Hi! Welcome...

Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

01 September 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors

Now available in print edition: a detailed history of China’s leading space sectors! Draws on and cites demonstrably authoritative Chinese-language sources previously unavailable in English.
Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors,” Acta Astronautica 103 (October/November 2014): 142–67.
Highlights

• China׳s first space achievements were in military/civilian rockets and satellites.
• Nuclear power status [...]

01 September 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Harry Kazianis Reviews “Fire on the Water: China, America and the Future of the Pacific”

Harry Kazianis, “A Master Plan to Counter China’s Growing Military Might?”; Review of Robert Haddick, Fire on the Water: China, America and the Future of the Pacific (Naval Institute Press, 2014); War on the Rocks, 1 September 2014.
… There could be no better time than the present for a new book that not only explores issues surrounding China’s [...]

25 August 2014 ~ 1 Comment

Going Maverick: Lessons from China’s Buzzing of a U.S. Navy Aircraft

Andrew S. Erickson and Emily de La Bruyere, “Going Maverick: Lessons from China’s Buzzing of a U.S. Navy Aircraft,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal,  25 August 2014.
Many have evoked the film “Top Gun” in describing a recent confrontation between a Chinese J-11 fighter and U.S. Navy P-8 Poseidon surveillance plane off of Hainan Island in the South [...]

22 August 2014 ~ 1 Comment

Pentagon Says Chinese Air Force J-11B Fighter Jet Confronted American Navy Plane in Dangerously Close Proximity

Helene Cooper, “Pentagon Says Chinese Fighter Jet Confronted American Navy Plane,” New York Times, 22 August 2014.
WASHINGTON — A Chinese fighter jet flew within 30 feet of a Navy surveillance and reconnaissance plane this week in international airspace just off the Chinese coast, the Pentagon said Friday.
The encounter, known as an intercept, was “very, very [...]

18 August 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Can America “Just Say No” to China?

A trenchant, thought-provoking analysis by CNAS Research Associate and rising star in the China/Asia-Pacific studies field Amy Chang on contradictions in U.S. China policy and what to do about them. Whether you agree with Amy or not on the specifics, her argument is reflective of growing concerns in many U.S. and allied quarters…
Amy Chang, “Can America [...]

07 August 2014 ~ 1 Comment

The Recruitment, Education, and Training of PLA Navy Personnel

The study that everyone wanted but nobody had produced before!
Kenneth Allen and Morgan Clemens, The Recruitment, Education, and Training of PLA Navy Personnel, Naval War College China Maritime Study 12 (August 2014).
Looking back at the parlous state of the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)  in the early 1980s, Liu Huaqing, its former commander, wrote, “All areas [...]

01 August 2014 ~ 1 Comment

PRC National Defense Ministry Spokesman Sr. Col. Geng Yansheng Offers China’s Most-Detailed Position to Date on Dongdiao-class Ship’s Intelligence Collection in U.S. EEZ during RIMPAC Exercise

Summary translation: China demands freedom from the United States to collect intelligence in U.S. Exclusive Economic Zones in the name of U.S. principles and domestic laws. China denies the United States reciprocal freedoms in the name of China’s own domestic laws.
Such lack of reciprocity flies in the face of international legal principles and support for an [...]

01 August 2014 ~ 0 Comments

A “New Situation”: China’s Evolving Assessment of its Security Environment

Excellent analysis by a serious observer of Chinese military, doctrinal, and policy developments. Here’s hoping that David Bradley continues to publish his sophisticated analysis for all to read!
Has Washington unwittingly contributed to Beijing’s assessment of a “new situation” in the regional security environment and beyond by: (1) devoting insufficient resources and attention to the Asia-Pacific, (2) not [...]

01 August 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s RIMPAC Spying: Having Your Cake and Eating It Too

Very important piece by Shannon Tiezzi. It explains clearly how China is trying to have it both ways with regard to conducting maritime intelligence collection activities in another nation’s EEZ. That’s why Emily de La Bruyere and I quote leading international legal scholar Jerome Cohen in our recent article in The National Interest on the [...]

28 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s RIMPAC Maritime-Surveillance Gambit

Andrew S. Erickson and Emily de La Bruyere, “China’s RIMPAC Maritime-Surveillance Gambit,” The National Interest, 29 July 2014.
Forty-nine ships from 22 countries, including China, are currently participating in the Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) maritime training exercises off the coast of Hawaii. Submarines and aircraft have joined them. But last Friday, an electronic display map [...]

23 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Space Development History: A Comparison of the Rocket and Satellite Sectors,” Acta Astronautica (26 June 2014).
Copyright © 2014 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Highlights
• China’s first space achievements were in military/civilian rockets and satellites.
• Nuclear power status and deterrence required missiles to credibly deliver warheads.
• Satellites were also prioritized for strategic reasons and lack of [...]

19 July 2014 ~ 0 Comments

Crashing Its Own Party: China’s Unusual Decision to Spy on Joint Naval Exercises

Andrew S. Erickson and Emily de La Bruyere, “Crashing Its Own Party: China’s Unusual Decision to Spy on Joint Naval Exercises,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 19 July 2014.
A party crasher from China’s navy is enjoying an intelligence buffet at the world’s largest maritime gathering – and the feasting will make it hard [...]