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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

28 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Chinese Airlines Are in It for the Long Haul

A pithy analysis of the challenges and opportunities facing China’s domestic airlines and their foreign competitors, from a noted industry expert.
Marc Szepan, “Chinese Airlines Are in It for the Long Haul,” The Diplomat, 28 August 2015.
Good news for Western aircraft manufacturers may be bad news for Western airlines
Amid turmoil in China’s stock market and concerns […]

27 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Tracking China’s “Little Blue Men”—A Comprehensive Maritime Militia Compendium

Rarely is a topic so little recognized and so little understood, yet so amenable to research using Chinese-language open sources… To increase awareness and understanding of this important subject, here is a convenient compendium of major publications to date on the matter. If you know of others, please bring them to my attention via <http://www.andrewerickson.com/contact/>.
Andrew […]

26 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Obama and Asia: Confronting the China Challenge

Rigorous, measured, nuanced analysis–always in insufficient supply generally, but particularly on the vital issue of U.S.-China relations!
Thomas J. Christensen, “Obama and Asia: Confronting the China Challenge,” Foreign Affairs 94.5 (September/October 2015): 28-36.
China’s rise poses two broad challenges for U.S. foreign policy: how to deter the People’s Republic from destabilizing East Asia and how to encourage it […]

26 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Follow the Dragon Tracks: China’s Emerging Presence From the South China Sea to Facilities Access in the Indian Ocean

Andrew S. Erickson, “Follow the Dragon Tracks: China’s Emerging Presence From the South China Sea to Facilities Access in the Indian Ocean,” keynote address to Congressional Defense and Foreign Policy Forum, Defense Forum Foundation, Capitol Hill, Washington, DC, 24 July 2015.
Click here to read a full-text transcript of the presentation.
 
As China works to develop a […]

25 August 2015 ~ 1 Comment

Dredging Under the Radar: China Expands South Sea Foothold

Andrew S. Erickson and Kevin Bond, “Dredging Under the Radar: China Expands South Sea Foothold,” The National Interest, 26 August 2015.
Venturing ever further from the rivers and coasts that it helped develop in the first three decades of China’s post-Mao reforms, China’s burgeoning dredging fleet has not only excavated new land in the South China Sea, but […]

24 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

New U.S. Security Strategy Doesn’t Go Far Enough on South China Sea

New Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy: necessary but insufficient…
Andrew S. Erickson, “New U.S. Security Strategy Doesn’t Go Far Enough on South China Sea,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 24 August 2015.
The Pentagon just released an “Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy.” … … …
In sum, the report represents progress, but much work remains. Here’s what […]

21 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

United States Issues Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy

A most positive and welcome development! Better late than never…
Asia-Pacific Maritime Security Strategy (Arlington, VA: Department of Defense, 20 August 2015).
INTRODUCTION
The United States has enduring economic and security interests in the Asia-Pacific region. And because the region – stretching from the Indian Ocean, through the South and East China Seas, and out to the Pacific […]

14 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Latest Edition—Ron O’Rourke’s Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report—“Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress”

Ronald O’Rourke, Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Disputes Involving China: Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 7 August 2014), R42784.
 
Summary
China’s actions for asserting and defending its maritime territorial and exclusive economic zone (EEZ) claims in the East China (ECS) and South China Sea (SCS), particularly since late 2013, have heightened concerns […]

12 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Dredging Fleet Shores up Beijing’s Position in South China Sea and Beyond

Andrew Erickson and Kevin Bond, “Dredging Fleet Shores up Beijing’s Position in South China Sea and Beyond,” Lowy Interpreter, 12 August 2015.
China’s burgeoning dredging fleet adds another piece to the country’s ‘Swiss Army Knife’ of infrastructure developmental tools that are driving its controversial island building in the South China Sea.
Long after the sediment settles […]

11 August 2015 ~ 1 Comment

“This the Chinese Navy!”—PLAN Ad Video Recruits Millennials with Patriotic Appeal

Chinese Navy Recruiting Video Translated — 中国海军征兵宣传片英文翻译
Click here to watch the video with English-language subtitles.
SUMMARY BY DAKO XIAWEIYI:
“We will not yield a single inch of our borders to foreigners…the struggle over maritime rights has not ended…we are ready for war.”
The message of this recruiting video is that China recovered Macao and Hong Kong in the 1990s, […]

07 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Latest Version: Ron O’Rourke’s Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report “China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress”

Ronald O’Rourke, China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 28 July 2015), RL33153.
Summary
China is building a modern and regionally powerful navy with a limited but growing capability for conducting operations beyond China’s near-seas region. Observers of Chinese and U.S. military forces view China’s improving naval capabilities as posing a potential […]

03 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

Malaysia’s “Special Relationship” with China and the South China Sea: Not So Special Anymore

Scott Bentley, Australian Defense Force Academy, “Malaysia’s ‘Special Relationship’ with China and the South China Sea: Not So Special Anymore,” Asan Forum, 31 July 2015.
On June 2, 2015, Minister Shahidan bin Kassim held a press conference to announce an “intrusion” by a foreign vessel in the South Luconia Shoals (Beting Patinggi Ali, in Malay). A […]

02 August 2015 ~ 0 Comments

China SignPost™ (洞察中国) #93: “The Type 054/054A Frigate Series: China’s Most Produced and Deployed Large Modern Surface Combatant”

Morgan Clemens, Gabe Collins, and Kristen Gunness, “The Type 054/054A Frigate Series: China’s Most Produced and Deployed Large Modern Surface Combatant,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国) 93 (2 August 2015).
Executive Summary and Key Points
This report discusses the evolution of the Type 054/054A frigates (FFGs) by examining their roles and missions, research, development, and acquisition, and design process to […]