Archive | Blog Posts

05 September 2011

Feng, Information Dissemination: “China/Russia Military Cooperation”

Feng, “China/Russia Military Cooperation,” Information Dissemination, 28 August 2011.
This is the part 3 in the series of reviewing the content of the recent book that I read. In the past, I have often been harsh toward the recent China/Russia military cooperation. I have frequently stated that the Russians have limited military technology that it can […]

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04 September 2011

Assessing China’s Response to U.S. Reconnaissance Flights

Kenneth Allen and Jana Allen, “Assessing China’s Response to U.S. Reconnaissance Flights,” Jamestown China Brief (2 September 2011).
On June 29, 2011, for the first time in a decade, a People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force (PLAAF) J-11 crossed the center line of the Taiwan Strait in an attempted intercept of a U.S. Air Force (USAF) […]

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31 August 2011

The U.S. Must Continue to Use Space and Can “Win without Fighting” There—It’s Just Not a Panacea, a Sanctuary, or a Desirable Battlefield

The positions expressed here are the author’s personal views. They do not represent the U.S. Naval War College, Navy, Department of Defense, or Government, and do not necessarily reflect the policies or estimates of these or any other organizations.
Even as the United States and China are more economically interdependent and closely connected than ever before, […]

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30 August 2011

English-Language Version of 2011 ROC National Defense Report Confirms: “a small quantity of” DF-21D ASBMs “were produced and deployed in 2010, increasing the difficulty of military maneuvers in the region for the U.S. Army.”

National Defense Report Editing Committee, Ministry of National Defense, 2011 ROC National Defense Report (Taipei: Ministry of National Defense, August 2011).
(I) Strengthening Integrated Joint Operations Capabilities
p. 71
4. Second Artillery Strike Capabilities
Under the guidance to “balance nuclear and conventional,” the PLA has continued the development of independently targetable intercontinental range ballistic missiles, strengthened strategic nuclear intimidation, […]

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24 August 2011

Key Quotes from 2011 DoD Report on China’s Military

Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011
p. 2
Ballistic and Cruise Missiles.
… By December 2010, the PLA had deployed between 1,000 and 1,200 short-range ballistic missiles (SRBM) to units opposite Taiwan. To improve the lethality of this force, the PLA is introducing variants of missiles with improved ranges, accuracies, and payloads. …
p. […]

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24 August 2011

Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011 Full Text Just Released

Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011

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24 August 2011

Report on Military and Security Developments in China Released

Report on Military and Security Developments in China Released
Wed, 24 Aug 2011 09:17:00 -0500
________________________________
 No. 072-11          August 24, 2011               
Report on Military and Security Developments in China Released
Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense (East Asia) Michael Schiffer will hold a press briefing today on the 2011 DoD Report to Congress on the “Military and Security Developments […]

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09 August 2011

Official Confirmation from Xinhua: Ex-Varyag Will Sail Today

http://news.sina.com.cn/o/2011-08-10/064322965657.shtml
中国航母平台今日进行出海航行试验
http://www.sina.com.cn  2011年08月10日06:43  国际在线

  新华网快讯:我航母平台8月10日进行出海航行试验。

For an assessment of the larger implications of China’s deck aviation development, see Abraham M. Denmark, Andrew S. Erickson, and Gabriel Collins, “Should We Be Afraid of China’s New Aircraft Carrier? Not yet.,” Foreign Policy, 27 June 2011.
For operational aspects of China’s first carrier-capable aircraft, see Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “Flying Shark” Gaining […]

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07 August 2011

Watching the Weather in Dalian: Awaiting the Right Conditions to Launch China’s First Aircraft Carrier

Typhoon Muifa (2011), while losing strength, is still generating significant wind gusts and waves. It’s now heading for the Yellow Sea—right where China’s first aircraft carrier, the ex-Varyag, is moored in Dalian.
The PLA Navy undoubtedly wants auspicious conditions, symbolic and substantive, for the launch and sea trials of its first aircraft carrier, and will await […]

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06 August 2011

Hong Kong Commercial Daily: China’s Aircraft Carrier ex-Varyag to Begin Two Week Sea Trials Today

木子, 敖雷 [Mu Tsu and Ao Lei],【本報獨家】萬事已備 中國航母今出海半月 [Our Exclusive: Everything Is Ready, China’s Aircraft Carrier Sets Off Today and Will Sail for Half a Month at Sea], 香港商報訊 [Hong Kong Commercial Daily], 6 August 2011, A16.
For an assessment of China’s deck aviation development and its implications, see Abraham M. Denmark, Andrew S. Erickson, and Gabriel […]

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21 July 2011

Taiwan 2011 National Defense Report: DF-21D ASBMs “have been produced and deployed in small numbers in 2010”

國防部「國防報告書」編纂委員會 [Ministry of Defense, “National Defense Report” Editorial Board], 中華民國壹百年國防報告書 [Republic of China Centennial 2011 National Defense Report] (Taipei: 國防部 [Ministry of Defense], 2011).
p. 60
ROUGH ENGLISH TRANSLATION:
1. Mainland Chinese Military Capability
4. Second Artillery Strike Capability
Under the guidance of [the] “both conventional and nuclear missions” [concept], [the Second Artillery] continues to develop MIRVed intercontinental ballistic missiles, […]

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12 July 2011

General Chen Bingde, PLA Chief of General Staff, Becomes First Chinese Official to Confirm Publicly that “2,700 km-Range” DF-21D Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) is in Development; “Not Operational Yet” by PLA Definition

THIS POST HAS BEEN CORRECTED TO ELIMINATE LIKELY INACCURATE RANGE CLAIM BY CHINA DAILY; CLICK HERE FOR A COMPLETE UPDATE.
According to an article by China’s official Xinhua News Agency entitled “China’s DF-21D Missile is Still Undergoing Research” (陈炳德: 东风21D导弹还在研究中), on 11 July 2011 PLA Chief of General Staff General Chen Bingde became the first Chinese government […]

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12 July 2011

China’s Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Reaches Equivalent of “Initial Operational Capability” (IOC)—Where It’s Going and What it Means

First posted 30 December 2010; updated subsequently with latest analysis and sources.
For an explanation of Chinese ASBM development and its larger implications, see the China Maritime Studies Institute Lecture of Opportunity, “Chinese Sources Discuss the ASBM Threat to the U.S. Navy,” that I presented at the Naval War College on 21 March 2011.

For detailed analysis of Admiral […]

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21 June 2011

June 2011 Special Issue of Journal of Strategic Studies “China’s Emergence as a Defense Technological Power” a Must Read

Under the leadership of Profs. Joe Maiolo and Thomas Mahnken, as well as Prof. Timothy Hoyt, Journal of Strategic Studies boasts a rare combination of intellectual rigor, empirical richness, and policy relevance that other political science- and history-related publications would do well to emulate. Led by noted China technology scholar Dr. Tai Ming Cheung, whose […]

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08 June 2011

Full Text of Original Article Citing Gen. Chen Bingde’s Unprecedented Acknowledgement of Chinese Aircraft Carrier Development

For analysis of China’s first carrier aircraft, see Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson,“Flying Shark” Gaining Altitude: How might new J-15 strike fighter improve China’s maritime air warfare ability?,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 38 (7 June 2011).
Further background on Chinese aircraft carrier development is available in Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “The ‘Flying Shark’ Prepares to […]

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08 June 2011

1st Official PLA Confirmation of Chinese Carrier: Gen. Chen Bingde Says “Aircraft Carrier is Under Construction Now”

Liu Chang, “PLA Chief Confirms Vessel is ‘Under Construction’,” Global Times, 8 June 2011.
The chief of the General Staff of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Chen Bingde has confirmed that China’s first aircraft carrier is under construction. However, an official from the PLA also added that the carrier will not enter other nations’ territories after […]

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26 April 2011

Chinese State Media Publish Photos of J-15 Flying Shark Carrier Fighter Aircraft

By MICHAEL WINES
Published: April 25, 2011
BEIJING — The J-15 Flying Shark is China’s newest attack jet, a sinuous fighter with the folding wings, shortened tail cone and bulked-up landing gear it needs to serve on China’s first aircraft carrier, which is expected to start sea trials soon. It is indisputable evidence of China’s growing mastery of military […]

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31 March 2011

Beijing Issues Latest Defense White Paper “China’s National Defense in 2010”: English/Chinese Full Text, Key Excerpts & Analysis

Full Text (English): Defense White Paper “China’s National Defense in 2010”
Full Text (Chinese):《2010年中国的国防》白皮书
China’s 2010 Defense White Paper follows a pattern by now well-established in these biannual reports on the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). It offers some new details not present in the previous report, but stops well short of offering the degree of detail that […]

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26 March 2011

National Committee on U.S.-China Relations Public Intellectuals Program (PIP), 2011-2013–Now Soliciting Applications; 23 April 2011 Deadline

Having participated in the second round of this exceptional program, I could not recommend it more highly! Here is complete application information:
NATIONAL COMMITTEE ON UNITED STATES–CHINA RELATIONS
71 West 23rd Street, 19th Floor, New York, NY 10010-4102   (212) 645-9677   Fax: (212) 645-1695   info@ncuscr.org
Celebrating 45 | Promoting Constructive Engagement Since 1966

Public Intellectuals Program, 2011-2013
Call for […]

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