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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

15 June 2017

“Chinese Naval Shipbuilding” Reviewed in Ausmarine Magazine

Review of Andrew S. Erickson, ed., Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2016), Ausmarine (May/June 2017): 60.
For nearly two centuries until recently, China went mostly backwards in terms of maritime activity. However, since around 2000, it has powered ahead to the point that it has become the world’s biggest […]

07 June 2017

New Pentagon China Report Highlights the Rise of Beijing’s Maritime Militia

Andrew S. Erickson, “New Pentagon China Report Highlights the Rise of Beijing’s Maritime Militia,” The National Interest, 7 June 2017.
Pentagon experts have finally keyed in on one of the most important aspects of China’s strategy to dominate the waterways of the Asia-Pacific.
Issued yesterday, the Pentagon’s annual report to Congress on China’s military and security developments contains a […]

07 June 2017

China Attacks Pentagon Report, Laments U.S. “Cold War Mentality”

Josh Chin, “China Attacks Pentagon Report, Laments U.S. ‘Cold War Mentality’,” Wall Street Journal, 7 June 2017.
Beijing dismisses Defense Department warning about Chinese military’s ambitions outside Asia
… The Pentagon report… for the first time examined China’s “maritime militia,” a growing civilian fleet staffed by military-trained fishermen that Beijing uses for “low-intensity coercion” in defending its […]

06 June 2017

Pentagon Releases 2017 China Military Report—First Official U.S. Government Public Assessment to Cover China’s Maritime Militia

In a long-overdue and welcome breakthrough, the Pentagon’s latest report on China’s Military and Security Developments contains substantial content on China’s Maritime Militia.
Previously, China’s Maritime Militia was mentioned by Ronald O’Rourke in his Congressional Research Service report and by the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, which recommended that the Department of Defense address this […]

06 June 2017

U.S. Department of Defense Annual Reports to Congress on China’s Military Power—2002-17—Download Complete Set Here

Since I couldn’t find a single-source location on the Internet, I decided to make my own. Now you can download PDFs of the Department of Defense’s China reports directly by year:
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
 
Additionally, here are some highlights from, and analysis of, several of the most recent reports:
2016
Andrew S. Erickson, “How Good Are They? The Latest Insights Into […]

06 June 2017

U.S. Department of Defense Annual Report to Congress—“Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2017”—Click here to read the full text report

Click here to read the full text of the 2017 report.
Office of the Secretary of Defense, Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2017 (Arlington, VA: Department of Defense, 6 June 2017).

05 June 2017

Coming Later in 2017: Harvard University Press to Publish Fairbank Center Volume on “The China Questions”

Jennifer Rudolph and Michael Szonyi, eds., The China Questions: Critical Insights into a Rising Power (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, forthcoming December 2017).
From the Publisher:
About the Editors
Jennifer Rudolph is Associate Professor of modern Chinese political history at Worcester Polytechnic Institute.
Michael Szonyi is Professor of Chinese History at Harvard University.
About the Book
Many books offer information about China, but few make […]

04 June 2017

China’s Resource Drive into the South China Sea

Andrew S. Erickson and Austin M. Strange, “China’s Resource Drive into the South China Sea,” in Timothy C. Lehmann, ed., The Geopolitics of Global Energy: The New Cost of Plenty (New York: Lynne Rienner, 2017), 131-52.
CHAPTER SUMMARY
China’s consistently high economic growth in the postreform era has been accompanied by burgeoning energy demands that make Beijing […]

03 June 2017

Senate Statement by Daniel Coats, Director of National Intelligence: “Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community”

Daniel R. Coats, Director of National Intelligence, Statement for the Record, “Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community,” Senate Armed Services Committee, 23 May 2017.
 (Information available as of April 24, 2017 was used in the preparation of this assessment.)
Please scroll down for an outline of the contents, as well as key excerpts that I […]

03 June 2017

South Korea Just Released its “2016 Defense White Paper”—Worth Reading in Full

Republic of Korea, 2016 Defense White Paper (Seoul: Ministry of National Defense, May 2017).
This report represents a solid effort by Seoul, and well worth your time to read. The report addresses major issues head on, with accompanying infographics. It also offers some fascinating details with which you may not be familiar. As part of “reducing […]

31 May 2017

IISS Launches “Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment 2017” Strategic Dossier at Shangri-La Dialogue

Launch of Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment 2017

Click here to read the press release.
IISS Shangri-La Dialogue
Dr. William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security, IISS
Dr. Matthew Cottee, Research Associate, Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Policy, IISS
Professor Ben Schreer, Head, Department of Security Studies and Criminology, Macquarie University 
Dr. Euan Graham, Director, International Security Program, Lowy Institute for International […]

30 May 2017

“China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress”—Newest Edition of Ronald O’Rourke’s Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report

Happy to see my colleagues Peter Dutton, Ryan Martinson, and Conor Kennedy cited so extensively in this report!
Ronald O’Rourke, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 12 May 2017), RL33153.
Summary
China is building a modern and regionally powerful navy with a limited but growing capability for conducting operations beyond […]

30 May 2017

China’s Maritime Territorial & Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes—Latest Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report by Ronald O’Rourke

Ronald O’Rourke, Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 19 May 2017), R42784.
 
Key Excerpts:
USE OF CHINA COAST GUARD SHIPS, FISHING BOATS/MARITIME MILITIA, AND OIL EXPLORATION PLATFORMS ………………………………………………………………………………………. 25
p. 14
1972 Convention on Preventing Collisions at Sea (COLREGs)
China and the United States, as well as more than 150 other […]

05 May 2017

Admiral Shen Jinlong, PLA Navy Commander, Ranks Among Foreign Policy’s U.S.-China Top 50 (中美关系50强)

Tea Leaf Nation Staff, “Shen Jinlong: Commander, Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy,” in “THE U.S.-CHINA 50: Meet the People Powering the World’s Most Complex and Consequential Relationship,” Foreign Policy, 3 May 2017.
中美关系50强
细数这段全球最错综复杂、举足轻重的关系背后的人物。
作者: Tea Leaf Nation团队 | 插图: Hylton Warburton
译者:融意翻译、刘子菱、孙韵
SHEN JINLONG
Commander, Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy
The next face of China’s increasingly muscular strategic vision.
政府与军事
沈金龙
中国人民解放军海军司令员
[…]

28 April 2017

“Chinese Naval Shipbuilding” Reviewed by Gregory Copley in Defense and Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy

Gregory Copley, “Essential Reading: Important New Strategic Literature,” Defense and Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy 2 (2017): 16.
Breathtaking in scope and importance is the only way to adequately describe a book which, by its name, might appear prosaic: Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course, edited and with an introduction written by the redoubtable Dr. Andrew […]

26 April 2017

China’s Naval Power Gets Big Boost with Launch of First Home-Grown Aircraft Carrier

Ryan Pickrell, “China’s Naval Power Gets Big Boost with Launch of First Home-Grown Aircraft Carrier,” Daily Caller, 26 April 2017.
China’s carriers are no match for U.S. carriers, but they offer China the kind of power projection capabilities that its neighbors in Asia lack. It is a symbol of power. …
“China’s shipbuilding industry is poised to […]

26 April 2017

VIDEO: China Launches First Domestic Aircraft Carrier

Sam LaGrone, “VIDEO: China Launches First Domestic Aircraft Carrier,” USNI News, 26 April 2017.
…  China is thought to have already begun construction on its second domestic carrier – Type-002 — at the Jiangnan Changxingdao shipyard near Shanghai. 
Unlike the new Type-001A and Liaoning, the new carrier is expected to field a catapult launching system allowing a wider variety […]

26 April 2017

Conclusion to Our 9-Article CIMSEC Series: “Hainan’s Maritime Militia: All Hands on Deck for Sovereignty, Pt. 3”

Conor M. Kennedy and Andrew S. Erickson, “Hainan’s Maritime Militia: All Hands on Deck for Sovereignty, Pt. 3,” Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), 26 April 2017.
Part I and II of this conclusion to our series on Hainan’s maritime militia discussed the Hainan Provincial Military District (MD) leadership’s approach to constructing maritime militia forces in response to national […]

26 April 2017

China Launches Its First Aircraft Carrier Built at Home

Chris Buckley, “China Launches Its First Aircraft Carrier Built at Home,” New York Times, 25 April 2017.
BEIJING — China’s first domestically built aircraft carrier slipped into the sea for the first time on Wednesday, … a milestone in President Xi Jinping’s drive to extend China’s military reach far beyond its shores.
Senior military and government officials watched as […]