Hi! Welcome...

Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

28 November 2016

Is Trump Ready for China’s Inevitable Test of American Power?

Ryan Pickrell, “Is Trump Ready for China’s Inevitable Test of American Power?” Daily Caller, 27 November 2016.
China’s worldview prompts it to probe the strength and resolve of the dominant power, and President-elect Donald Trump will inevitably be tested.
In recent years, China has carefully tested and evaluated each new American president.
“The Leninist core of Chinese leadership thinking […]

22 November 2016

U.S. Pacific Fleet Commander Admiral Scott Swift on China’s Maritime Militia: “Let’s acknowledge that it’s there. Let’s acknowledge how it’s being command-and-controlled.”

Christopher P. Cavas, “China’s Maritime Militia a Growing Concern,” Defense News, 21 November 2016.
WASHINGTON Near the top of US Pacific Fleet commander Adm. Scott Swift’s concerns is China’s People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), and close behind is the country’s burgeoning Coast Guard. But a third government-controlled seagoing force, the little-known and somewhat mysterious maritime militia, […]

17 November 2016

Welcome Progress! U.S.-China Commission Recommends Dedicated Section on Maritime Militia for Pentagon China Report

2016 Report to Congress of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, One Hundred Fourteenth Congress, Second Session, 16 November 2016.
pp. 29-30
THE COMMISSION’S KEY RECOMMENDATIONS
The Commission considers 10 of its 20 recommendations to Congress to be of particular significance. The complete list of recommendations appears at the Report’s conclusion on page 507.
The Commission recommends:

Congress […]

17 November 2016

Just Released: 2016 Report to Congress of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission

2016 Report to Congress of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, One Hundred Fourteenth Congress, Second Session, 16 November 2016.
The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission has just released the 2016 Annual Report to Congress. This year’s report covers Chinese overcapacity, investment in the United States, state-owned enterprise reform, China’s military buildup, espionage threats […]

15 November 2016

China’s Naval Modernisation, Strategies, and Capabilities

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Naval Modernisation, Strategies, and Capabilities,” in Jo Inge Bekkevold and Geoffrey Till, eds., International Order at Sea: How it is challenged. How it is maintained. (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2016), 63-92.
China is striving to reclaim its historical role as the pre-eminent power in East Asia, with considerable influence beyond. Critical to […]

08 November 2016

Ellis Joffe Prize for PLA Studies: Accepting Nominations

Dear Colleague,
The National Bureau of Asian Research is accepting nominations for the Ellis Joffe Prize for PLA Studies, an award established to honor the late Ellis Joffe, a renowned China scholar, friend, and mentor to generations of PLA watchers.
Nominations should be received by January 1, 2017.
For more information about the Joffe Prize, please contact JoffePrize@nbr.org.
 
ABOUT […]

07 November 2016

Zhuhai 2016: Mysterious J-20 Sneaks In… And Out

Gordon Arthur, “Zhuhai 2016: Mysterious J-20 Sneaks In… And Out,” 1 November 2016.
China’s fifth-generation J-20 stealth fighter made a cameo appearance during the 11th Zhuhai Air Show in China, this being its first public foray anywhere in China.
However, the brief apparition of two J-20s was limited to a disappointing couple of overhead passes lasting about […]

07 November 2016

Aligning Forces in 2016: US 7th Fleet Asia-Pacific Symposium

PO2 Matthew C. Haws, Navy Reserve NAVINFO, “Aligning Forces in 2016: US 7th Fleet Asia-Pacific Symposium,” Commander, U.S. 7th Fleet Public Affairs, 30 October 2016.
 
FORT WORTH, Texas —
– Navy Reserve Commander U.S. 7th Fleet (NR COMSEVENTHFLT) hosted more than 100 Sailors from active, reserve and integrated commands during the 2016 Asia-Pacific Symposium at Naval Air […]

21 October 2016

Pre-order at 25% off list price: “Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course”

Please use Source Code SPRING17 via the form available here to receive 25% OFF list price.
CHINESE NAVAL SHIPBUILDING
An Ambitious and Uncertain Course
Edited by Andrew S. Erickson
China’s shipbuilding industry has grown more rapidly than any other in modern history. Commercial shipbuilding output jumped thirteen-fold from 2002–12, ensuring that Beijing has largely reached its […]

21 October 2016

Alliance Damage Control Under Duterte Starts with Understanding the Philippine Component of “Ambivalent Alignment”: The Complex Politics of American Security Ties in Post-Authoritarian East Asia

In the Philippines, America’s colonial legacy casts a long shadow. The military-basing agreement between the United States and the Philippines following its independence, due to expire in 1991, drew increasing Filipino elite opposition in the 1980s. In June 1991, Mt. Pinatubo’s eruption destroyed Clark Air Base. U.S. and Filipino negotiators could not agree on a […]

19 October 2016

Countering Chinese Expansion through Mass Enlightenment

A timely and persuasive argument that the U.S. government can and should do far more to unleash the power of publicly-released information. Case in point: abundant open sources illuminate the activities of China’s Maritime Militia.
James E. Fanell and Ryan D. Martinson, “Countering Chinese Expansion through Mass Enlightenment,” Center for International Maritime Security, 18 October 2016.
From […]

01 October 2016

Naval War College Professors Testify on State of South China Sea

Daniel L. Kuester, “Naval War College Professors Testify on State of South China Sea,” Navy News Service, Navy.mil, 30 September 2016.
WASHINGTON (NNS) — The House Armed Services Committee (HASC) invited two U.S. Naval War College (NWC) faculty members to testify in Washington, D.C. on understanding and countering China’s growing maritime concerns.
Andrew Erickson, professor of […]

26 September 2016

Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report by Ronald O’Rourke Documents China Maritime Militia Activity

The latest edition of the following report addresses China Maritime Militia (CMM) activity specifically. It’s high time that reports from the Department of Defense, Defense Intelligence Agency, Office of Naval Intelligence, and other organizations charged with issuing specific public estimates added their own authoritative statements on this vital issue!
Ronald O’Rourke, Maritime Territorial and Exclusive Economic Zone […]

25 September 2016

“How the US Should Respond to China’s ‘Secret’ Weapon”—The Daily Caller’s Ryan Pickrell Covers House Hearing on South China Sea

Wow! Ryan Pickrell really gets it. Hope he can help bring this vital but all-too-under-appreciated issue to a broader audience!
Ryan Pickrell, “How the US Should Respond to China’s ‘Secret’ Weapon,” The Daily Caller, 24 September 2016.
China’s naval and coast guard ships in the South China Sea tend to draw the most attention, but a more […]

22 September 2016

Out-brief from House Armed Services Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee Hearing by Megan Eckstein, U.S. Naval Institute News

Megan Eckstein, “Experts Advocate Harder Stance Against Illegal Claims in South China Sea,” U.S. Naval Institute News, 22 September 2016.
… The experts from the U.S. Naval War College and the Center for Strategic and International Studies agreed at a House Armed Services seapower and projection forces subcommittee hearing yesterday that adherence to maritime law in […]

21 September 2016

My Testimony before the House Armed Services Committee Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee—Hearing on “Seapower and Projection Forces in the South China Sea”

Andrew S. Erickson, “The South China Sea’s Third Force: Understanding and Countering China’s Maritime Militia,” Testimony before the House Armed Services Committee Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee, Hearing on Seapower and Projection Forces in the South China Sea, Washington, DC, 21 September 2016.
Click here to watch the hearing on YouTube. 

I deliver my main testimony (statement) […]

21 September 2016

House Armed Services Committee Hearing: “Seapower and Projection Forces in the South China Sea”—Links to Archived Webcast, Statements & Bios

Click here to watch on YouTube.
I deliver my main testimony (statement) from 1:24:07–1:32:54.
I answer questions from Congressman Randy Forbes on how to address China’s Maritime Militia from 1:40:40–1:43:02, and on why the South China Sea matters to America and Americans from 1:47:02–1:48:22.
I reminisce with Congressman Rick Larsen about our April 2011 trip with […]

19 September 2016

China’s Maritime Militia—Time to Call them Out?

Christopher P. Cavas, “China’s Maritime Militia—Time to Call them Out?” Defense News, 18 September 2016.
… “China’s maritime militia is only as deniable for China as we allow it to be, and we don’t have to allow it to be deniable,” said Andrew Erickson, a professor of strategy at the US Naval War College, where he […]

17 September 2016

House Armed Services Committee Hearing: “Seapower and Projection Forces in the South China Sea”—2 pm Wed. 21 September, RHOB 2212

HEARING: 
SEAPOWER AND PROJECTION FORCES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
Date: 
Wednesday, September 21, 2016 – 2:00pm
Location: 
2212 Rayburn House Office Building, Washington, DC 20515
House Armed Services Committee
Subcommittees: 

Seapower and Projection Forces (114th Congress)

 
WITNESSES
Dr. Andrew S. Erickson, Ph.D. 
Professor of Strategy, China Maritime Studies Institute, U.S. Naval War College
Ms. Bonnie S. Glaser 
Senior Adviser for Asia and Director, China Power Project, Center […]