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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

10 February 2014

Jeffrey Bader: “The U.S. and China’s Nine-Dash Line: Ending the Ambiguity”

Jeffrey A. Bader, “The U.S. and China’s Nine-Dash Line: Ending the Ambiguity,” The Brookings Institution, 6 February 2014.
For the first time, the United States government has come out publicly with an explicit statement that the so-called “nine-dash line,” which the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and Taiwan assert delineates their claims in the South China […]

09 February 2014

Non-Traditional Maritime Security and U.S.-China Confidence Building Measures: An Opportunity amidst Challenges

安德鲁·埃里克森 [Andrew S. Erickson] and 奥斯丁·斯特兰奇 [Austin M. Strange], “非传统海上安全和美中信心建立措施: 挑战中的机遇” [Non-Traditional Maritime Security and U.S.-China Confidence Building Measures: An Opportunity amidst Challenges], 美国问题研究 [Fudan American Review], 1 (2014): 1–32.          FULL TEXT, NO COVER INFO          PART 1, WITH COVER INFO          PART 2 OF […]

06 February 2014

Research, Development, and Acquisition in China’s Aviation Industry: J-10 and Pterodactyl UAV

Andrew S. Erickson, Hanlu Lu, Kathryn Bryan, and Samuel Septembre, “Research, Development, and Acquisition in China’s Aviation Industry: J-10 and Pterodactyl UAV,” in Kevin Pollpeter, ed., Getting to Innovation: Assessing China’s Defense Research, Development, and Acquisition System 7.8 (La Jolla, CA: University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, January 2014), 62-66.
Thanks in part to a revolution in research, […]

06 February 2014

China’s Nuclear Weapons Program and the Chinese Research, Development, and Acquisition System

Michael S. Chase, Stephanie Lieggi, Andrew S. Erickson, and Brian Lafferty, “China’s Nuclear Weapons Program and the Chinese Research, Development, and Acquisition System,” in Kevin Pollpeter, ed., Getting to Innovation: Assessing China’s Defense Research, Development, and Acquisition System 7.12 (La Jolla, CA: University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, January 2014), 81-85.
Historically, China’s nuclear program developed a significant […]

04 February 2014

Chinese Views and Commentary on the East China Sea Air Defense Identification Zone (ECS ADIZ)

This thoughtful piece benefits greatly from Michael Swaine’s rarely-equaled examination of original sources and attention to detail.
To move beyond political sloganeering and achieve truly useful, constructive scholarship and analysis on this important and potentially destabilizing topic, it is necessary to address directly the vital issues that Swaine outlines in a meticulous, measured fashion.
Further […]

01 February 2014

The Chinese Military’s Toughest Opponent: Corruption

Shannon Tiezzi, “The Chinese Military’s Toughest Opponent: Corruption,” The Diplomat, 1 February 2014.
South China Morning Post reported details this week on an official government raid of the home of Lt. Gen. Gu Junshan, one of the highest-ranking PLA officers to ever be investigated for graft. Gu, who used to be the deputy chief of the PLA’s General […]

31 January 2014

Take Heed of China’s Security Commission

Andrew S. Erickson and William McCahill, “Take Heed of China’s Security Commission,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 31 January 2014.
China’s complex bureaucracy has presented China-watchers with a new analytical challenge in the form of a National Security Commission, which appears intended to help President Xi Jinping consolidate power and enhance administration but which […]

29 January 2014

Remarks as Delivered by Director of National Intelligence James R. Clapper on the 2014 Worldwide Threat Assessment & Full Text of Report

Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Statement for the Record
Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community
Provided to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence

CLICK HERE TO READ THE FULL TEXT REPORT
Download DNI Clapper’s Remarks
From pp. 21-22 of the report:
EAST ASIA
China
Chinese leaders will try to focus primarily on domestic priorities during 2014 while leveraging China’s […]

29 January 2014

USCC Hearing: “China’s Military Modernization and its Implications for the United States”—Thurs. 30 January 2014, 9 AM-3 PM, Rayburn House Office Building, Room 2118 (updated location & agenda)

Witnesses’ bios and written testimony now available.
Hearing on “China’s Military Modernization and its Implications for the United States”
    Thursday, January 30, 2014
     Room 2118, Rayburn House Office Building, 45 Independence Ave SW, Washington, DC 20515

Hearing Co-Chairs: Senator James M. Talent and Commissioner Katherine C. Tobin, PhD
The hearing will examine the inputs to China’s military modernization, including […]

27 January 2014

U.S. Navy Sees Chinese HGV as Part of Wider Threat

Bradley Perrett, Bill Sweetman, and Michael Fabey, “U.S. Navy Sees Chinese HGV as Part of Wider Threat,” Aviation Week & Space Technology, 27 January 2014.
In the view of the U.S. Navy, the Mach 10 test of a hypersonic glide vehicle that China conducted on Jan. 9 reflects its predictions of future warfare. If and when […]

25 January 2014

USCC Hearing: “China’s Military Modernization and its Implications for the United States”—Thurs. 30 January 2014, 9 AM-3 PM, Dirksen Senate Office Building, Room 608

Hearing: “China’s Military Modernization and its Implications for the United States”
U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission
Thursday, January 30, 2014
Dirksen Senate Office Building, Room 608
Washington, DC 20002

Hearing Co-Chairs: Senator James M. Talent and Commissioner Katherine C. Tobin, Ph.D
 
9:00a – 9:15a    Co-Chairs’ remarks: Senator James M. Talent and Commissioner Katherine C. Tobin, Ph.D
9:15a – 10:45a   Panel I:  Inputs to China’s Military […]

24 January 2014

It’s Official: Xi Jinping to Lead National Security Commission

Thanks to Taylor Fravel for calling this important news to my attention!
Zhu Ningzhu, ed., “Xi Jinping to Lead National Security Commission,” Xinhua, 24 January 2014.
BEIJING, Jan. 24 (Xinhua) — President Xi Jinping will head China’s new national security commission, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee decided on Friday.
The political bureau decided to […]

21 January 2014

Ripples of Change in Chinese Foreign Policy? Evidence from Recent Approaches to Nontraditional Waterborne Security

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, “Ripples of Change in Chinese Foreign Policy? Evidence from Recent Approaches to Nontraditional Waterborne Security,” Asia Policy 17 (January 2014): 93–126.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This article examines China’s approaches to nontraditional security in the Gulf of Aden and on the Mekong River and explores the extent to which its behavior reflects […]

19 January 2014

Transcript of Admiral Locklear’s Speech at the Surface Navy Association Conference

The full text of Admiral Locklear’s recent speech is well worth reading. Thanks to CDR John Bradford, USN for bringing this to my attention.
Admiral Samuel J. Locklear III, Commander U.S. Pacific Command, Speech at the Surface Navy Association Conference, 15 January 2014.
It’s great to be back at SNA. I’ve had a long time affiliation with […]

18 January 2014

Wishlist for a New Naval Cooperative Strategy

Robert Farley, “Wishlist for a New Naval Cooperative Strategy,” The Diplomat, 17 January 2014.
Chatter suggests that the U.S. Navy will soon release an update to the Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower.  The Cooperative Strategy envisioned the maritime commons as a space for collective action, in which productive rules of the road could lead to partnerships that […]

16 January 2014

PACOM Chief: Uncontested U.S. Control of Pacific is Ending

Andrew Tilghman, “PACOM Chief: Uncontested U.S. Control of Pacific is Ending,” Navy Times, 15 January 2014.
The four-star commander of U.S. Pacific Command says the era when the U.S. military enjoys uncontested control over the Pacific’s blue water and its airspace is coming to an end.
Adm. Sam Locklear told a Navy conference in Virginia that the […]

16 January 2014

China Daily: “China Seeks to Calm US fears over Missile”

Zhou Wa, “China Seeks to Calm US fears over Missile,” China Daily, 16 January 2014.
The Ministry of National Defense issued a statement on Wednesday dismissing media reports that China’s recent ultrahigh-speed missile test flight was aimed at delivering warheads through the missile defenses of the United States.
“It is normal for China to conduct scientific experiments […]

14 January 2014

(Re)Defining the “New Type of Major Country Relationship” between the United States and China

Ely Ratner, “(Re)Defining the ‘New Type of Major Country Relationship’ between the United States and China,” Center for Strategic and International Studies PacNet 4, 13 January 2014.
The US response to China’s call for a “new type of major country relationship” remains one of the most controversial and misunderstood components of the Obama administration’s China policy. […]

10 January 2014

China and the Far Seas: China’s Far Seas Presence Enables it to Escort Syria’s Chemical Weapons Marked for Destruction

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, “China and the Far Seas: China’s Far Seas Presence Enables it to Escort Syria’s Chemical Weapons Marked for Destruction,” The Diplomat, 10 January 2014.
While the U.S. and its allies perceive Beijing’s conduct as increasingly destabilizing in the Yellow, East, and South China Seas (“Near Seas”), China continues to […]