14 April 2013

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #70–Playing with Fire, Round 2: North Korea’s Potential Missile Threat to Asian Oil Refining Infrastructure

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “Playing with Fire, Round 2: North Korea’s Potential Missile Threat to Asian Oil Refining Infrastructure,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 70 (14 April 2013).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
We first addressed the issue of potential North Korean threats to oil refining infrastructure in Northeast Asia in the fall of 2010. Unfortunately, the risk […]

Continue Reading

12 April 2013

March: China’s Month of Mistakes

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “March: China’s Month of Mistakes,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 12 April 2013.
March was a tough month for China’s foreign policymakers, with four high-profile foreign policy fumbles, two of which significantly helped to raise the risk of tension and crisis in East Asia. While all but one […]

Continue Reading

08 April 2013

Inaugural Presentation in CSIS “China Reality Check” Speaker Series: “China’s Defense Budget: A Richer Nation Builds a Stronger Army”

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Defense Budget: A Richer Nation Builds a Stronger Army,” Inaugural Presentation in “China Reality Check” Speaker Series, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington, DC, 8 April 2012.
Click here to watch a webcast of the event.
Also available on YouTube.
Sponsored and Moderated by Christopher K. Johnson, Senior Adviser and Freeman Chair […]

Continue Reading

02 April 2013

Aviation Week & Space Technology Award-Winner Marc Szepan Reviews “Chinese Aerospace Power” in Royal Aeronautical Society Journal

Marc Szepan, review of Andrew S. Erickson and Lyle J. Goldstein, eds., Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2011); The Aerospace Professional (April 2013): 24.
An aerospace executive currently studying for a DPhil in Management Studies at Oxford’s Saïd Business School, Szepan has been named one of Aviation Week & Space Technology’s “40 Under Forty: Rising […]

Continue Reading

01 April 2013

Learning the Ropes in Blue Water: The Chinese Navy’s Gulf of Aden Deployments Have Borne Worthwhile Lessons in Far-Seas Operations—Lessons that Go Beyond the Antipiracy Mission

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, “Learning the Ropes in Blue Water: The Chinese Navy’s Gulf of Aden Deployments Have Borne Worthwhile Lessons in Far-Seas Operations—Lessons that Go Beyond the Antipiracy Mission,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 139.4 (April 2013): 34–38.
December 2012 marked the fourth anniversary of China’s ongoing antipiracy mission in the Gulf of Aden. Over four-plus […]

Continue Reading

25 March 2013

“Demystifying China’s Defence Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate”–FirstView Version of Article Now Available on The China Quarterly Website

Adam P. Liff and Andrew S. Erickson, “Demystifying China’s Defence Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate,” The China Quarterly, available on CJO 2013, doi:10.1017/S0305741013000295; published online by Cambridge University Press 25 March 2013. 
A FirstView version of the forthcoming article online may be accessed at http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0305741013000295.
This FirstView version of the article, also know as a final Version of Record (VoR), hereby replaces the Accepted Manuscript (AM) [a preliminary version of the article], the contents of which differ slightly and […]

Continue Reading

25 March 2013

Latest Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report—Ronald O’Rourke, “China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress”

Ronald O’Rourke, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 21 March 2013), RL33153, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RL33153.pdf.
Summary
The question of how the United States should respond to China’s military modernization effort, including its naval modernization effort, has emerged as a key issue in U.S. defense planning. The question is of particular importance to […]

Continue Reading

11 March 2013

China’s Military Development, Beyond the Numbers

Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff, “China’s Military Development, Beyond the Numbers,” The Diplomat, 12 March 2013.
While reports warn of China’s rising military budget and lack of transparency, numbers and hyped headlines often cloud the bigger picture.
Given China’s rapid rise in all aspects of national power, as well as its reluctance to release specific […]

Continue Reading

11 March 2013

New Fleet on the Block: China’s Coast Guard Comes Together

Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “New Fleet on the Block: China’s Coast Guard Comes Together,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 11 March 2013.
JAPANESE TRANSLATION
In a move with significant implications for territorial disputes in the East and South China Seas, the Chinese government announced on Sunday that it plans to centralize bureaucratic […]

Continue Reading

07 March 2013

A Player, but No Superpower

Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff, “A Player, but No Superpower,” Foreign Policy, 7 March 2013.
On March 5, at the opening of the National People’s Congress, Beijing announced its official 2013 defense budget: roughly $114.3 billion, a 10.7 percent increase over the previous year and, in nominal terms, nearly four times the official budget a decade […]

Continue Reading

04 March 2013

China’s Military Budget Bump: What it Means

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Military Budget Bump: What it Means,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 5 March 2013.
China revealed its latest official defense budget on Tuesday, projecting a 10.7% increase in funding that would bring the People’s Liberation Army budget to 720.2 billion yuan ($114.3 billion). The increase is neither surprising nor […]

Continue Reading

04 March 2013

China’s 2013 Military Budget to Rise 10.7% to US $114.3 Billion–What it Means, and Why it Matters

What happened?
Today, on Tuesday 5 March 2013 (Beijing time), China revealed its latest official defense budget: a projected 10.7% increase to 720.2 billion yuan (US $114.3 billion) for 2013.
The English version of the relevant report released at the National People’s Congress, Ministry of Finance of the People’s Republic of China, “Report on the Implementation of […]

Continue Reading

04 March 2013

China’s Xi Courts Military

Jeremy Page, “China’s Xi Courts Military,” Wall Street Journal, 4 March 2013.
China’s new leader, Xi Jinping, appears to be ingratiating himself with the country’s generals by ring-fencing the defense budget even as economic growth slows….
A national budget to be unveiled Tuesday at the opening of an annual meeting of the National People’s Congress, China’s parliament, […]

Continue Reading

04 March 2013

China Channels Billy Mitchell: Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Alters Region’s Military Geography

Andrew S. Erickson, “China Channels Billy Mitchell: Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile Alters Region’s Military Geography,” Jamestown Foundation China Brief 13.5 (4 March 2013).
Reprinted as “China Homes in on Pacific Air Supremacy,” Asia Times, 6 March 2013.
China’s DF-21D anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) is no longer merely an aspiration. Beijing has successfully developed, partially tested and deployed in […]

Continue Reading

01 March 2013

Demystifying China’s Defense Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate

Adam P. Liff and Andrew S. Erickson, “Demystifying China’s Defense Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate,” The China Quarterly (forthcoming).
 
Click here to download PDF of Accepted Manuscript (AM) at The China Quarterly
Authors’ Note to Readers: The PDF you have downloaded is an Accepted Manuscript (AM) version of our forthcoming article in the journal The China Quarterly. […]

Continue Reading

01 March 2013

Killer Apps: Is China Working on a Nuclear Reactor For Aircraft Carriers?

John Reed, “Killer Apps: Is China Working on a Nuclear Reactor for Aircraft Carriers?” Foreign Policy, 25 February 2013.
China may have kicked off a research program aimed at developing nuclear reactors to power its future aircraft carriers.
A report posted on the website of the state-owned China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (CSIC) on Feb. 19 stated that […]

Continue Reading

04 February 2013

Registration Open for Fourth Summer Training Workshop on the Relationship Between National Security and Technology in China, 21 July-2 August 2013

I can’t recommend this event highly enough, and I’m voting with my feet! Hope to see you there.
Fourth Summer Training Workshop on the Relationship Between National Security and Technology in China
The Project on the Study of Innovation and Technology in China (SITC), led by IGCC Director Dr. Tai Ming Cheung, seeks to understand the approaches, challenges, […]

Continue Reading

04 February 2013

“China and Its Military” Library Guide–A Contribution from Naval War College Librarian Alice K. Juda

Alice K. Juda, “China and Its Military,” China LibGuide, Henry E. Eccles Library (Newport, RI: Naval War College, 31 October 2012).
This China Library Guide with useful links to research sources on the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has been compiled by Reference Librarian Alice Juda, who retired at the end of 2012 after 25 years of […]

Continue Reading

03 February 2013

Missile Defense’s Real Enemy: Math

Harry Kazianis, “Missile Defense’s Real Enemy: Math,” The Diplomat, 2 February 2012.
… There is… one thing you can’t argue against, simple math.
Case in point, take a look at a recent book chapter by Dr. Toshi Yoshihara in Chinese Aerospace Power (a really good book, China defense geeks I am talking to you — it’s a classic — […]

Continue Reading