Air Force Advancement—An Interview with Andrew S. Erickson,” Policy Q&A, National Bureau of Asian Research, 10 September 2012.
As China re-emerges as a global power, it has placed great emphasis on bolstering the capabilities of its naval and air forces. In recent years, this has been reflected in […]

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10 September 2012

China Will Name its First Aircraft Carrier ex-Varyag “Liaoning”: PRC State Media Portal

An official state media source reports that China will name its first aircraft “Liaoning” after the province that contains Dalian Naval Shipyard, where it has been refitted. An authorized government portal site, China Internet Information Center (China.org.cn) is published under the auspices of the State Council Information Office and the China International Publishing Group (CIPG) in Beijing.
Since ~2 […]

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08 September 2012

Coasting: Was the U.S. Navy Really Better in 1917?

James Holmes, “Coasting: Was the U.S. Navy Really Better in 1917?” Foreign Policy, 7 September 2012.
During a Republican presidential debate in January, GOP presidential hopeful Mitt Romney claimed that the U.S. Navy is now “smaller than any time since 1917.” And so it is, in raw numerical terms. The fleet stood at 245 vessels just before Congress passed the Naval Act […]

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