Archive | Blog Posts

10 September 2015

South China Sea: Satellite Imagery Makes Clear China’s Runway Work at Subi Reef

Victor Robert Lee, “South China Sea: Satellite Imagery Makes Clear China’s Runway Work at Subi Reef,” The Diplomat, 8 September 2015.
Reposted with author’s explicit written permission.
Satellite imagery of Subi Reef in the South China Sea taken 3 September 2015 clearly shows subgrading for a runway. At a width of approximately 60 meters, the subgrading could […]

Continue Reading

10 September 2015

China’s DF-21D Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM)—Officially Revealed at 3 September Parade—Complete Open Source Research Compendium

So now it’s finally official, after all these years… The DF-21D “assassin’s mace” (东风-21丁) anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) debuted at China’s V-Day military parade on 3 September 2015. Click here to read the most comprehensive unclassified study to date on this unique Chinese missile, the DF-21D ASBM. Also at the parade, the DF-26 was described as a new intermediate-range […]

Continue Reading

09 September 2015

U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence 2015 Report—“The PLA Navy: New Capabilities and Missions for the 21st Century”—Complete Links to Report, Videos & Graphics

Obviously, the report and accompanying materials were published five months ago. But since the relevant ONI web links continue to be inoperable, I wanted to make sure that everyone had access to cached copies of the report and all its sub-components, as well as to related analysis. It’s all available here:
The PLA Navy: New Capabilities […]

Continue Reading

07 September 2015

Runway Construction at Subi Reef—China Building 2nd ~3km Airstrip in Spratlys, 3rd in South China Sea (ex-Hainan)

@rajfortyseven has just shared the following on Twitter: “Zhubi/Subi Reef latest viaCDF DOI 8/31/15.Airstrip under construction 2500mX60m Could be 3500mX60m”

Here’s what the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative’s Subi Reef Tracker currently reports:

3,950,000 square meters reclaimed
Access channel 230 meters wide
Temporary Loading Piers x 11
Potential 3000m airstrip
Large multi-level facility with existing structure
Possible satellite communication antennas x7
Possible security and […]

Continue Reading

02 September 2015

China Military Parade—3 September 2015—Your Complete Hardware & Logistics Guide (Updated Version)

UPDATE: DF-21D “assassin’s mace” anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM) debuted. So now it’s finally official, after all these years… Click here to read the most comprehensive unclassified study to date on this unique Chinese missile, the DF-21D ASBM.
Also displayed publicly for the first time: DF-16, DF-26, and YJ-12 missiles. The DF-26 was described as a new intermediate-range […]

Continue Reading

31 August 2015

China Military Parade—3 September 2015—Your Complete Hardware Guide (Earlier Version)

China doesn’t plan to reveal systematically in advance what it will display in its 3 September 2015 military parade, but that shouldn’t stop you from anticipating what might be included, preparing to recognize it when you see it, and figuring out what it all means.
Below are key links to, and distillations from, the latest […]

Continue Reading

31 August 2015

Inside the Design of China’s Yuan-class Submarine

Capt. Christopher P. Carlson, USN (Retired), “Essay: Inside the Design of China’s Yuan-class Submarine,” U.S. Naval Institute News, 31 August 2015.
China’s evolving submarine force is a topic worthy of sober examination and debate. However, for the discussion to be useful in informing both national policy-makers and citizenry alike, the content must be based on accurate […]

Continue Reading

31 August 2015

Prof. William Murray Reviews “Fire on the Water: China, America and the Future of the Pacific” by Robert Haddick

William S. Murray; review of Robert Haddick, Fire on the Water: China, America and the Future of the Pacific (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2014); The Submarine Review (December 2014): 145-49.
William S. Murray is an associate research professor and the Co-Director of the Halsey Bravo research effort at the United States Naval War College. He […]

Continue Reading

31 August 2015

Washington Post China Newsletter—A Re-evaluation of China

An excellent compilation of hard-hitting articles. All content below courtesy of Simon Denyer, China Bureau Chief, The Washington Post:
This month’s stock market crash has prompted a fundamental re-evaluation of the China story. Despite the fact that the market’s fortunes bear precious little relation to the real economy, the plunge has sharpened concerns about the nation’s […]

Continue Reading

28 August 2015

Chinese Airlines Are in It for the Long Haul

A pithy analysis of the challenges and opportunities facing China’s domestic airlines and their foreign competitors, from a noted industry expert.
Marc Szepan, “Chinese Airlines Are in It for the Long Haul,” The Diplomat, 28 August 2015.
Good news for Western aircraft manufacturers may be bad news for Western airlines
Amid turmoil in China’s stock market and concerns […]

Continue Reading

27 August 2015

Tracking China’s “Little Blue Men”—A Comprehensive Maritime Militia Compendium

Rarely is a topic so little recognized and so little understood, yet so amenable to research using Chinese-language open sources… To increase awareness and understanding of this important subject, here is a convenient compendium of major publications to date on the matter. If you know of others, please bring them to my attention via <http://www.andrewerickson.com/contact/>.
Andrew […]

Continue Reading

26 August 2015

Obama and Asia: Confronting the China Challenge

Rigorous, measured, nuanced analysis–always in insufficient supply generally, but particularly on the vital issue of U.S.-China relations!
Thomas J. Christensen, “Obama and Asia: Confronting the China Challenge,” Foreign Affairs 94.5 (September/October 2015): 28-36.
China’s rise poses two broad challenges for U.S. foreign policy: how to deter the People’s Republic from destabilizing East Asia and how to encourage it […]

Continue Reading

21 August 2015

United States Issues Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy

A most positive and welcome development! Better late than never…
Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy (Arlington, VA: Department of Defense, 20 August 2015).
INTRODUCTION
The United States has enduring economic and security interests in the Asia-Pacific region. And because the region – stretching from the Indian Ocean, through the South and East China Seas, and out to the Pacific […]

Continue Reading

11 August 2015

“This the Chinese Navy!”—PLAN Ad Video Recruits Millennials with Patriotic Appeal

Chinese Navy Recruiting Video Translated — 中国海军征兵宣传片英文翻译
Click here to watch the video with English-language subtitles.
SUMMARY BY DAKO XIAWEIYI:
“We will not yield a single inch of our borders to foreigners…the struggle over maritime rights has not ended…we are ready for war.”
The message of this recruiting video is that China recovered Macao and Hong Kong in the 1990s, […]

Continue Reading

03 August 2015

Malaysia’s “Special Relationship” with China and the South China Sea: Not So Special Anymore

Scott Bentley, Australian Defense Force Academy, “Malaysia’s ‘Special Relationship’ with China and the South China Sea: Not So Special Anymore,” Asan Forum, 31 July 2015.
On June 2, 2015, Minister Shahidan bin Kassim held a press conference to announce an “intrusion” by a foreign vessel in the South Luconia Shoals (Beting Patinggi Ali, in Malay). A […]

Continue Reading

29 July 2015

People’s Daily Online: China’s new generation 12000 ton coast guard ship can “destroy a 5000 ton ship and sink it to the sea floor”

China’s New Generation of Coast Guard Ship is Powerful
By Jiaxin Li (People’s Daily Online)    01:14, July 29, 2015

China’s new generation of the 12,000 ton coast guard ship is designed to be used for law enforcement at sea and preventing foreign vessels from getting closer to our ship. The design of the main body of this vessel is […]

Continue Reading

09 July 2015

CMSI Conference—“China’s Naval Shipbuilding: Progress and Challenges”—My Personal Summary of Discussion

Andrew S. Erickson, Personal summary of discussion at “China’s Naval Shipbuilding: Progress and Challenges,” conference held by China Maritime Studies Institute at U.S. Naval War College, Newport, RI, 19-20 May 2015.
CHINA MARITIME STUDIES INSTITUTE (CMSI) CONFERENCE
“CHINA’S NAVAL SHIPBUILDING: PROGRESS AND CHALLENGES”
PERSONAL SUMMARY OF DISCUSSION BY ANDREW S. ERICKSON
THIS IS A COMPILATION OF MY OBSERVATIONS FROM THIS CONFERENCE […]

Continue Reading

07 July 2015

Pentagon Appoints Abraham Denmark, NBR Senior Vice President, as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for East Asia

Important, positive news from the National Bureau of Asian Research:

Abraham M. Denmark
The U.S. Office of the Secretary of Defense has appointed Abraham Denmark, Senior Vice President of Political and Security Affairs and External Relations at the National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR), to the position of United States Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for East […]

Continue Reading

03 July 2015

East Asian Security in the Age of the Chinese Mega-Cutter

Yet another must-read by Ryan Martinson. It is quite significant that China has formed the world’s largest blue-water coast guard fleet, and added to it the world’s largest constabulary vessel by far.
Ryan D. Martinson, “East Asian Security in the Age of the Chinese Mega-Cutter,” Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), 3 July 2015.
On May 19th, […]

Continue Reading