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Andrew S. Erickson China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication, only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in the international system today.

20 March 2023

Apply by 24 March! China Landpower Studies Center seeks Chair/Founding Director & Research Professors of China Military + Indo-Pacific Security Studies

Great news! The U.S. Army War College is establishing a China military studies center at Carlisle Barracks, PA. The center will be similar to those at other professional military educational institutions such as National Defense University, Air University, and the Naval War College.
The China Landpower Studies Center will uniquely focus on the study of the […]

15 March 2023

Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) Seeks New Director—Apply by 20 April 2023!

Great new job opportunity at the helm of the Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI)! Apply now to lead a leading team that publishes cutting-edge research to inform the Navy, advise national security decision-makers, and engage the Nation and its allies and partners—in a time of maximum consequence and potential to make a difference!
Faculty […]

10 March 2023

“Chinese Strategy: Universal or Unique?”—Honored to Present at Naval War College-Vanderbilt University Conference!

CHINESE STRATEGY: UNIVERSAL OR UNIQUE?
Is Chinese strategy part of a universal field of strategic thought, or should it be seen as a distinct intellectual tradition that cannot easily be mapped onto Western concepts of strategy?
Friday 10 March, 1430–1800 & Saturday 11 March, 0900–1700
***Please note: all times are Central Standard Time, one hour behind Eastern Standard […]

10 March 2023

ODNI’s “Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community”—Key China Content

Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community (McLean, VA: Office of the Director of National Intelligence, 6 February 2023).

This annual report of worldwide threats to the national security of the United States responds to Section 617 of the FY21 Intelligence Authorization Act (Pub. L. No. 116-260). This report reflects the collective insights of the […]

08 March 2023

CMSI China Maritime Report #26: “Beyond the First Battle: Overcoming a Protracted Blockade of Taiwan”

Lonnie D. Henley, Beyond the First Battle: Overcoming a Protracted Blockade of Taiwan, China Maritime Report 26 (Newport, RI: Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute, March 2023).

About the Author
Lonnie Henley is a Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. He retired from federal service in 2019 after more than 40 years as an […]

05 March 2023

Official PRC Wording: National People’s Congress Reports’ Content Regarding China’s Armed Forces

Revealing! Direct evidence that amid budget pressures and spending constraints in other key areas, Xi keeps prioritizing State Security, PLA/Armed Forces, military S&T, and retired personnel. See for yourself: read key bilingual wording, download full-text PDFs here!
Hiding in plain sight in the NPC Work Report is some extremely important wording regarding Xi’s timing and focus in […]

05 March 2023

Beijing to Raise *Official* Annual Military Spending by 7.2% to ~$224.79 Billion (~1.5537 trillion yuan)—Read Complete “China Defense Budget Bookshelf” Here!

PRC state media recycles perennial justifications for the world’s second largest defense budget by any measure—long the most rapidly rising of any major power. Professor Adam P. Liff at Indiana University’s Hamilton Lugar School of Global & International Studies and I should update our now-decade-old China Quarterly article on this subject, but so many basic dynamics […]

25 February 2023

INDOPACOM Report: “PRC-Russia Cooperation—Spotlighting PRC’s Continued Support to Russia Despite Legal Commitments to Ukraine”

PRC-Russia Cooperation—Spotlighting PRC’s Continued Support to Russia Despite Legal Commitments to Ukraine (Honolulu, HI: U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, 22 October 2022).
UNCLASSIFIED
USINDOPACOM J06/SJA TACAID SERIES
Prepared by: INDOPACOM Joint Operational Law Team, PACOM.J06.All@navy.mil Last Updated: October 6, 2022

TOPIC: PRC-Russia Cooperation
Spotlighting PRC’s Continued Support to Russia Despite Legal Commitments to Ukraine
BLUF

Prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, PRC committed to respect […]

21 February 2023

Harvard Fairbank Center Special Event—2 March: “‘Friends with No Limits?’ The Future of China-Russia Relations”

“Friends with No Limits?” The Future of China-Russia Relations

Date: Thursday, 2 March 2023
Time: 4:00 pm – 5:30 pm

Venue: Hall A, Science Center, 1 Oxford St., Cambridge, MA 02138

Event Category: Special Event
Click here to watch a video of the event on YouTube.

Speakers:

Andrew S. Erickson, Professor of Strategy and Research Director, U.S. Naval War College (NWC) China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI); Visiting Professor, Government Department, […]

21 February 2023

Friends with “No Limits”? A Year into War in Ukraine, History Still Constrains Sino-Russian Relations

Andrew S. Erickson, “Friends with ‘No Limits’? A Year into War in Ukraine, History Still Constrains Sino-Russian Relations,” Harvard Fairbank Center Blog Post, 21 February 2023.

A year after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, are China and Russia still friends with “no limits?” Since embracing that phrase, Chinese President Xi Jinping has publicly obfuscated regarding ties […]

18 February 2023

Now Out in Paperback! “Chinese Naval Shipbuilding”

The Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute is proud to publish with the Naval Institute a new paperback edition of the most technologically-intensive volume in our “Studies in Chinese Maritime Development” series to date!
We’ve shared our findings with all who expressed interest, up to and including leading principals in the U.S. and allied governments. Now you can examine […]

17 February 2023

China’s Approach to Conventional Deterrence

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Approach to Conventional Deterrence,” Chapter 1 in Roy D. Kamphausen, ed., Modernizing Deterrence: How China Coerces, Compels, and Deters (Seattle, WA: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2023), 12–27.

pp. 3–4
Andrew Erickson of the U.S. Naval War College and Nicola Leveringhaus of King’s College London begin the volume with chapters surveying how the […]

13 February 2023

Melissa Dalton Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense and Hemispheric Affairs and Gen. Glen VanHerck, Commander, North American Aerospace Defense Command and United States Northern Command, Hold an Off-Camera, On-The-Record Briefing

TRANSCRIPT
(Lightly edited to fix obvious spelling errors.)
Melissa Dalton Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense and Hemispheric Affairs and Gen. Glen VanHerck, Commander, North American Aerospace Defense Command and United States Northern Command, Hold an Off-Camera, On-The-Record Briefing
Feb. 12, 2023
Melissa G. Dalton, Assistant Secretary for Homeland Defense and Hemispheric Affairs, Department of Defense; Brigadier General […]

12 February 2023

Statement on Today’s Actions by North American Aerospace Defense Command

RELEASE
IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Statement on Today’s Actions by North American Aerospace Defense Command
Feb. 12, 2023 |   
Today at 2:42 p.m. ET, at the direction of President Biden, and based on the recommendations of Secretary Austin and military leadership, an F-16 fired an AIM9x to successfully shoot down an airborne object flying at approximately 20,000 feet altitude in U.S. airspace […]

10 February 2023

Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder Holds an On-Camera Press Briefing

TRANSCRIPT
(Lightly edited to fix obvious spelling errors.)
Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder Holds an On-Camera Press Briefing
Feb. 10, 2023
Brigadier General Pat Ryder, Pentagon Press Secretary
BRIGADIER GENERAL PAT RYDER:  Good afternoon, everyone.  Thanks very much for your patience while we were delayed a little bit.  I have a few things to talk about […]

09 February 2023

State Department Press Briefing—Substantial Content on PRC Spy Balloon

Home
Press Briefings
Department Press Briefing – February 9, 2023
NED PRICE, DEPARTMENT SPOKESPERSON
WASHINGTON, D.C.
FEBRUARY 9, 2023
1:49 p.m. EST
… … …
QUESTION: Can I ask about the balloon?
QUESTION: (Off-mike.)
QUESTION: The – the spy balloon?
… …
MR PRICE: Let me – let me move around. I need to move to others. Yes.
QUESTION: Thank you. (Inaudible), Epoch Times. You shared some information about the balloon, the Chinese balloon. […]

07 February 2023

Putin’s Ukraine Invasion: Turbocharging Sino-Russian Collaboration in Energy, Maritime Security, and Beyond?

Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “Putin’s Ukraine Invasion: Turbocharging Sino-Russian Collaboration in Energy, Maritime Security, and Beyond?” Naval War College Review 75.4 (Autumn 2022): 91–126.
Putin’s war of choice in Ukraine will continue to send shock waves across the shores of maritime Asia for years, with unfolding impacts on ecosystems inhabited by oil barrels, gas pipelines, […]

06 February 2023

Gen. Glen VanHerck, Commander, North American Aerospace Defense Command and United States Northern Command, Holds an Off-Camera, On-The-Record Briefing on the High-Altitude Surveillance Balloon Recovery Efforts

KEY POINTS (my *best attempted* tldr summary—be sure to see transcript below for the actual *authoritative* wording, with emphases & links added by me):

Full recovery process underway, much material and data to come… Stay tuned!
Extensive revelations are forthcoming from both the spy balloon’s flight/activities and its debris concerning its operations, capabilities, transmission capabilities, etc.
Four previous balloons […]

05 February 2023

Senior Defense Official and Senior Military Official Hold an Off-Camera, On-Background Press Briefing Update on the High-Altitude Surveillance Balloon

Key point: “We spoke directly with Chinese officials through multiple channels, but rather than address their intrusion into our airspace, the PRC put out an explanation that lacked any credibility.”
Also: The U.S. government continues to learn about this latest spy balloon and its collection efforts and capabilities—more to come!

TRANSCRIPT
Senior Defense Official and Senior Military Official Hold […]