“China Security Report 2016” from Japan’s National Institute for Defense Studies
From Japan’s National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS, 防衛研究所), a worthy complement to the U.S. Department of Defense’s annual report to Congress on Chinese military and security issues!
Click here for the full text of the 2016 report.
The international community keeps a close watch on China’s security policy and its military trends. The Japanese public has been increasingly aware of the large impact of China’s rising military (and economic) power that may have a huge impact on Japanese security. China, now the second largest economy in the world, has become an essentially important economic partner for Japan and other East Asian countries. At the same time, its rapid economic growth allows China to multiply its military spending and move forward with the modernization of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). The NIDS China Security Report analyzes the strategic and military trends of China. The report is originally published in Japanese, then translated into English and Chinese.
中国の安全保障政策や軍事動向に対する国際社会の関心が高まっています。日本においても中国の軍事的・経済的な台頭が我が国の安全保障に多大な影響を与えるとの認識が広まっています。中国はすでに世界第2位の経済規模を有し、日本や東アジア諸国の不可欠なパートナーとなっている一方で、強力な経済力を梃子に国防費を増加させながら、人民解放軍の近代化を進めています。『中国安全保障レポート』はこうした中国の戦略的・軍事的動向を分析し、国内外に発信するものです。同レポートには日本語版のほかに、英語版と中国版があります。
China Security Report 2016 中国安全保障レポート2016
Japanese Version 日本語版(Text)·(Cover)
Chinese Version 中国語版(Text)·(Cover)
Coverage of DF-21D ASBM on pp. 49-50 of the 2016 report:
The DF-21D is called a carrier-killer and in recent years has drawn marked attention for its development and deployment. The development program for this model is thought to have actually started at the time of the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1995-1996. At that time the US Navy Seventh Fleet deployed carrier combat groups… but there was nothing that China could do in reaction. This turned China’s attention to ways to prevent such a close approach by carrier strike groups in the future. Analysis conducted by Andrew S. Erickson, Associate Professor at the US Naval War College, indicates that while the DF-21D may not be fully suited to combat applications, it is at least technologically equipped for such a role, and it is undeniable that a number of DF-21Ds have been deployed. The DF-21D was first publicly displayed on September 3, 2015, as part of the parade celebrating the seventieth anniversary of China’s victory over Japan in World War II. Since it seems that only weapons which have already been deployed to some degree are displayed in military parades, its appearance would seem to indicate that DF-21D deployment is underway. It is thought to combine inertial guidance and terminal radar guidance. Since determination of the target ship’s location is vital to anti-ship operations, both space-based ISR and ground-based over-the-horizon radar serve important functions. China’s public display of the DF-21D may imply that it possesses the ISR capabilities needed for its operation. …
CITATIONS & LINKS TO FULL TEXT OF SELECTED SOURCES CITED IN REPORT:
Andrew S. Erickson, Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Development: Drivers, Trajectories, and Strategic Implications (Washington, DC: Jamestown Foundation, May 2013).
Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Modernization of Its Naval and Air Power Capabilities,” in Ashley J. Tellis and Travis Tanner, eds., Strategic Asia 2012-13: China’s Military Challenge (Seattle, WA: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2012), 60-125.
Dennis M. Gormley, Andrew S. Erickson, and Jingdong Yuan, A Low-Visibility Force Multiplier: Assessing China’s Cruise Missile Ambitions (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 2014).
PREVIOUS NIDS CHINA REPORTS:
China Security Report 2014
Japanese Version(Text)·(Cover)
China Security Report 2013
Japanese Version(Text)·(Cover)
China Security Report 2012
Japanese Version(Text)·(Cover)
China Security Report 2011
Japanese Version(Text)·(Cover)
China Security Report 2010