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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

19 April 2008

Blocking the Hormuz Strait: China’s Energy Dilemma

Yitzhak Shichor, “Blocking the Hormuz Strait: China’s Energy Dilemma,” Jamestown China Brief, Vol. 8, No. 18, 22 September 2008.
Over the last few weeks Iran has amplified its threats that, if attacked, it would immediately close the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic chokepoint nestled between the Gulf of Oman and the Persian Gulf. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard […]

15 April 2008

Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates, Speech to Association of American Universities

Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates, Speech to Association of American Universities (Washington, D.C.), Monday, 14 April 2008.
“The Chinese government publishes a tremendous amount of information about military and technological developments on an open-source basis. However, it is often inconvenient, if not impossible, for American researchers to get access to this material since it is often […]

31 March 2008

Asia Eyes America: Regional Perspectives on U.S. Asia-Pacific Strategy in the Twenty-first Century

Jonathan D. Pollack, ed., Asia Eyes America: Regional Perspectives on U.S. Asia-Pacific Strategy in the Twenty-first Century (Newport, RI: Naval War College Press, 31 March 2008).
Contains a collection of papers produced by participants (U.S. and regional scholars and analysts) at a conference,“Asia Eyes America,” held at the Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island, in […]

21 March 2008

Building for the Future: China’s Progress in Space Technology during the Tenth 5-Year Plan and the U.S. Response

Kevin Pollpeter, Building for the Future: China’s Progress in Space Technology during the Tenth 5-Year Plan and the U.S. Response (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 21 March 2008).
The Chinese government is using space power to increase its influence at home and abroad and hopes to leverage the political, economic, and military benefits […]

09 March 2008

Presented at Harvard Asia Business Conference 2008

Andrew S. Erickson, “International Security and Business in Asia,” presented at panel discussion, Harvard Asia Business Conference, “Asia: Reshaping the World,” Cambridge, MA, 8 March 2008.

08 March 2008

Chinese Shipbuilding: Growing Fast, But How Good Is It?

Lt. Cdr. Michael C. Grubb, USN, and Gabriel Collins, “Chinese Shipbuilding: Growing Fast, But How Good Is It?” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, Vol. 134, No. 3 (March 2008).
China’s rapid technical advances in shipbuilding, and the industry’s dual civilian-military role, raises the strategically important question of how its growing commercial shipbuilding prowess might facilitate naval modernization.
The […]

01 March 2008

PLA Navy Modernization: Preparing for ‘Informatized’ War at Sea

Andrew S. Erickson and Michael S. Chase, “PLA Navy Modernization: Preparing for ‘Informatized’ War at Sea,” Jamestown China Brief 8.5 (29 February 2008): 2-5.
In recent years, senior Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leaders and high-ranking military officers have repeatedly emphasized the importance of naval modernization. This growing sense of urgency about naval modernization appears to be a function […]

18 February 2008

Observing Chinese Theories of Naval Warfare

“Observing Chinese Theories of Naval Warfare,” Information Dissemination, 17 February 2008.
…the authors of that publication are the primary sources for what we do know about PLAN thinking behind Mine Warfare. Dr. Andrew Erickson, Ph.D., Lyle Goldstein, Ph.D., & William Murray authored an excellent article in Undersea Warfare Magazine Winter 2007, an article we have previously […]

05 February 2008

Norman Polmar on CMSI’s China Sea Mine Research

Norman Polmar, “Is There a Mine Threat?” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 134.2 (February 2008): 88-89.
If Chinese offensive mining is a concern, the U.S. Navy isn’t saying much about it. … Similarly, numerous articles in Proceedings, the Naval War College Review, and other professional publications address the Chinese submarine threat, but China’s use of mines is rarely mentioned. … The […]

01 February 2008

Chinese Evaluations of the U.S. Navy Submarine Force

Andrew S. Erickson, Gabriel B. Collins, Lyle J. Goldstein, and William S. Murray, “Chinese Evaluations of the U.S. Navy Submarine Force,” Naval War College Review 61.1 (Winter 2008): 68–86.
Republished as a two-part series:

Gabriel B. Collins, Andrew S. Erickson, Lyle J. Goldstein, and William S. Murray, “Capability Analysis: Chinese Evaluations of the U.S. Navy Submarine Force, Pt. 1,” […]

01 February 2008

Book Review: The Impact of Chinese Naval Modernization and the Future of the United States Navy

Andrew S. Erickson, review of Ronald O’Rourke, The Impact of Chinese Naval Modernization and the Future of the United States Navy (New York: Nova Science Publishers, Inc., 2006), Naval War College Review 61.1 (Winter 2008): 130-31.
Well written, succinct, and timely, this balanced assessment of Chinese naval weaknesses and strengths offers specific technological development and procurement alternatives to […]

30 January 2008

China’s ‘String of Pearls’ in the Indian Ocean and Its Security Implications

Gurpreet S. Khurana, “China’s ‘String of Pearls’ in the Indian Ocean and Its Security Implications,” Strategic Analysis, Vol. 32, No. 1(January 2008), pp. 1-39.
China’s efforts to build ‘nodes’ of influence in the Indian Ocean Region have been increasingly discernible in recent years. This endeavour, many argue, is driven by Beijing’s military-strategic ends. However, such an […]

10 January 2008

China’s Boomers: Implications if China’s Deterrent Goes to Sea

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Boomers: Implications if China’s Deterrent Goes to Sea,” presented at panel discussion, New America Foundation, Washington, DC, 9 January 2008.
The public revelation that China has constructed two or more new ballistic missile submarines raises a number of strategic, operational and bureaucratic questions about the future of nuclear arsenals held by China […]

09 January 2008

It’s Always Nice to Get the Chinese Perspective

Raymond Pritchett [“Galrahn”], “It’s Always Nice to Get the Chinese Perspective,” Information Dissemination, 8 January 2008.
Last Thursday we highlighted the Winter 2008 Review at the Naval War College that has an excellent essay titled Chinese Evaluations of the US Navy Submarine Force. We found this essay to be excellent, well cited, indeed well put together […]

04 January 2008

Reading Bliss for Observers of Submarines and China

Raymond Pritchett [“Galrahn”], “Reading Bliss for Observers of Submarines and China,” Information Dissemination, 3 January 2008.
… Inside Winter 2008 you will find reading bliss for submarine observers like us. If you want to get a head start, check it out, because we intend to spend extra time blogging about the essay “Chinese Evaluations of the […]

27 December 2007

The International Politics of Space

Michael Sheehan, The International Politics of Space (New York: Routledge, 27 December 2007).
The year 2007 saw the fiftieth anniversary of the Space Age, which began with the launching of Sputnik by the Soviet Union in October 1957. Space is crucial to the politics of the postmodern world. It has seen competition and cooperation in the past […]

01 December 2007

Can China Become a Maritime Power?

Andrew S. Erickson, “Can China Become a Maritime Power?” in Toshi Yoshihara and James Holmes, eds., Asia Looks Seaward: Power and Maritime Strategy (Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, 2008), 70-110.
Despite possessing a coastline some 7,830 nautical miles long and some 3,400 offshore islands, China has pursued maritime development in an atmosphere of considerable uncertainty. The […]

09 November 2007

As Military Balks, Chinese Public Pushes for Aircraft Carriers

Tim Johnson, “As Military Balks, Chinese Public Pushes for Aircraft Carriers,” McClatchy Newspapers, 8 November 2007.
…China remains the only major global power without aircraft carriers in its fleet. For years, military leaders have weighed the pride that such vessels would bring the nation with the costs and complexity of operating the giant ships, continually postponing […]

01 November 2007

Beijing’s Energy Security Strategy: The Significance of a Chinese State-Owned Tanker Fleet

Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “Beijing’s Energy Security Strategy: The Significance of a Chinese State-Owned Tanker Fleet,” Foreign Policy Research Institute, Orbis 51.4 (Fall 2007): 665-84.
Chinese shipping firms are aggressively expanding their oil tanker fleets. Although China’s state energy firms support national energy security goals in their rhetoric, and China’s state shipbuilders are striving to […]