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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

31 March 2011

A Bogus Asian Pearl

Lieutenant Colonel Daniel J. Kostecka, U.S. Air Force Reserve, “A Bogus Asian Pearl,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, 137.4 (April 2011).
If closely assayed, the port at Gwadar, Pakistan—touted as part of China’s string of maritime gems—loses its luster, looking more like a counterfeit than the real thing.
China’s investment in the construction of the Port of Gwadar […]

31 March 2011

Mao’s ‘Active Defense’ Is Turning Offensive

James R. Holmes and Toshi Yoshihara, “Mao’s ‘Active Defense’ Is Turning Offensive,” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, 137.4 (April 2011).
When Alexander Gardner made this carte de visite at his studio in Washington on 5 February 1865, President Abraham Lincoln had the look of a war-worn leader. It was the last photograph taken of the President before […]

28 March 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #30–The Saudi Arabia of Corn: Reduce U.S. ethanol production and boost corn exports to China to trim the trade deficit and ensure China’s food security

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “The Saudi Arabia of Corn: Reduce U.S. Ethanol Production and Boost Corn Exports to China to Trim the Trade Deficit and Ensure China’s Food Security,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 30 (28 March 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
In 2010, the U.S. used roughly 138 million tonnes of corn to produce […]

26 March 2011

Defense and Deterrence in China’s Military Space Strategy

Michael S. Chase, “Defense and Deterrence in China’s Military Space Strategy,” Jamestown China Brief, 11.5 (25 March 2011).
China’s theory of space deterrence may be a work in progress, but Beijing is already developing an impressive array of counter-space systems. Indeed, the capabilities that China is working on go beyond the direct ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon, […]

26 March 2011

National Committee on U.S.-China Relations Public Intellectuals Program (PIP), 2011-2013–Now Soliciting Applications; 23 April 2011 Deadline

Having participated in the second round of this exceptional program, I could not recommend it more highly! Here is complete application information:
NATIONAL COMMITTEE ON UNITED STATES–CHINA RELATIONS
71 West 23rd Street, 19th Floor, New York, NY 10010-4102   (212) 645-9677   Fax: (212) 645-1695   info@ncuscr.org
Celebrating 45 | Promoting Constructive Engagement Since 1966

Public Intellectuals Program, 2011-2013
Call for […]

24 March 2011

NWC Professors Publish Book on U.S.-China Maritime Relations

“NWC Professors Publish Book on U.S.-China Maritime Relations,” Naval War College Public Affairs, 24 March 2011.
NEWPORT, R.I. – Three members of the U.S. Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) collaborated on a recently released book titled, “China, the United States, and 21st-Century Sea Power,” which explores areas of mutual maritime interest between the […]

23 March 2011

“Chinese Sources Discuss the ASBM Threat to the U.S. Navy”–Naval War College Presentation–Full-Length Video Available

Andrew S. Erickson, “Chinese Sources Discuss the ASBM Threat to the U.S. Navy,” presented at China Maritime Studies Institute Lecture of Opportunity, Naval War College, 21 March 2011.
Click here for an adaptive version of the video on Vimeo, as well as the latest sources and analysis.
Click here for a link to videos of this and other CMSI […]

20 March 2011

George F. Will, Washington Post Op-Ed: “The Blue National Soil of China’s Navy”

George F. Will, “The Blue National Soil of China’s Navy,” Washington Post, 18 March 2011.
When some Chinese naval officers crossed the Pacific to visit the Naval War College here on an Atlantic-lapped island, they gazed reverently at a desk used by Capt. Alfred Thayer Mahan (1840-1914). This compliment to America’s preeminent naval strategist has scholars […]

20 March 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #25 Cited by George F. Will in Washington Post Op-Ed: “America’s Navy and the Rise of China”

George F. Will, “America’s Navy and the Rise of China,” Washington Post, 16 March 2011.
NEWPORT, R.I.
Scholars at the Naval War College here probably nodded in vigorous agreement with a recent lecture delivered at another military institution 130 miles away. Speaking at West Point to leaders of tomorrow’s Army, Defense Secretary Robert Gates said that “any […]

15 March 2011

The Year of the Tiger: China’s Spy Satellite Surge in 2010

Ian Easton, “The Year of the Tiger: China’s Spy Satellite Surge in 2010,” AsiaEye, 14 March 2011.

… China made a key breakthrough in 2010 with the launch of the three-satellite Yaogan 9 constellation, reported to be a Naval Ocean Surveillance System (NOSS), capable of using time difference of arrival techniques to triangulate and target […]

14 March 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #29: India Plays Catch-up with China: Asia’s titans boost 2011 defense budgets

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “India Plays Catch-up with China: Asia’s Titans Boost 2011 Defense Budgets,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 29 (14 March 2011).
Air and naval implications of India’s higher spending and evolving strategic priorities.
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
China announced on 5 March 2011 that it would boost defense spending by 12.7% in 2011 […]

11 March 2011

Uddipan Mukherjee, Centre for Land Warfare Studies, New Delhi: “The Chinese J-20 and its Ramifications”

Uddipan Mukherjee, “The Chinese J-20 and its Ramifications,” Article No. 1751 (New Delhi: Centre for Land Warfare Studies, 2 February 2011).
…The Chinese manoeuvre was obviously intended towards USA. To synchronise the test with Defence Secretary Robert Gates’ visit was too much of a coincidence. …
On top of this, Hu Jintao’s statement that he was kept […]

11 March 2011

An Air Force Strategic Vision for 2020-2030

Gen. John A. Shaud, USAF (Ret.) and Adam B. Lowther, “An Air Force Strategic Vision for 2020-2030,” Strategic Studies Quarterly 5.1 (Spring 2011): 8-31.
 Two decades of continuous operations that began with Desert Shield/Desert Storm (1990–91) and continued to the conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq have resulted in Airmen engaged in responding to current opera­tions, leaving […]

11 March 2011

“Diego Garcia and the United States’ Emerging Indian Ocean Strategy” (Asian Security) Cited in Wikipedia

Andrew S. Erickson, Walter C. Ladwig III, and Justin D. Mikolay, “Diego Garcia and the United States’ Emerging Indian Ocean Strategy,” Asian Security, Vol. 6, No. 3 (Autumn 2010), pp. 214-37.
Cited in “Diego Garcia,” Wikipedia.
Diego Garcia is a tropical, footprint-shaped coral atoll located south of the equator in the central Indian Ocean at seven degrees, […]

11 March 2011

Understanding China’s Defense Budget: What it Means, and Why it Matters

Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff, “Understanding China’s Defense Budget: What it Means, and Why it Matters,” PacNet 16 (9 March 2011).
Andrew S. Erickson [andrew.erickson@usnwc.edu] is an Associate Professor in the Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI). His research websites are www.andrewerickson.com and www.chinasignpost.com.
Adam P. Liff [apl@princeton.edu] is a Ph.D. Candidate in […]

11 March 2011

Implications of China’s Military Evacuation of Citizens from Libya

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Implications of China’s Military Evacuation of Citizens from Libya,” Jamestown China Brief 11.4 (10 March 2011): 8–10.
The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) made history with the news on February 25 that the frigate Xuzhou, one of the navy’s most modern warships, had been dispatched to waters near Libya to […]

09 March 2011

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #28: China’s Economic & Strategic Interests in CENTCOM’s Area of Responsibility: Assessment and policy recommendations

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Economic & Strategic Interests in CENTCOM’s Area of Responsibility: Assessment and Policy Recommendations,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 28 (9 March 2011).
China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”©
China’s recent operation to evacuate its citizens in Libya saw PLA ships and aircraft pass through the U.S. Central Command’s (CENTCOM) area of responsibility (AOR), suggesting […]

08 March 2011

Craig Covault, Aerospace America: “China’s Military Space Surge”

Craig Covault, “China’s Military Space Surge,” Aerospace America (March 2011): 32-37.
Expert analysts say China is accelerating its military space program to target U.S. aircraft carriers. The surge in development and launch activities has caught the attention of the U.S. secretary of defense and has begun to affect DOD planning. Yet very little U.S. or political […]

07 March 2011

NPR: “Obama to Name Commerce Secretary Locke Ambassador to China”

“Obama to Name Commerce Secretary Locke Ambassador to China,” National Public Radio, 7 March 2011.
President Obama is going to make history Tuesday by naming Commerce Secretary Gary Locke to be U.S. ambassador to China, making him the first American of known Chinese ancestry to be named to that post.
Several news outlets are reporting that the […]