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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

22 September 2014

Naval War College Museum Book Lecture: “Rebalancing U.S. Forces: Basing and Forward Presence in the Asia-Pacific”

Andrew S. Erickson, “Rebalancing U.S. Forces: Basing and Forward Presence in the Asia-Pacific,” Eight Bells Book Lecture, Naval War College Museum, Newport, RI, 4 September 2014.
A cornerstone of American sea power and force projection is the maintenance of basing and access agreements that are presently in place in the Pacific region. Often taken for granted, […]

17 September 2014

Making History in Newport: Head of China’s Navy Admiral Wu Shengli Leads First-Ever Delegation to Naval War College’s International Seapower Symposium

Yao Jianning, ed., “Wu Shengli Flies to US for International Seapower Symposium,” Liberation Army Daily, 16 September 2014.
At the invitation of Jonathan Greenert, chief of the Naval Operations of the U.S., Wu Shengli, member of the China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) and commander of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), left Beijing on September […]

11 September 2014

Summary Report from Latest Carlisle PLA Conference: The Chinese People’s Liberation Army in 2025

Excellent conference report from Lincoln Hines! It was an honor for me to serve as a discussant at the conference, and I can attest that he has summarized the key points well. For anyone who hasn’t yet had a chance to read them, I highly recommend the other conference reports and books in this series.
Mr. […]

11 September 2014

Power to the Provinces: The Devolution of China’s Maritime Rights Protection

Keep an eye out for more great publications from Ryan Martinson! I can personally attest to his exquisite Chinese language and analysis ability.
This time, Ryan offers timely insights on a vital yet curiously-understudied topic. Check out the table he’s compiled here of the latest additions to China’s rapidly-strengthening and -expanding civil maritime forces!
Ryan Martinson, “Power […]

11 September 2014

The Challenge of Responding to Maritime Coercion

What is the nature of China’s “tailored coercion”? What sort of a “gray zone” challenge does this “cabbage strategy” pose? How should the U.S. respond? This report offers a wealth of useful ideas.
Particularly valuable excerpts:
“incremental changes could fundamentally alter the balance of power and regional order, and vastly diminish the U.S. ability to undergird an […]

09 September 2014

Fascinating Photos & Videos of Chinese Island Building in South China Sea from BBC

Be sure to view all the accompanying photos and videos. This is precisely the sort of substantive first-hand reporting that makes following BBC productions so worthwhile!
Rupert Wingfield-Hayes, “China’s Island Factory,” BBC News, 9 September 2014.
New islands are being made in the disputed South China Sea by the might of the Chinese state. But a group […]

05 September 2014

“Rebalancing U.S. Forces” Reviewed by Nathan Albright, Naval Historical Foundation

Nathan Albright; review of  Carnes Lord and Andrew S. Erickson, eds., Rebalancing U.S. Forces: Basing and Forward Presence in the Asia-Pacific (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2014); Naval Historical Foundation, 5 September 2014.
For those readers who have an interest in reading the plans of the U.S. Navy in addressing the complicated concerns of logistics, tactical and strategic concerns, and […]

04 September 2014

Review of “Rebalancing U.S. Forces” in Proceedings by Dr. Patrick Cullen, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs

Patrick Cullen, review of  Carnes Lord and Andrew S. Erickson, eds., Rebalancing U.S. Forces: Basing and Forward Presence in the Asia-Pacific (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2014); U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 140 (September 2014): 74.
With this well-crafted edited volume, Lord and Erickson have put together an excellent team to provide us with a valuable and much needed discussion of the […]

01 September 2014

China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors

This detailed history of China’s leading space sectors draws on and cites demonstrably authoritative Chinese-language sources previously unavailable in English.
Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors,” Acta Astronautica 103 (October/November 2014): 142–67.
Click here for complete information on this issue of the journal.

U.S. Naval War College, United States
John King Fairbank Center […]

01 September 2014

Harry Kazianis Reviews “Fire on the Water: China, America and the Future of the Pacific”

Harry Kazianis, “A Master Plan to Counter China’s Growing Military Might?”; Review of Robert Haddick, Fire on the Water: China, America and the Future of the Pacific (Naval Institute Press, 2014); War on the Rocks, 1 September 2014.
… There could be no better time than the present for a new book that not only explores issues surrounding China’s […]

25 August 2014

Going Maverick: Lessons from China’s Buzzing of a U.S. Navy Aircraft

Andrew S. Erickson and Emily de La Bruyere, “Going Maverick: Lessons from China’s Buzzing of a U.S. Navy Aircraft,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal,  25 August 2014.
Many have evoked the film “Top Gun” in describing a recent confrontation between a Chinese J-11 fighter and U.S. Navy P-8 Poseidon surveillance plane off of Hainan […]

22 August 2014

Pentagon Says Chinese Air Force J-11B Fighter Jet Confronted American Navy Plane in Dangerously Close Proximity

Helene Cooper, “Pentagon Says Chinese Fighter Jet Confronted American Navy Plane,” New York Times, 22 August 2014.
WASHINGTON — A Chinese fighter jet flew within 30 feet of a Navy surveillance and reconnaissance plane this week in international airspace just off the Chinese coast, the Pentagon said Friday.
The encounter, known as an intercept, was “very, very […]

18 August 2014

Can America “Just Say No” to China?

A trenchant, thought-provoking analysis by CNAS Research Associate and rising star in the China/Asia-Pacific studies field Amy Chang on contradictions in U.S. China policy and what to do about them. Whether you agree with Amy or not on the specifics, her argument is reflective of growing concerns in many U.S. and allied quarters…
Amy Chang, “Can America […]

07 August 2014

CMSI ‘Red Book’ #12: “The Recruitment, Education, and Training of PLA Navy Personnel”

The study that everyone wanted but nobody had produced before!
Kenneth Allen and Morgan Clemens, The Recruitment, Education, and Training of PLA Navy Personnel, Naval War College China Maritime Study 12 (August 2014).
Looking back at the parlous state of the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) in the early 1980s, Liu Huaqing, its former commander, wrote, “All areas [of the […]

01 August 2014

PRC National Defense Ministry Spokesman Sr. Col. Geng Yansheng Offers China’s Most-Detailed Position to Date on Dongdiao-class Ship’s Intelligence Collection in U.S. EEZ during RIMPAC Exercise

Summary translation: China demands freedom from the United States to collect intelligence in U.S. Exclusive Economic Zones in the name of U.S. principles and domestic laws. China denies the United States reciprocal freedoms in the name of China’s own domestic laws.
Such lack of reciprocity flies in the face of international legal principles and support for an […]

01 August 2014

A “New Situation”: China’s Evolving Assessment of its Security Environment

Excellent analysis by a serious observer of Chinese military, doctrinal, and policy developments. Here’s hoping that David Bradley continues to publish his sophisticated analysis for all to read!
Has Washington unwittingly contributed to Beijing’s assessment of a “new situation” in the regional security environment and beyond by: (1) devoting insufficient resources and attention to the Asia-Pacific, (2) not […]

01 August 2014

China’s RIMPAC Spying: Having Your Cake and Eating It Too

Very important piece by Shannon Tiezzi. It explains clearly how China is trying to have it both ways with regard to conducting maritime intelligence collection activities in another nation’s EEZ. That’s why Emily de La Bruyere and I quote leading international legal scholar Jerome Cohen in our recent article in The National Interest on the […]

28 July 2014

China’s RIMPAC Maritime-Surveillance Gambit

Andrew S. Erickson and Emily de La Bruyere, “China’s RIMPAC Maritime-Surveillance Gambit,” The National Interest, 29 July 2014.
Forty-nine ships from 22 countries, including China, are currently participating in the Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) maritime training exercises off the coast of Hawaii. Submarines and aircraft have joined them. But last Friday, an electronic display map […]

23 July 2014

China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors,” Acta Astronautica (26 June 2014).
Copyright © 2014 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Highlights
• China’s first space achievements were in military/civilian rockets and satellites.
• Nuclear power status and deterrence required missiles to credibly deliver warheads.
• Satellites were also prioritized for strategic reasons and lack of […]