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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

24 May 2015

Chris Cavas of Defense News Offers Key Takeaways from CMSI’s Conference on “China’s Naval Shipbuilding: Progress and Challenges”

Christopher P. Cavas, “China’s Navy Makes Strides, Work Remains to Be Done,” Defense News, 24 May 2015.
NEWPORT, R.I. — It’s no secret that China has embarked on a major modernization and expansion plan for its Navy, and its aggressive building program, coupled with the placing in service of more modern submarines, an aircraft carrier, destroyers […]

20 May 2015

More Willing and Able: Charting China’s International Security Activism

Ely Ratner, Elbridge Colby, Andrew Erickson, Zachary Hosford, and Alexander Sullivan, More Willing and Able: Charting China’s International Security Activism (Washington, DC: Center for a New American Security, May 2015).
The Center for a New American Security (CNAS) Asia-Pacific Security Program has released a new report, More Willing and Able: Charting China’s International Security Activism. The report examines China’s […]

11 May 2015

What Does the Pentagon Think about China’s Rising Military Might?

Andrew S. Erickson, “What Does the Pentagon Think about China’s Rising Military Might?” The National Interest, 11 May 2015.
Originally published as: Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Emerging Competitive Edge: Pentagon Report Reveals Regionally-Potent Military with Growing Reach Beyond,” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 9 May 2015.
It’s that time of year again. The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) […]

11 May 2015

Interviewed by Michael Forsythe in New York Times Sinosphere: Dispatches from China on “China’s Military Goals and Capabilities”

Michael Forsythe, “Q. and A.: Andrew S. Erickson on China’s Military Goals and Capabilities,” Sinosphere: Dispatches from China, New York Times, 11 May 2015.
Every year, the United States Department of Defense must submit a report to Congress — a classified version and an unclassified one — on “military and security developments involving the People’s Republic of […]

09 May 2015

China’s Emerging Competitive Edge: Pentagon Report Reveals Regionally-Potent Military with Growing Reach Beyond

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Emerging Competitive Edge: Pentagon Report Reveals Regionally-Potent Military with Growing Reach Beyond,” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 9 May 2015.
It’s that time of year again. The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) has just released its annual report on Chinese military and security issues. It documents important trends in this area using information […]

09 May 2015

Clear Strengths, Fuzzy Weaknesses In China’s Massive Military Build-Up

Andrew S. Erickson, “Clear Strengths, Fuzzy Weaknesses In China’s Massive Military Build-Up,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 9 May 2015.
The U.S. Defense Department’s new assessment of China’s fighting ability paints a picture of a force in the midst of a broad-based modernization at a pace that other militaries would envy. It has increased its ability […]

08 May 2015

Department of Defense Releases 2015 Report on China Military and Security Developments

Office of the Secretary of Defense, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2015 (Arlington, VA: Department of Defense, 8 May 2015).
The People’s Republic of China (PRC) continues to pursue a long-term, comprehensive military modernization program designed to improve its armed forces’ capacity to fight short-duration, highintensity regional conflicts. Preparing for potential conflict […]

06 May 2015

Chinese Cooperation to Protect Sea-Lane Security: Antipiracy Operations in the Gulf of Aden

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, “Chinese Cooperation to Protect Sea-Lane Security: Antipiracy Operations in the Gulf of Aden,” in Peter A. Dutton and Ryan D. Martinson, eds., Beyond the Wall: Chinese Far Seas Operations, Naval War College China Maritime Study 13 (May 2015): 33–41.

Antipiracy efforts in the Gulf of Aden represent a successful example of […]

06 May 2015

CMSI ‘Red Book’ #13: “Beyond the Wall: Chinese Far Seas Operations”

Peter A. Dutton and Ryan D. Martinson, eds., Beyond the Wall: Chinese Far Seas Operations, Naval War College China Maritime Study 13 (May 2015).

Much has been written about Chinese sea power in the “near seas” of East Asia—those waters located within the chain of islands extending from the Kurils in the north to Sumatra in the south. This […]

06 May 2015

Tanmen Militia: China’s “Maritime Rights Protection” Vanguard

Andrew S. Erickson and Conor M. Kennedy, “Tanmen Militia: China’s ‘Maritime Rights Protection’ Vanguard,” The National Interest, 6 May 2015.

The maritime militias built out of the fishing industry are becoming a major foreign policy tool for the consolidation of China’s claims.
Hainan Province is using the fishing industry as a launching pad for the nation’s consolidation […]

01 May 2015

Review of Alan M. Wachman’s Landmark Book “Why Taiwan? Geostrategic Rationales for China’s Territorial Integrity”

Andrew S. Erickson; review of Alan M. Wachman, Why Taiwan? Geostrategic Rationales for China’s Territorial Integrity (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2007); Naval War College Review 68.3 (Summer 2015): 167-69.
Tufts Fletcher School Professor Alan Wachman was a giant in the China, East Asian studies, and international relations field who remains sorely missed following his untimely death […]

01 May 2015

China’s Global Maritime Presence: Hard and Soft Dimensions of PLAN Antipiracy Operations

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin Strange, “China’s Global Maritime Presence: Hard and Soft Dimensions of PLAN Antipiracy Operations,” Jamestown China Brief 15.9 (1 May 2015).
The global antipiracy mission off Somalia, a hallmark for collective 21st-century international security, is gradually moving toward a close. There have been no successful Somali pirate attacks since 2012 and, barring a […]

27 April 2015

Lengthening Chinese Airstrips May Pave Way for South China Sea ADIZ

Andrew S. Erickson, “Lengthening Chinese Airstrips May Pave Way for South China Sea ADIZ,” The National Interest, 27 April 2015.
Originally published as: Andrew S. Erickson, “Runway to the Danger Zone? Lengthening Chinese Airstrips May Pave Way for South China Sea ADIZ,” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 24 April 2015.
[Links from original version embedded below:]
Never underestimate Chinese engineering. First the […]

27 April 2015

South China Sea: China’s Unprecedented Spratlys Building Program

Victor Robert Lee, “South China Sea: China’s Unprecedented Spratlys Building Program,” The Diplomat, 25 April 2015.
Subi Reef looks next in line for an airstrip, as building and reclamation continue with unprecedented speed.
High-resolution satellite images from April 17, 2015 reveal that in the space of ten weeks China has built an island on top of Subi […]

24 April 2015

Runway to the Danger Zone? Lengthening Chinese Airstrips May Pave Way for South China Sea ADIZ

Andrew S. Erickson, “Runway to the Danger Zone? Lengthening Chinese Airstrips May Pave Way for South China Sea ADIZ,” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 24 April 2015.
Never underestimate Chinese engineering. First the Great Wall, then the Grand Canal, and now the Great Wall of Sand.
China is rapidly augmenting features in the South China Sea (SCS) on industrial […]

24 April 2015

The 2015 US-Japan Guidelines for Defense Cooperation: toward “A More Balanced and Effective Alliance”

Adam P. Liff, “The 2015 US-Japan Guidelines for Defense Cooperation: toward ‘A More Balanced and Effective Alliance’,” PacNet 27, 23 April 2015.
While the media has focused on how Prime Minister Abe Shinzo will treat history in his speech to Congress next week, another historic development should occur days before Abe reaches the podium. Monday, US […]

20 April 2015

Confirmed: China to Receive 4-6 Battalions of Russian S-400 Air Defense Missile System in ~2017

To paraphrase Vice President Biden, Russia’s confirmed sale of 4-6 S-400 air defense missile battalions is a big deal. The system’s radar alone is extremely powerful and long-range, and casts a long shadow over the East Asian littoral. The timing on this agreement (inked last quarter 2014, for delivery in ~2017) fits with the prominent […]

19 April 2015

Interviewed on CNN International (“Today Asia” Program) Regarding China’s Airstrip Construction in the South China Sea

Andrew S. Erickson, “See China’s Secret Ocean Airbase,” Live interview on “Today Asia” Program, CNN International, 17 April 2015.

Click here to watch a re-aired segment of the interview.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

19 April 2015

China’s Maodun: A Free Internet Caged by the Chinese Communist Party

A trenchant analysis of Beijing’s cyber contradiction (矛盾, máodùn).
Amy Chang, “China’s Maodun: A Free Internet Caged by the Chinese Communist Party,” Jamestown China Brief 15.8 (16 April 2015).
China pursues a strategy of aggressive cyberspace management and is in the midst of fostering a military cyber force to further the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) primary interest: […]