29 August 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #44 Cited by Walter Russell Mead in Via Media Blog, The American Interest

Walter Russell Mead,China’s Growth To Slow By 50 Percent?Via Media Blog, The American Interest, 29 August 2011.


Key conclusions from a paper by Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson at China Sign Post… Read the whole thing.  … Of course nobody, including the Chinese, know what comes next in China, but these authors make some cogent and important points. At some point, China’s growth potential will drop to more normal levels, and the adjustment will be wrenching. Much depends on how much political and social stability China can build before that transition point is reached.

For the full text of the analysis referenced here, see Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, China’s S-Curve Trajectory: Structural factors will likely slow the growth of China’s economy and comprehensive national power,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 44 (15 August 2011).