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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

25 July 2016

The Scholar as Portent of Chinese Actions in the South China Sea

Ryan D. Martinson, “The Scholar as Portent of Chinese Actions in the South China Sea,” Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), 25 July 2016.
Chinese leaders, like leaders elsewhere, rely on the advice of outside experts—academics and other professional scholars—to help them cope with the myriad challenges of international politics. Statesmen and scholars, however, come from […]

23 July 2016

Latest Edition of Ron O’Rourke’s Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report: “China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress”

Ronald O’Rourke, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 17 June 2016), RL33153.
Summary
China is building a modern and regionally powerful navy with a limited but growing capability for conducting operations beyond China’s near-seas region. Observers of Chinese and U.S. military forces view China’s improving naval capabilities as posing a potential […]

13 July 2016

“A Maritime or Continental Order for Southeast Asia and the South China Sea?”—Address at Chatham House by CMSI Director Peter Dutton

Peter A. Dutton, “A Maritime or Continental Order for Southeast Asia and the South China Sea?” Address at Chatham House, London, U.K., 16 February 2016; reprinted in Naval War College Review 69.3 (Summer 2016): 5-13.
… Today, China’s land power is once again ascendant in the region in the form of missile, air, space, and cyber forces, augmented […]

13 July 2016

Panning for Gold: Assessing Chinese Maritime Strategy from Primary Sources

Gold that requires no panning: a methodological masterpiece from my CMSI colleague Ryan Martinson. Mandatory reading for all serious students of Chinese maritime strategy and Chinese-language open source scholarship!
Ryan D. Martinson, “Panning for Gold: Assessing Chinese Maritime Strategy from Primary Sources,” Naval War College Review 69.3 (Summer 2016): 23-44.
What are the drivers behind China’s vigorous […]

12 July 2016

Preserving a Rules-Based Order in the South China Sea

Andrew S. Erickson, “Preserving a Rules-Based Order in the South China Sea,” interview with Eleanor Albert, Council on Foreign Relations, 12 July 2016.
A UN tribunal’s ruling upholds the need for a rules-based order that counters China’s efforts to turn the South China Sea region into a sphere of influence, says expert Andrew Erickson.
The Permanent Court of […]

12 July 2016

China’s Claims in the South China Sea Rejected

I’m honored to participate in this conversation with leading experts including Peter Dutton, M. Taylor Fravel, Orville Schell, and Jessica Chen Weiss.
Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Claims in the South China Sea Rejected,” ChinaFile, 12 July 2016.
The Arbitration Tribunal at the Hague regarding the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) has just […]

12 July 2016

Tribunal Rules: China’s South Sea Claims Don’t Hold Water

Andrew S. Erickson, “Tribunal Rules: China’s South Sea Claims Don’t Hold Water,” The National Interest, 12 July 2016.
The law says what we always knew: China is overstepping in the South China Sea.
The Arbitration Tribunal at the Hague regarding the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) has just made a big splash with […]

12 July 2016

UNCLOS Arbitral Tribunal Press Release & Complete Set of Full Text PDF Documents—PCA Case No. 2013-19 – The South China Sea Arbitration (The Republic of the Philippines v. The People’s Republic of China)

Here are the key documents:
Award     (This is the complete 501-page ruling.)
Press Release No. 11 — English     (This and the other two linguistic variants offer a pithy summary of the detailed ruling.)
Press Release No. 11 — French
Press Release No. 11 — Unofficial Chinese Translation
 
———- Forwarded message ———-
From: Gaelle Chevalier <gchevalier@pca-cpa.org>
Date: Tue, Jul 12, 2016 […]

11 July 2016

Interviewed by Anthony Kuhn on National Public Radio’s Morning Edition

“International Tribunal to Rule on South China Sea Case,” interviewed by Anthony Kuhn, Morning Edition, National Public Radio, 11 July 2016.
Click here to listen to the program.
A decision in the case is expected on Tuesday. The Philippines challenged China’s claims to most of the South China Sea, through which about a 5th of the world’s […]

08 July 2016

Live Sunday 10 July from 5:00-6:00 PM EST on Midrats Radio Program, Blog Talk Radio—“China’s Maritime Militia with Andrew Erickson”

“Episode 340: China’s Maritime Militia with Andrew Erickson,” Live Interview on Midrats Radio Program, Blog Talk Radio, 10 July 2016.
Click here to listen to the complete podcast.
If you enjoyed the show, you may wish to scroll down through the Complete Maritime Militia Compendium appended below. Just want something specific? No problem! Everything is on one […]

08 July 2016

Interviewed on The John Batchelor Show Regarding “China’s Third Sea Force—the Maritime Militia”

“China’s Third Sea Force—the Maritime Militia,” interviewed on “‘Farce’ Says China, in the South China Sea” program, The John Batchelor Show, 77 WABC Radio New York, 7:30 p.m. EST, 6 July 2016.
Click here for webcast, and listen to minutes 30:40-39:33.
 

FURTHER ANALYSIS OF CHINA’S MARITIME MILITIA:

Tracking China’s “Little Blue Men”—A Comprehensive Maritime Militia Compendium

Rarely is a […]

06 July 2016

Countering China’s Third Sea Force: Unmask Maritime Militia before They’re Used Again

Andrew S. Erickson and Conor M. Kennedy, “Countering China’s Third Sea Force: Unmask Maritime Militia before They’re Used Again,” The National Interest, 6 July 2016.
As the South China Sea heats up, one of Beijing’s most important tools—its Maritime Militia or “Little Blue Men,” roughly equivalent at sea to Putin’s “Little Green Men” on land—offers it […]

06 July 2016

China’s Blueprint for Sea Power

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Blueprint for Sea Power,” Jamestown China Brief 16.11 (6 July 2016): 3-7.
Powered by the world’s second largest economy and defense budget, China has implemented a consistent, incremental strategy of upholding its outstanding territorial and maritime claims in the Near Seas (Yellow, East, and South China Seas), while more gradually developing an […]