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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

24 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Runway to the Danger Zone? Lengthening Chinese Airstrips May Pave Way for South China Sea ADIZ

Andrew S. Erickson, “Runway to the Danger Zone? Lengthening Chinese Airstrips May Pave Way for South China Sea ADIZ,” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 24 April 2015.
Never underestimate Chinese engineering. First the Great Wall, then the Grand Canal, and now the Great Wall of Sand.
China is rapidly augmenting features in the South China Sea (SCS) on industrial […]

24 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

The 2015 US-Japan Guidelines for Defense Cooperation: toward “A More Balanced and Effective Alliance”

Adam P. Liff, “The 2015 US-Japan Guidelines for Defense Cooperation: toward ‘A More Balanced and Effective Alliance’,” PacNet 27, 23 April 2015.
While the media has focused on how Prime Minister Abe Shinzo will treat history in his speech to Congress next week, another historic development should occur days before Abe reaches the podium. Monday, US […]

20 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Confirmed: China to Receive 4-6 Battalions of Russian S-400 Air Defense Missile System in ~2017

To paraphrase Vice President Biden, Russia’s confirmed sale of 4-6 S-400 air defense missile battalions is a big deal. The system’s radar alone is extremely powerful and long-range, and casts a long shadow over the East Asian littoral. The timing on this agreement (inked last quarter 2014, for delivery in ~2017) fits with the prominent […]

19 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Interviewed on CNN International (“Today Asia” Program) Regarding China’s Airstrip Construction in the South China Sea

Andrew S. Erickson, “See China’s Secret Ocean Airbase,” Interview on “Today Asia” Program, CNN International, 17 April 2016.

Click here to watch a re-aired segment of the interview.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

19 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Maodun: A Free Internet Caged by the Chinese Communist Party

A trenchant analysis of Beijing’s cyber contradiction (矛盾, máodùn).
Amy Chang, “China’s Maodun: A Free Internet Caged by the Chinese Communist Party,” Jamestown China Brief 15.8 (16 April 2015).
China pursues a strategy of aggressive cyberspace management and is in the midst of fostering a military cyber force to further the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) primary interest: […]

16 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

China Building Airstrip in Spratly Islands, Satellite Images Show

Jeremy Page, “China Building Airstrip in Spratly Islands, Satellite Images Show,” Wall Street Journal, 16 April 2015.
Move seen as step in enforcing territorial claims to disputed island group in South China Sea
BEIJING—Fresh satellite imagery released Thursday shows that China has begun building a concrete runway on reclaimed land around a disputed reef in the South […]

16 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Revelations on China’s Maritime Modernization: The U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence Offers a Wealth of New Information on the PLA Navy

Andrew S. Erickson, “Revelations on China’s Maritime Modernization: The U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence Offers a Wealth of New Information on the PLA Navy,” The Diplomat, 16 April 2015.
To its first unclassified report on China’s navy in six years, the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI) has just added sophisticated posters detailing Chinese ships and […]

13 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Office of Naval Intelligence Completes Posting of Reference Guides (Ships-Aircraft/Leadership/Equipment) Accompanying PLA Navy Report

Just added to ONI’s report on “The PLA Navy: New Capabilities and Missions for the 21st Century”: posters detailing Chinese ships and aircraft, equipment, and leadership structure. Perhaps most exciting, for the first time ever, ONI is making authoritative, carefully-labeled silhouettes and photos of PLAN and maritime law enforcement (MLE) ships and aircraft available publicly, together […]

11 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

How Will China View the New Maritime Strategy

Bryan McGrath, “How Will China View the New Maritime Strategy,” Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 8 April 2015.
The military services responsible for American seapower (Navy, Marine Corps, Coast Guard) recently released their new maritime strategy, entitled “Forward, Engaged, Ready: A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower.” The reviews thus far have been positive, […]

11 April 2015 ~ 1 Comment

Washington Free Beacon Becomes 1st Western Newspaper to Publish Likely Photo of China’s New YJ-18 Supersonic Anti-Ship Cruise Missile

Bill Gertz, “ONI Reveals Massive Chinese Naval Buildup—New Supersonic Cruise Missile Deployed,” Washington Free Beacon, 10 April 2015.
… The Office of Naval Intelligence, in its first unclassified assessment of the Chinese navy in six years, revealed deployment of the new YJ-18 supersonic anti-ship cruise missile on warships and submarines that analysts say poses a major threat to […]

10 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

U.S. Exposes China’s Growing Maritime Power

Andrew S. Erickson, “U.S. Exposes China’s Growing Maritime Power,” The National Interest, 10 April 2015.
Originally published as: Andrew S. Erickson, “Navy Intel Charts Chinese Sea Change: Office of Naval Intelligence Releases First Unclassified PLAN Report in Six Years,” China Analysis from Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国, 9 April 2015.
What a difference six years makes! Since the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence […]

10 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

China Is Rapidly Adding Coast Guard Ships, U.S. Navy Says

Jane Perlez, “China Is Rapidly Adding Coast Guard Ships, U.S. Navy Says,” New York Times, 10 April 2015.
SINGAPORE — China is rapidly building Coast Guard ships, the vessels that China most commonly uses for patrols in the South China Sea, and in the last three years has increased the number of ships in that category 25 percent, […]

10 April 2015 ~ 0 Comments

How U.S. Navy Intel Sees China’s Maritime Forces

Andrew Erickson, “How U.S. Navy Intel Sees China’s Maritime Forces,” War on the Rocks, 10 April 2015.
In its first unclassified report on the subject in six years, the Office of Naval Intelligence depicts a powerful trajectory for China’s maritime forces. Titled “The PLA Navy: New Capabilities and Missions for the 21st Century,” the document and […]