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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

18 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Beijing Projects Power through Cooperation, Intimidation

Andrew S. Erickson, “Beijing Projects Power through Cooperation, Intimidation,” Nikkei Asian Review, 18 December 2014.
China’s military development offers costs and benefits for its neighbors and the world. To understand why, look at two factors: technology and geography.
     In the contested “near seas” off China’s coast (the Yellow, East China, and South China seas), Beijing is […]

18 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #87: “Volkswagen’s China Dealership Expansions Suggest Substantial Upside for Continued Growth in Car Sales—and Gasoline Consumption”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Volkswagen’s China Dealership Expansions Suggest Substantial Upside for Continued Growth in Car Sales—and Gasoline Consumption,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 87 (17 December 2014).

 

China’s passenger car sales volumes have been strong thus far in 2014, with roughly 15% YoY growth between January and November 2014. Gasoline demand has followed suit, […]

18 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

CMSI’s Ryan Martinson & Lowy Institute’s Linda Jakobson Debate the Agency of China’s Civil Maritime (Coast Guard) Agencies

A great debate whose time has come. Personally, I think Martinson strikes the right balance, but both experts have made useful contributions to the open source literature on this important yet understudied topic!
China’s consolidating Coast Guard is certainly acting in aggregate to further a larger national strategy of some sort; the question is, precisely how, […]

17 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

The World Hot Spots You’ve Never Heard of That Could Ruin 2015

Gregory Viscusi and Nicole Gaouette, “The World Hot Spots You’ve Never Heard of That Could Ruin 2015,” Bloomberg, 16 December 2014.
The Spratlys. Narva. Fezzan.
These places risk becoming household names in 2015. Can’t locate them on a map? Well, a lot of people couldn’t have found Donetsk in Ukraine or Raqqa in Syria as 2014 got under […]

13 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #86: “Gasoline, Natural Gas, and Aluminum are Bright Spots for China Commodity Demand in 2014 as Steel and Coal Weaken”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Gasoline, Natural Gas, and Aluminum are Bright Spots for China Commodity Demand in 2014 as Steel and Coal Weaken,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 86 (12 December 2014).

 

Gasoline, natural gas, and aluminum are China’s commodity demand bright spots so far in 2014—amidst a significant downturn in consumption of key basic […]

06 December 2014 ~ 10 Comments

Have We Just Glimpsed China’s Vision of Future Aircraft Carrier Designs?

Andrew S. Erickson, “Asia Get Ready: Is This China’s Vision of Future Aircraft Carrier Designs?” The National Interest, 8 December 2014.
Originally published as: Andrew S. Erickson, “Have We Just Glimpsed China’s Vision of Future Aircraft Carrier Designs?” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国 (6 December 2014).
A high-caliber model manufacturer may just have provided a unique glimpse […]

05 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

The Militarization of China’s Coast Guard

Ryan D. Martinson, “The Militarization of China’s Coast Guard,” The Diplomat, 21 November 2014.
Plans for China’s still nascent coast guard suggest troubled times ahead in disputed waters.
With new “China Coast Guard” ships entering service at regular intervals, it is easy to forget that the China Coast Guard as an organization does not yet exist in […]

04 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

CNAS Releases Amy Chang’s Report on China’s Cyber Strategy

Click here to read Amy Chang’s interview in New York Times.
Download full text of the report here.
CNAS Releases Report on China’s Cyber Strategy
Report Reveals the Political, Economic, and Military Objectives
of China’s Cybersecurity Strategy
Washington, December 3 – Center for a New American Security (CNAS) Technology and National Security Program Research Associate Amy Chang has written a new report, “Warring State: China’s Cybersecurity Strategy.” […]

01 December 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s New CX-1 Supersonic Anti-Ship Cruise Missile—Wendell Minnick’s After-Action Report from Zhuhai Airshow

Wendell Minnick, “China’s CX-1 Missile Now Exportable,” Defense News, 1 December 2014.
TAIPEI — China’s new CX-1 supersonic anti-ship cruise missile is ready for export to America’s friends and foes alike, with potential markets including Iran, Pakistan and African and South American countries.
On display at the recent Airshow China in Zhuhai, the missile resembles India’s BrahMos […]

27 November 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #85: “Mapping China’s Gas Pipeline Buildout: Follow Lights and Railroads”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Mapping China’s Gas Pipeline Buildout: Follow Lights and Railroads,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 85 (25 November 2014).

 

China’s gas supply deficit continues to rise. It is being propelled by booming demand and slowing domestic gas production increases (the deficit was 45% of demand as of June 2014). Now looming on […]

24 November 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #84: “Tank Watch: What Do China’s November 2014 SPR Data Tell Us?”

Gabriel B. Collins and Andrew S. Erickson, “Tank Watch: What Do China’s November 2014 SPR Data Tell Us?” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 84 (24 November 2014).

 

On November 20, China’s National Statistics Bureau unveiled a G-20 surprise by publishing inventory data for four of the country’s strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) sites: Dalian, Huangdao, Zhenhai, and Zhoushan. These […]

24 November 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Racing toward Tragedy?: China’s Rise, Military Competition in the Asia Pacific, and the Security Dilemma

Adam P. Liff and G. John Ikenberry, “Racing toward Tragedy?: China’s Rise, Military Competition in the Asia Pacific, and the Security Dilemma,” International Security 39.2 (Fall 2014): 52-91.

Posted Online November 21, 2014.
© 2014 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Adam P. Liff
Adam P. Liff is Assistant Professor of […]

21 November 2014 ~ 0 Comments

UPENN China Scholars Jacques deLisle & Avery Goldstein Publish Interdisciplinary Edited Volume on “China’s Challenges”

Jacques deLisle and Avery Goldstein, eds., China’s Challenges (Philadelphia, PA: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2014).
When the “fifth generation” of Communist Party leaders in China assumed top political positions in 2012-2013, they took the helm of a country that has achieved remarkable economic growth, political stability, and international influence. Yet China today confronts challenges at least as daunting […]